Meatyorologist Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 22 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said: Sky is looking a little interesting this afternoon. Seeing some lightning strikes across the border on radar North of Abbotsford has been electric all day. Maybe something to drift into your area? Radar isn’t hopeful. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 We need to see a lot more of this. 6 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 3 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: North of Abbotsford has been electric all day. Maybe something to drift into your area? Radar isn’t hopeful. Kind of fun watching the convection on the visible sat pic. Kind of interesting that a pattern that would bring Arctic air in the winter is bringing this now. I was really surprised by the persistent low clouds in the Seattle area today. Tonight looks crystal clear though. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 We had a lot of low clouds in the morning but it cleared up later on. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 60F and beautiful. Kiddos enjoying playing outside. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 3 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: 60F and beautiful. Kiddos enjoying playing outside. Sun with below normal temps is as good as it gets this time of year IMO. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 60 degree days with radiant sunshine in late May aren’t exactly super common around here. Very great weather day. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 I should be up there right now Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 Just now, RentonHillTC said: I should be up there right now and of course as soon as it rolls in the internet goes out and all cameras go offline Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 SEA only missed their record low by 1 degree today. 41 is pretty chilly for them this time of year. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 4 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: 60 degree days with radiant sunshine in late May aren’t exactly super common around here. Very great weather day. Just flat out impressive how persistent this chilly weather has been. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 ENSO regions have warmed a little this week. Not sure if this is an actual move towards neutral or just temporary. 1 1 1 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 Sub-surface warming spreading eastward as well... 2 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MV_snow Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 7 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Just flat out impressive how persistent this chilly weather has been. Is it just me, or did we used to be able to pull off clear and cool weather during the warm season better than we do now? Seems like anything cooler than normal during the warm season these days comes with incessant gloom. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Sub-surface warming spreading eastward as well... @Phil address this 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 Just now, RentonHillTC said: @Phil address this The CCUK is still favorable. 2 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 60/41 day here. Clouds definitely held on longer than anticipated so highs were five or so degrees below guidance. Nice change of pace. Suns out now though. Some good model trends today too. 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 10 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: 60/41 day here. Clouds definitely held on longer than anticipated so highs were five or so degrees below guidance. Nice change of pace. Suns out now though. Some good model trends today too. Ol' Blue aint done with us yet 2 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 20 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: The CCUK is still favorable. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 42 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: ENSO regions have warmed a little this week. Not sure if this is an actual move towards neutral or just temporary. Temporary warming due to the CCKW passage. Will be some cooling over the next week, then another round of warming with the next CCKW. Big trade burst/constructive interference regime timed for mid/late June, as well. 3 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 My son is moving into their new house today at UW... $10 million renovation that took 18 months to complete. It's like a hotel. Had to laugh when I saw he has palm trees right out his window. His view includes a little bit of Lake Washington and downtown Bellevue in the distance. Not bad. 5 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 Note the EPS weeklies depict a low pass IO/EHEM upper level divergence signal with subsidence across the west-central Pacific. Good circulation to maintain -PNA going into the summer months. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 41 minutes ago, MV_snow said: Is it just me, or did we used to be able to pull off clear and cool weather during the warm season better than we do now? Seems like anything cooler than normal during the warm season these days comes with incessant gloom. No doubt. In fact the first quarter of the 20th century had extremely dry summers (maybe even drier than now) and many of the summers were quite cool. Even more recently we were able to pull off cool temps without gloom in the summer pretty regularly. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 48 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Sub-surface warming spreading eastward as well... That subsurface water is still cooler than the surface water. The subsurface anomalies are a result of a old downwelling wave that is being chewed up by easterlies. If you look at U-current anomalies the westerly transport is mediocre at best, as both the IPWP (domain of DOKW inception) and EPAC are experiencing easterly current anomalies. IE: A weak sauce kelvin wave that is barely even conversational. The early summer kelvin waves in 2011 and 2012 were both more impressive than this. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 3 minutes ago, Phil said: Note the EPS weeklies depict a low pass IO/EHEM upper level divergence signal with subsidence across the west-central Pacific. Good circulation to maintain -PNA going into the summer months. This might be one of those years where we will be able to maintain minus PNA pretty consistently during all seasons. Pretty amazing that some years manage to pull of the right MJO phases so consistently even though the requirements for each season are different to deliver cool troughing to the NW. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 11 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: My son is moving into their new house today at UW... $10 million renovation that took 18 months to complete. It's like a hotel. Had to laugh when I saw he has palm trees right out his window. His view includes a little bit of Lake Washington and downtown Bellevue in the distance. Not bad. I’d hurt myself on that ladder. Hope he’s not sleeping up there or broken bones are likely in store. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: This might be one of those years where we will be able to maintain minus PNA pretty consistently during all seasons. Pretty amazing that some years manage to pull of the right MJO phases so consistently even though the requirements for each season are different to deliver cool troughing to the NW. Looking that way, yes. At least to start. There are warmer risks in August/September in many of the seasonal analogs, but that’s less certain. June/July both appear solidly in the troughy/-PNA camp. The fact we have such a prolific intraseasonal/MJO cycle and still maintain the theme of western troughing speaks volumes, IMO. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 1 minute ago, Phil said: I’d hurt myself on that ladder. Hope he’s not sleeping up there or broken bones are likely in store. Oh... that is where he will be sleeping. He built his own lofted bed in their old house so he is used to climbing up to go to sleep. This is my kid who climbs trees like a monkey and has no problem going up on our steep-pitched roof to hang Christmas lights. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 44 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: The CCUK is still favorable. I don't kink shame, but I've never understood that one! 1 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 22 minutes ago, Phil said: Temporary warming due to the CCKW passage. Will be some cooling over the next week, then another round of warming with the next CCKW. Big trade burst/constructive interference regime timed for mid/late June, as well. I like another round of warming coming. Regardless of all the charts and graphs... I just get a sense that ENSO might be hovering around neutral by mid-summer. 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 The days start getting shorter in 32 days. 7 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 Temps warming back into the mid-80s as we near 11pm. Can’t believe it’s already summer. What the frick. We should have at least a few cooldowns left in the tank before this becomes permanent. I think? 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 Just now, Joshua Lake Oswego said: The days start getting shorter in 32 days. Seasonal lag is a b*tch. This might be a year in which summer-like weather goes well into October. Then maybe the hammer drops in November. 2 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 Winter 2022-23 will bring something truly epic to someone. 4 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said: Winter 2022-23 will bring something truly epic to someone. This seems like a very good call. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said: Winter 2022-23 will bring something truly epic to someone. Strongly agree. Something big is going to happen somewhere at some point. 1 1 1 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said: Winter 2022-23 will bring something truly epic to someone. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I like another round of warming coming. Regardless of all the charts and graphs... I just get a sense that ENSO might be hovering around neutral by mid-summer. Nah it’s going to stay negative, likely right around that weak Niña threshold with the typical weekly ups/downs. That said, whether that slice of water ends up at -0.4 or -0.6 isn’t going to make much of a difference as far as weather/climate impacts are concerned. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 1 hour ago, RentonHillTC said: I should be up there right now 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted May 21, 2022 Report Share Posted May 21, 2022 -7.4°F departure at KSEA today w/ a 51.0°F avg and a 61/41 spread. Stellar late May day. 2 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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