July 2022 Observations and Discussions

[Clinton]

It's been a cloudy, cool and now rainy Saturday.   The upcoming hot spell is looking more like just seasonal temperatures for mby.   12z Euro has some rain in the KC area on Wednesday night and Thursday.   Also brings a cold front through with rain on Sunday.

[Andie]

We got a light shower at dusk.  
Scattered pop up rain. Can’t call them T storms.  Still hot but getting some moisture, despite humidity, is really a God-send. 

Still 92 at 10 pm.  
Humidity 45%

[Niko]

In Mackinaw Island for the weekend. Will post pics. Gorgeous weather, but cooler than S MI. 

[Tom]

@IMoveALot_Weather, I see there have been Flood Watch's hoisted in the mountains down in So Cal.  Did any of the cells make their way down to the shore?  I bet there have been some gorgeous Monsoon storm clouds to your east!

[Tom]

The pattern that keeps on giving...at least around here in the GL's and parts of the MW, the Summer ridge has had its moments early on in the Summer, but recently it has had a hard time to stick around in our area.  The models are now capturing the blocking and instead of a prolong Heat Wave that was being advertised a few days ago, it now only looks like one day of Heat here on Wednesday, then back into the 80's...even some 70's depending on how close you are to the lake.  Not only are temps being lowered, but precip chances are on the rise here both on Mon am & Wed pm.

Take a gander at the 500mb map below off the latest 0z GFS run for Aug 3rd...

 

4 days ago there was an idea that we would ALL be worried off a BLOW Torch for days as a monster death ridge would encompass us all....nassoo much anymore around the GL's/MW....it will mostly be the eastern Sub will escape the sustained Heat.

 

 

Interesting, both the 0z GEFS/EPS have trended wetter in the near term...

 

 

 

 

[Tom]

8 hours ago, Clinton said:

It's been a cloudy, cool and now rainy Saturday.   The upcoming hot spell is looking more like just seasonal temperatures for mby.   12z Euro has some rain in the KC area on Wednesday night and Thursday.   Also brings a cold front through with rain on Sunday.

I'm surprised to see how cool it has been in and around KC this month...not gonna lie, it has been real nice over all up this way.  I'm pleased with the way this month ended up coming together.  We had our bouts of severe weather, Heat and Cooler temps mixed in.

[westMJim]

Yet another great summer day yesterday with the official H/L at Grand Rapids of 83/57. There was no rain fall and the sun was out 81% of the time. The overnight low here at my house so far has been 60 and at the current time with clear skies it is still that 60. For today the average H/L is 83/63 the sun rise today is at 6:32AM and the sun sets today at 9:04PM The record high for today is 98 set in 1917 and the record low is 46 in 1971. The next week now looks a little cooler than it did a few days ago and a little better chance of some rain at times.

With July coming to a close it can be said that the first two months of summer have been almost average. June came in with a mean of 69.2 that is a departure of +0.3 and with just today to go July has a mean of 72.8 and that is the 30 year average. So all in all a very average summer so far here at Grand Rapids.

[Clinton]

It's a cloudy foggy morning with a temperature of 71.  I picked up an unexpected .39 inches of rainfall yesterday evening bringing my weekly rainfall total to 2.39 inches.  July started and ended wet with above average precip here 5.39 in.  The long hot and dry spell was damaging to some crops as rainfall amounts very greatly around the area.

[Timmy Supercell]

66 degrees, heavy rain and occasional thunder/lightning.

Finally some more lows in the 60's, the air has a much better smell to it compared to if its 73.

[Clinton]

Just now, Timmy Supercell said:

66 degrees, heavy rain and occasional thunder/lightning.

Finally some more lows in the 60's, the air has a much better smell to it compared to if its 73.

Kentucky has had some crazy weather over the last 12 months.  Deadly tornadoes in the western part of the state deadly flooding in Eastern Kentucky.  I can't think of any other state that's had more tragedy in the last 12 months due to weather. 

[Timmy Supercell]

4 minutes ago, Clinton said:

Kentucky has had some crazy weather over the last 12 months.  Deadly tornadoes in the western part of the state deadly flooding in Eastern Kentucky.  I can't think of any other state that's had more tragedy in the last 12 months due to weather. 

