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August 2022 PNW Observations and Discussion - 1956 Redux!1!!1!


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I've only had 0.32" here in the last 70 days now.  That is really impressive.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

It does indeed.  If September ends up ok that will leave July and August as the only really bad months this year.

You were sure complaining loudly about the endless rain and gloom in April and May and into June.    It was pretty miserable in terms of persistence. 

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, Phil said:

Yup watching other places get hammered every winter while I have to wait 5+ years for a bonafide blizzard is not fun. And it’s certainly not “magical”. Not gonna lie to myself and say otherwise. :lol: 

I do love the PNW landscape though. It’s much prettier than here IMO and probably even more so in the snow. Problem is I love thunderstorms too and I’m not sure there’s enough convection up there to satiate me. If I go so much as 1 week without a thunderstorm in the summer I get antsy.

The summers are certainly a double edged sword here.  They are incredibly comfortable for the most part, but that comes at the expense of suppressed convection.  We have had many opportunities this summer, but little has materialized.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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13 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Holy shiiitt.. you're an *******. 

You were sure right on that one.  It doesn't bother me that much. but not cool.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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1 hour ago, RentonHillTC said:

I haven’t been watching each run closely but It feels like this is the first time we’ve had long range blue over us on an ensemble since…a long time ago

6712F0D5-7BF8-4992-804F-5B7FEE11BB70.png

Good agreement with last night's EPS.  Could be some very enjoyable weather coming up.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Nice ECMWF run.

Yeah....it appears the really hot pattern has pretty much broken after the one last gasp next week.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Just now, snow_wizard said:

Yeah....it appears the really hot pattern has pretty much broken after the one last gasp next week.

I am not worried about heat.    Its looks dry and sunny for most of the next 10 days including the holiday weekend.  👍

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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At this point it appears the change to cooler weather may not have much in the way of rain for week 2.  That part could take a while if we go into NW flow.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

I am not worried about heat.    Its looks dry and sunny for most of the next 10 days including the holiday weekend.  👍

I just think sunny weather is far more enjoyable with comfortable temps, but I know a few on here don't mind heat.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

At this point it appears the change to cooler weather may not have much in the way of rain for week 2.  That part could take a while if we go into NW flow.

Upper 70s and lows 80s is cool?

Uncomfortable heat like we had at the end of July is not concern at all this time of year.    I am just hoping to extend summery weather as long as possible.  We need payback for that miserable spring!

 

 

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

At this point it appears the change to cooler weather may not have much in the way of rain for week 2.  That part could take a while if we go into NW flow.

We’ll be in Bend the second week of September. Would love to see some 35 - 75 sunny days. 

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37 minutes ago, The Swamp said:

Bad months?  It's ******* summer dude.  Back to the Klonopin.

Banned.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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4 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Looks like just one more gasp at the near 90 stuff middle of next week then we're just back comfort level stuff. I'm sure we'll deal with a couple more of these in Sept but it'll just be a blimp. 

One last small chance.   It's very rare in September.   

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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7 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I just think sunny weather is far more enjoyable with comfortable temps, but I know a few on here don't mind heat.

I don't think too many people actually like extreme heat other than for the records.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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The 12z runs look pretty tolerable. A shot at heat early next week then pretty nice. 12z Euro is pretty close to us with that trough by hour 240. Would love to see the perma trough that’s been over the GOA the last month or more move over us as wavelengths shorten.

Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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9 minutes ago, MossMan said:

The clearing was short lived as we are back to drizzle and 57 degrees. 
.01” for the day, .29” for the month. 

Of course at your location you somehow managed to squeeze out 0.29" during our driest stretch 🤣

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30 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Upper 70s and lows 80s is cool?

Uncomfortable heat like we had at the end of July is not concern at all this time of year.    I am just hoping to extend summery weather as long as possible.  We need payback for that beautiful spring!

 

Fixed. Enough with the incorrect opinions.

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13 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

The 12z runs look pretty tolerable. A shot at heat early next week then pretty nice. 12z Euro is pretty close to us with that trough by hour 240. Would love to see the perma trough that’s been over the GOA the last month or more move over us as wavelengths shorten.

You mean lengthen.

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Ellensburg currently 70 with a dp of 44.  A real taste of fall in Central WA.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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5 minutes ago, Phil said:

You mean lengthen.

I was always under the impression that they shortened moving into the winter season. You might know more than me, but from a layman’s perspective I have always observed there are generally more “kinks” in the jet stream during the cool season, which would lead me to think there are shorter wavelengths overall. Whereas in the summer larger, sprawling and generally more muted 500mb features seem to be more common (longer wavelengths)

Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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1 minute ago, Cloud said:

Is this why you decided to go to Coeur d’Alene? 

Not really... time was just running out on summer weekends.   And we always squeeze in a trip over here.   

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 minute ago, T-Town said:

62 in Cle Elum. Probably lots of good spots available at the pool at Suncadia. 

76 here and partly sunny.   A little breezy but really nice.   Warm but not hot.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Only 65 at 1:30 here.  A little bit of cool air damming along the West Slopes of the Cascades.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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36 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

I was always under the impression that they shortened moving into the winter season. You might know more than me, but from a layman’s perspective I have always observed there are generally more “kinks” in the jet stream during the cool season, which would lead me to think there are shorter wavelengths overall. Whereas in the summer larger, sprawling and generally more muted 500mb features seem to be more common (longer wavelengths)

I think summer and winter are longer and fall and spring are shorter.  Not certain though.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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