Doinko Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 4 hours ago, Phil said: IIRC y’all kicked our arse during the last El Niño in 2018/19. And then there’s 1968/69. Haha Except Portland ... I ended up with a grand total of 3.7" of snow, while Downtown and a lot of the south/West metro had like 1" total. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 56 minutes ago, Doiinko said: Except Portland ... I ended up with a grand total of 3.7" of snow, while Downtown and a lot of the south/West metro had like 1" total. 1968/1969 this area had 39" of snow though! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 56 minutes ago, Doiinko said: 1968/1969 this area had 39" of snow though! Yeah 68-69 is almost untouchable here ever again. Arctic blast in Dec and then another in late Jan that then led to like 3-4 feet of snow throughout the metro area that fell for over 72 hours straight. 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 Nice cool 46 this morning. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 30, 2022 Author Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 For some reason... that climate data link gives me errors now whenever I try to access old data. Even the months that worked yesterday. I wonder if there is some kind of limit? Although Phil said he was on there all day yesterday. I cleared my history and tried another browser and get the same errors. On another note... all of the models are very wet and chilly for Sunday and Monday now. That has probably locked in at this point being only 3-4 days out. Remember the warm GFS runs yesterday... the 06Z run is back to showing highs struggling to reach 60. And with heavy rain as well. Might be record setting wet for the 4th from Olympia northward. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 Cool and partly cloudy this morning with a low of 51. 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: For some reason... that climate data link gives me errors now whenever I try to access old data. Even the months that worked yesterday. I wonder if there is some kind of limit? Although Phil said he was on there all day yesterday. I cleared my history and tried another browser and get the same errors. On another note... all of the models are very wet and chilly for Sunday and Monday now. That has probably locked in at this point being only 3-4 days out. Remember the warm GFS runs yesterday... the 06Z run is back to showing highs struggling to reach 60. And with heavy rain as well. Might be record setting wet for the 4th from Olympia northward. The 4th could actually be a bit finicky south of I90. Not fully sold it will stay below 60F all day like that, or even 65F. Deformation bands like the one modeled can be underbought though so it could indeed be even rainer than forecast, which would have implications for OLY-SEA. Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 30, 2022 Author Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said: The 4th could actually be a bit finicky south of I90. Not fully sold it will stay below 60F all day like that, or even 65F. Deformation bands like the one modeled can be underbought though so it could indeed be even rainer than forecast, which would have implications for OLY-SEA. The models will probably slip a little south over the next couple of runs... ironically with a weaker and slower ULL moving north. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 RGEM looks especially intriguing with yellow and orange blobs drifting off the Cascades and into the lowlands. Heights aren't particularly high and the mid-upper level environment will be a bit maritime, so lapse rates where it counts will be largely useless. Will have to rely on a particularly stout moist layer for substantial convection. Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: The models will probably slip a little south over the next couple of runs... ironically with a weaker and slower ULL moving north. Maybe so. Makes sense given overall trends this Spring, given that the GFS has given ULLs far too much autonomy. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 Meanwhile, in a shocking turn of events, KATX is out...again....very shocking...... ...Not before sending the entire region into hyperdrive though! 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 30, 2022 Author Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 11 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Maybe so. Makes sense given overall trends this Spring, given that the GFS has given ULLs far too much autonomy. The other interesting aspect of this is that this is not a system moving across the Pacific that we can track. It actually forms in place on Friday and Saturday. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 Last day of June today. A few years ago the July thread was called June here. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: The other interesting aspect of this is that this is not a system moving across the Pacific that we can track. It actually forms in place on Friday and Saturday. Yeah, there's diffluence aloft, particularly over the northern and eastern parts of the state. Probably some lightning east of the crest before those showers move west into stable air. Air lifts over southern WA into the area, and stratoform rain appears "out of nowhere." Actually a similar mechanism behind our usual Pacific fronts, just this time it's more fickle and the conditions present themselves transiently. No 500+ mile long baroclinic region to make continent-long rain bands that survive their journey east for days. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: Last day of June today. A few years ago the July thread was called June here. That may have been my fault... 