Yup, twice now family has called us to check and see how we were doing regarding those severe weather events. When Mayfield happened that was a few weeks after we got to KY, and they weren't familiar with where Ashland was. 

There is no other family from around here really. 

[Timmy Supercell]

3 hours ago, Tom said:

I'm surprised to see how cool it has been in and around KC this month...not gonna lie, it has been real nice over all up this way.  I'm pleased with the way this month ended up coming together.  We had our bouts of severe weather, Heat and Cooler temps mixed in.

Considering how few days we've had over 90 in July, surprised to see us over average in Ashland. 

I've said before that June featured our hottest days. And not from just one heatwave.

[Timmy Supercell]

Close one! Had a brief power bump and loud bang from just blocks away. The internet was out for a couple minutes.

[Clinton]

38 minutes ago, Timmy Supercell said:

Yup, twice now family has called us to check and see how we were doing regarding those severe weather events. When Mayfield happened that was a few weeks after we got to KY, and they weren't familiar with where Ashland was. 

There is no other family from around here really. 

This is not good, couldn't be in a worse spot.  WPC risk for excessive rainfall, most will fall tonight. 

 

[Timmy Supercell]

6 minutes ago, Clinton said:

This is not good, couldn't be in a worse spot.  WPC risk for excessive rainfall, most will fall tonight. 

 

When I was home searching before coming here, I was told to research some of the areas that unfortunately were hit hard by this flooding. It's sad that more is coming while they are trying to recover from previous rains. 

This is a lot even for the areas that have gotten flooding before.

[Andie]

This summer of extremes can’t get off stage quick enough. Heat, flooding, no one has really benefitted much from the summer of ‘22.  

We’re a long way from true relief  down south.  

88* at 10 am  
Heading for 101*   Hot!  Sultry  

Currently   600,000 acres of Texas have burned in summer wildfires. 
Thats 940 sq mi.

 

 

[Timmy Supercell]

They're estimating up to 2 inches have fallen in places this morning around here! I think not as much as that in Ashland, but some spots in Boyd could have standing water. 

[Andie]

105* at 3:30.  

They missed our forecast High 

Some by 4* others by 5*!

[Niko]

Here are some pics from my weekend getaway in Mackinaw Island, MI:

This was my first time here in Mackinaw Island. Car ride was 4hrs and 5min w/o stopping. Boat ride is about 30 min or so from Mackinaw City. Not too far away. We had a fantastic time there. The food was excellent and I must say that I had one of the best chocolate Fudge mint ever. Holy crap. We then, rented bikes once we got there and explored a portion of the island, including the "Grand Hotel." It is a 8 mile bike ride to complete the entire island around, which I intend to do next time.  Weather conditions here in the Winter time are very cold and snowy and not a lot of people live there during that time, but some tend to do so.

Here is a description of the pics:

First pic getting ready to board. 2nd pic is the Grand Hotel. Third, if you look closely, straight down, you will see the Mackinaw Bridge. Lastly, inside the Grand Hotel, I saw a wall fill w/ weather instruments. I thought that was very cool.

 

 

[IMoveALot_Weather]

15 hours ago, Tom said:

@IMoveALot_Weather, I see there have been Flood Watch's hoisted in the mountains down in So Cal.  Did any of the cells make their way down to the shore?  I bet there have been some gorgeous Monsoon storm clouds to your east!

Nope, everything has been out in the desert. A LOT of rain out there.

[Tom]

Welcome to the last month of Met Summer folks!  I can't believe we are already in August...after dinner yesterday, I laid out on my deck just enjoying the beautiful breeze, comfy temps near 80F and DP's in the upper 50's.  Such a gorgeous evening.  I also was reminiscing on how wonderful our weather has been of late.

This morning, I woke up and it was a bit sticky so I turned on the A/C.  Got some small storms knocking on my doorstep.

 

[Tom]

Some of the operational models are starting to sniff out a major eastern CONUS trough post 10th and lining up with the LR idea that we continue the "step down" in temps.  @Andie, don't look now but the 0z GFS is crashing a trough and possibly beating down that "Texas Ridge"....it's not only the 0z GFS, but the 0z Euro Control is also mirroring the same idea.

