November 2015 in the Pacific Northwest

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The operational has been gradually trending that way too.

 

SLE is sitting at 40 at 2pm. Which is their low for the day. Midnight high of 57...

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The operational has been gradually trending that way too.

 

The operational doesn't show any cold air later this week. 

[TT-SEA]

The operational doesn't show any cold air later this week.

 

He seems to think it will be clear and chilly later this week... when in fact the ECMWF shows tons of rain right through Friday down there.

[MossMan]

Just had about a two minute shower of semi frozen precip!

[Jesse]

The operational doesn't show any cold air later this week.

There were points where it didn't show any cold air at all next week. Now it shows a solid shot Wesnesday, trending toward what the GFS ensembles and Euro were always showing.

[bainbridgekid]

18z is heading nowhere cold through day 9.

[Jesse]

SLE is sitting at 40 at 2pm. Which is their low for the day. Midnight high of 57...

Midnight highs suck.

[bainbridgekid]

Midnight highs suck.

They often come on days that are very fun though.

[Jesse]

They often come on days that are very fun though.

That is true.

 

It just kind of feels like a cheat to have a day that was cold 90% of the time go on the books as being so warm.

[Phil]

On 18z GFS, attempted NPAC wave breaking is being deflected by the strong PV aloft, sitting just north of Alaska. That thing is almost fully coupled, from the stratopause to the surface.

[stuffradio]

On 18z GFS, attempted NPAC wave breaking is being deflected by the strong PV aloft, sitting just north of Alaska. That thing is almost fully coupled, from the stratopause to the surface.

Please explain in layman's terms what that means for us.

[Phil]

Please explain in layman's terms what that means for us.

It means that the offshore blocking will be unable to amplify poleward. On other words, a higher EPO is favored along with more zonal/onshore flow.

[MossMan]

It means that the offshore blocking will be unable to amplify poleward. On other words, a higher EPO is favored along with more zonal/onshore flow.

In other words...the 18z screws us. Glad it's the 18z lets see what the 00z says.

[luvssnow_spokane]

On 18z GFS, attempted NPAC wave breaking is being deflected by the strong PV aloft, sitting just north of Alaska. That thing is almost fully coupled, from the stratopause to the surface.

c'mon Phil!! You do not have to prove how smart you are by being all intellectual and stuff... So, quit talking in all smarty-pants language and tell us what that means. Inquiring minds want to know. 

[luvssnow_spokane]

In other words...the 18z screws us. Glad it's the 18z lets see what the 00z says.

Ahh--- it is only the 18z... It is always wrong!  [i hope]

[luvssnow_spokane]

In other words...the 18z screws us. Glad it's the 18z lets see what the 00z says.

By screw... Do you mean normal for here?  

[seattleweatherguy]

How's the storm look like on the 18z or next models

[Jesse]

By screw... Do you mean normal for here?  

 

Normal plus 1-2 degrees on average to account for global warming.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Normal plus 1-2 degrees on average to account for global warming.

 

Interested to see those 18z ensembles...

[TT-SEA]

Beautiful sunset in Denver right now.   Per CBS.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Beautiful sunset in Denver right now.   Per CBS.

 

Go Chiefs.

[seattleweatherguy]

According to the weather.co app rain and snow for not this monday but the following and tues

[Deweydog]

Haha, no.  You know the Calendar. 

 

For quite awhile now.  

[TT-SEA]

According to the weather.co app rain and snow for not this monday but the following and tues

My son just pointed that out to me as well.

[bainbridgekid]

Hello.

 

WAZ504-507-509-511>515-555-556-558-559-567>569-160700-
/O.NEW.KSEW.HW.A.0002.151117T1400Z-151118T0800Z/
SOUTHWEST INTERIOR-EVERETT AND VICINITY-TACOMA AREA-
HOOD CANAL AREA-LOWER CHEHALIS VALLEY AREA-OLYMPICS-
EASTERN STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-WESTERN STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-
EAST PUGET SOUND LOWLANDS-BELLEVUE AND VICINITY-
SEATTLE AND VICINITY-BREMERTON AND VICINITY-
CASCADES OF WHATCOM AND SKAGIT COUNTIES-
CASCADES OF SNOHOMISH AND KING COUNTIES-
CASCADES OF PIERCE AND LEWIS COUNTIES-
258 PM PST SUN NOV 15 2015

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING.

* TIMING...STRONG WINDS WILL POSSIBLY DEVELOP TUESDAY AND
CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.

* WINDS...POSSIBLE SOUTH WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS 65 TO 75
MPH TUESDAY SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. IN THE
MOUNTAINS...SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS 50 TO 70 MPH ARE POSSIBLE
WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH ON EXPOSED RIDGES.