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: For some reason... that climate data link gives me errors now whenever I try to access old data. Even the months that worked yesterday. I wonder if there is some kind of limit? Although Phil said he was on there all day yesterday. I cleared my history and tried another browser and get the same errors. On another note... all of the models are very wet and chilly for Sunday and Monday now. That has probably locked in at this point being only 3-4 days out. Remember the warm GFS runs yesterday... the 06Z run is back to showing highs struggling to reach 60. And with heavy rain as well. Might be record setting wet for the 4th from Olympia northward. Not very nice, but a good day for hiking without too many people around. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 The summer without a summer. Go away Mr. Marine Layer!! 4 1 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 30, 2022 Author Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 31 minutes ago, MossMan said: The summer without a summer. Go away Mr. Marine Layer!! Some sun here this morning... 6 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 30, 2022 Author Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 No issues in Juneau for the 4th... unbelievable summer they are having. Average high there right now is 63. 1 1 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 Low of 51 here on the final day of June…beautiful sunny morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: The other interesting aspect of this is that this is not a system moving across the Pacific that we can track. It actually forms in place on Friday and Saturday. This would be a pretty nuts rain event if it verifies. Just another extreme in a year of some unique extremes. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 We just had 3 days in the 90s many places and now people are talking about not having a summer. GIMME a break. Currently 54 after a low of 47. Some thin clouds burning off. 4 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: We just had 3 days in the 90s many places and now people are talking about not having a summer. GIMME a break. Currently 54 after a low of 47. Some thin clouds burning off. We usually have a few days in the 90s in November each year. I just think summer should be consistently warm. Leave the roller coaster weather for the spring and the fall. 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 GFS ensembles look fantastic for goldilocks weather. No sign of significant rain down here, per usual for July. Could be our nicest summer in years while people 200 miles north whine and roll around in the mud because its not 105. 6 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 Some interesting extremes so far this year -overall very dry mid January-early April -Chilly late February blast 2/22-2/25 -Major rain event on 2/28 -1 day heat spike on 4/7 -historic lowland snowstorm on 4/11 along with lowland snow as late as 4/14 -very cool and wet April/May -very wet June with a significant AR on 6/9 -dynamic heatwave 6/25-6/28 with a significant crash following TBD-big rain event to start July 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: We usually have a few days in the 90s in November each year. I just think summer should be consistently warm. Leave the roller coaster weather for the spring and the fall. That’s not the PNW… 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 20 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: That’s not the PNW… Neither is Oregon. 1 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 New gfs 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 Canadian for the same timeframe. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 12z GFS is back to nearly totally dry Monday. Still fairly wet/convective looking Sunday afternoon though. 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 6 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: Canadian for the same timeframe. I’m in the purple!! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 Just now, MossMan said: I’m in the purple!! Gonna be wet up there either way. Seems pretty likely north of Seattle will be wet Sunday or Monday maybe both days. Olympia to Seattle a little less certain but the models seem to be trending south a bit (which I definitely like) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 I expect models will continue to really struggle with placement, timing, and amounts of rain with Sunday/Monday's systems. They're quite unusual in that they can't be tracked across the Pacific, but will basically develop right on top of us. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 20 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: New gfs who dis 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 50 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Neither is Oregon. Especially when most of Oregon becomes Greater Idaho (doubt it'll happen, but they're pushing!) 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 Wow. Another fantastic GFS run. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 plenty of summer over here on the Eastside for anyone searching 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 30, 2022 Author Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 55 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: 12z GFS is back to nearly totally dry Monday. Still fairly wet/convective looking Sunday afternoon though. FWIW... the 12Z GEFS shows the coolest day being Sunday. This is high temps on the 4th per the 12Z GEFS: 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 4 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: plenty of summer over here on the Eastside for anyone searching Plenty of summer here at 44.91 N 122.63 W Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted June 30, 2022 Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: FWIW... the 12Z GEFS shows the coolest day being Sunday. This is high temps on the 4th per the 12Z GEFS: Going to be a cool start to July down here. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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i will personally make sure this happens
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