 

0z EPS continues to cool the eastern/southern SUB Week 2...

 

Next 9 days look quite wet for the eastern ag belt and will prob beat down the Drought in IN/IL/MI...

 

Last, but not least....for our central members the pattern will likely fire up the "Ring of Fire" come this weekend...I smell a severe wx out break for the Upper MW and then settling south as a strong Summer CF crashes southward.  Interesting pattern lies ahead.  My gut tells me this will be a month of volatile weather and cater to the idea that most of us will see a quick end to Summer.  Just a hint, but the middle part of the month could really deliver a "Taste of Autumn" for the GL's/MW region...big trough brewing??

 

[Andie]

Oh that’s good news Tom. 
Everyone is so tired of this blistering heat and suffocating air.  
It’s been one for the books.  
we are all on point for a round of rain to help the land and bolster the lakes.  
Overall a tough summer. 
It isn’t over yet. 

103 tops today, so heat tap is still on full. 
We’re ready for a cool down!  
Here’s the week…

[westMJim]

Welcome to August. July 2022 at Grand Rapids seen a mean temperature that was exactly average. The mean for the month was 72.1 and that was average. The highest reading was 90 and that occurred on 4 different days the low for the month of 52 was on the 10^th There was a reported 2.82” of rain fall and that was below the average of 3.86.  At Holland their mean was 72.1 for a departure of +0.5 it was much wetter at Holland as they reported 4.51” of rain fall. At Muskegon their mean was 73.4 that was a departure of 1.5 and 3.15” of rain was reported. At Lansing the mean was 73.4 for a departure of +1.7 with just 2.30” of rain fall. Lansing lead the way with 7 days of 90 or better while Holland had one day and at Muskegon they did not reach 90 officially. Most areas in southern lower Michigan had a July of near or above average temperatures. All in all a nice warm July 2022.

 

[westMJim]

The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 80/60 there was no rain fall and the sun was out 77% of the time. Here in MBY the overnight low was a warm 70 and at the current time it is 72 there are a few showers to the west of here but not sure how much if any rain will fall here. For today the average H/L has started it downward trend at 82/63. The record high of 98 was set in 1988 and the low of 74 was set in 1947. The week ahead now looks cooler than it did a few days ago and it appears that there will not be a big heat wave to start the month of August 2022.

 

[hawkstwelve]

A final look at July's numbers...

Average temp: 75.5 (+1.1)

Max temp: 98 on 7/10

Low temp: 48 on 7/29

Precip: 1.87 inches (-1.38)

Overall a variable month temperature-wise (if not a bit too hot) with 11 days 90+ and 7 days of highs < 85. Unfortunately still running a deficit in the rain department, just as we were in June, only receiving 57% of normal July rainfall. The vast majority of our rainfall only occurred on 3 days of the entire month while 18 days reported nothing in the gauge. We could really use a large soaking rain for a bit but doesn't look like that's in the cards anytime soon. 

At any rate, on to August and one month closer to gearing up for fall!

[Clinton]

July statistics for KC.

 

The July 2022 climate stats for Kansas City, MO:

-July 2022 was 0.9° above normal and the 62nd warmest on the 135 year record.

-Precipitation was 2.30" and was 2.28" below normal which was the 41st driest July.

-The 101° that occurred on 7/23 was the hottest day in 10 years in KC (103° on 8/7/2012)!

[Tom]

As they say in the climatological world, it was a "Statistical Wash" for ORD...just (-0.1F) below normal temp wise but AN in the precip category...it's a far cry from the sustained Heat & Humidity those of you west & south of here.  The weather pattern was quite diverse up this way which kept things interesting.

 

[westMJim]

The official H/L at Grand Rapids yesterday was 83/68 officially at GRR there was just a trace of rain reported and there was 21% of possible sunshine.  Here in MBY I recorded 0.15” of rain fall. The overnight low both here in MBY and at GRR was 62. For today the record high was 98 set in 1964 and the record low of 46 was set in 1920 and 1927. There is a chance of some heavy rain on Wednesday and it looks like it will be humid and maybe even hot depending on how the morning storms play out.

 

[bud2380]

I received just under 3/4” of rain overnight with storms that rolled through.