* IMPACTS...A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A
HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT. IF WINDS DEVELOP AS FORECAST...MANY
TREES WILL BE TOPPLED RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES AND
MANY BUILDINGS WILL SEE ROOF DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. IF WINDS DEVELOP AS FORECAST...MANY TREES WILL BE
TOPPLED RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES AND MANY BUILDINGS
WILL SEE ROOF DAMAGE.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Hello.

 

WAZ504-507-509-511>515-555-556-558-559-567>569-160700-

/O.NEW.KSEW.HW.A.0002.151117T1400Z-151118T0800Z/

SOUTHWEST INTERIOR-EVERETT AND VICINITY-TACOMA AREA-

HOOD CANAL AREA-LOWER CHEHALIS VALLEY AREA-OLYMPICS-

EASTERN STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-WESTERN STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-

EAST PUGET SOUND LOWLANDS-BELLEVUE AND VICINITY-

SEATTLE AND VICINITY-BREMERTON AND VICINITY-

CASCADES OF WHATCOM AND SKAGIT COUNTIES-

CASCADES OF SNOHOMISH AND KING COUNTIES-

CASCADES OF PIERCE AND LEWIS COUNTIES-

258 PM PST SUN NOV 15 2015

 

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY

EVENING...

 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND

WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY

EVENING.

 

* TIMING...STRONG WINDS WILL POSSIBLY DEVELOP TUESDAY AND

CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.

 

* WINDS...POSSIBLE SOUTH WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS 65 TO 75

MPH TUESDAY SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. IN THE

MOUNTAINS...SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS 50 TO 70 MPH ARE POSSIBLE

WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH ON EXPOSED RIDGES.

 

* IMPACTS...A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A

HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT. IF WINDS DEVELOP AS FORECAST...MANY

TREES WILL BE TOPPLED RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES AND

MANY BUILDINGS WILL SEE ROOF DAMAGE.

 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS

HIGH WIND EVENT. IF WINDS DEVELOP AS FORECAST...MANY TREES WILL BE

TOPPLED RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES AND MANY BUILDINGS

WILL SEE ROOF DAMAGE.

 

Uh oh

[SilverFallsAndrew]

My friend just sent me this from somewhere south of Olympia...Looks beautiful. Cloudy here. 

 

[TT-SEA]

My friend just sent me this from somewhere south of Olympia...Looks beautiful. Cloudy here. 

 

 

 

 

Its been fairly sunny here since 10:30 a.m.

[Parksvillewx]

Just had a wind warning issued up this way for tomorrow as well.

 

Warnings

4:06 PM PST Sunday 15 November 2015
Wind warning in effect for:

East Vancouver Island

Strong winds that may cause damage are expected or occurring.

A low pressure system offshore will intensify and approach the BC coast on Monday. Winds will rise to southeast 70 km/h over much of the inner South Coast Monday morning. The winds will ease in the afternoon while shifting to the west or southwest.

Damage to buildings, such as to roof shingles and windows, may occur. Loose objects may be tossed by the wind and cause injury or damage. Avoid wooded areas to prevent injury from falling trees or branches. Campers should move to sturdy shelters.

Environment Canada meteorologists will update alerts as required. Please monitor local media or Weatheradio. To report severe weather, send an email to pacificstorm@ec.gc.ca or tweet reports to #BCStorm.

[GHweatherChris]

It is gonna get chilly tonight with this cool air mass prior to the next system pushing in.  Possible first frost here before temps go up.

[Timmy]

Rain snow mix here now

[High Desert Mat]

Go Hawks!!

[TT-SEA]

Looks like they are still on the bye week. Half asleep and dumb mistakes and going backwards in huge chunks every drive.

[MossMan]

Looks like they are still on the bye week. Half asleep and dumb mistakes and going backwards in huge chunks every drive.

Mr. Wilson spent too much time in Mexico last week thinking it was the off season.

[TT-SEA]

Mr. Wilson spent too much time in Mexico last week thinking it was the off season.

The offense is literally absent.

[MossMan]

The offense is literally absent.

And Sherman apparently.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Went for a drive up in the Olympic mountains today. They got hit pretty good. I found 12 inches as low as 2500 ft and 17 @ 4000 ft.

[bainbridgekid]

Went for a drive up in the Olympic mountains today. They got hit pretty good. I found 12 inches as low as 2500 ft and 17 @ 4000 ft.

Awesome. What road?

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Awesome. What road?

lords lake road. Up above bon jon pass.

[Jesse]

lords lake road. Up above bon jon pass.

What river valley is that out of?