I think forecasters are just gun shy after the 2016 bust still. There was talk of a 21st century Columbus Day storm but it ended up being a standard run of the mill wind event for most places in the interior. I could see this storm ending up being run of mill for the Puget sound region…or being like the 1/6/19 storm which was one of the stronger storms in recent years. We will see…

At least the GFS tries to end the nightmare. Too bad it's the GFS.

They haven't been battle tested much recently. Decent chance with PQR at least that they overcorrect on the next one.

The 00z GFS is like a shitty ex who just sent us a "u up?" text at 1am on a Saturday night. DON'T FALL FOR IT, HAVE SOME SELF RESPECT

Prior GFS runs were hinting that the Pacific ridge would connect with the 500mb high over the Beaufort Sea. Even then the cooler temps don't look like it's coming from any Arctic source.