Gradient Keeper Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 Day 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 Day 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted January 20, 2022 Author Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 Sideways rain in Troutdale. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 19 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Has just been drizzle so far this evening. Should get some MUCH needed rainfall into tomorrow morning. We’ve also bumped up to +0.8 degrees above average this month as of today. No doubt it's going to get colder in a few days. I think I have a very good shot at pulling off a monthly average below 40 at least. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 20 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: I really hope my February 6th prediction works out. Idk we will see it’s still past day 10 on the ensembles but it’s hard not to take notice of all them being on board. I think a lot of us have expressed confidence of another event this winter. Usually a Nina winter that scores in December has more goodies later. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 23 minutes ago, MossMan said: Or JAYA. That can't be more than a hunch on his part though. Really no reason to doubt what the models are hinting at. 4 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 Day 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: No doubt it's going to get colder in a few days. I think I have a very good shot at pulling off a monthly average below 40 at least. 42.2 so far this month here. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 Kind of interesting to note tonight's GFS was a few degrees colder with the upcoming inversion than last night's run. Could be a pretty solid chill coming up just with that. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 Day 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 9 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: 42.2 so far this month here. 39.9 here. I'm pretty surprised it's that low actually. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 2 2 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 Day 8 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 Day 9'er Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted January 20, 2022 Author Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 Sideways rain in Troutdale. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 Day ten looking good! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 Day 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 Low snow levels to end the run. 6 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 00z ECMWF 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 Is the “it’s” an El Niño? 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Is the “it’s” an El Niño? El Niño coming? Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 Another good CFS run. It's only to very early Feb, but looks great. 5 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 19 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Low snow levels to end the run. Pattern poised to get better too. It just might start this month. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 5 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: El Niño coming? No way to know yet. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 EPS coldest yet. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 22 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Pattern poised to get better too. It just might start this month. Wasn’t expecting anything interesting within day 10 until Saturday or Sunday. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post snow_wizard Posted January 20, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 Oh boy! 10 1 2 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 12 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: EPS coldest yet. Much more impressive with the GOA blocking. Can't wait to see the individual members. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Oh boy! All the ensembles seem to have slowly gotten better each day for 6 days now. SE ridge is the only missing part it looks like. 2 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 Just now, snow_wizard said: Oh boy! A nice blueberry 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 The ECMWF had every day after Friday having a low of 33 or lower for SEA. Not bad. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 Nice improvements. Hopefully over the coming days we'll see models nudge the block axis further north-slightly north northeast to build higher heights over southern Alaska. IF so arctic air is going to flood into eastern Washington, Columbia Basin rather than dig out over BC with just chilly onshore flow. Very promising. 6z GFS in 1 hour 4 minutes 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 EPS has a mean of 40/31 on Feb 1 for SEA. That is actually really good for that far out. A lot of cold members. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 Looking at the EPS meteograms again it appears some locations could easily pull off 10 to 12 mins of freezing or below over the next 2 weeks. The advantage of going into a cold wave with a retrograding ridge. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 23 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Nice improvements. Hopefully over the coming days we'll see models nudge the block axis further north-slightly north northeast to build higher heights over southern Alaska. IF so arctic air is going to flood into eastern Washington, Columbia Basin rather than dig out over BC with just chilly onshore flow. Very promising. 6z GFS in 1 hour 4 minutes I really hope you guys to share in the fun a little bit more if this happens. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 ****'s gonna flip on a dime once the calendar switches to February. This cold February phenomena is baffling. I have no earthly idea why (even when factoring out AGW warming) 1980-2022 climo has hated January and loved February so, so much... The last FOUR years, starting 2018, have had Feb come in colder than Jan. By a ruthless margin. Wild. Feb 2019 came in at a savage 36.7°F, just 1.1°F warmer than the all time coldest Feb in 1956, and 8.3°F colder than January. 4 2 1 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted January 20, 2022 Author Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 Quiet tonight, everyone must be sleeping. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 4 minutes ago, The Blob said: Quiet tonight, everyone must be sleeping. The overnight GFS is a dumpster fire too. 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 The 6z CFS is totally gorgeous on both the ensemble mean and the control. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 55 in North Bend this morning... windy and raining. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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