SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 19, 2016 Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 May end up with a few scattered 30s this morning. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 19, 2016 Author Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 You have to love the mean placement of the 500mb anomaly centers over the past 4 months. WA is the only place in the US that has had below normal 500mb heights. In the winter this would be good for us. So it will probably move now. Why would it sit over WA state permanently? Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 19, 2016 Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 Geez, I miss a few days and the discussion has gone from wind storm mania to the paradox of nothing.Yep...boring weather will do that apparently. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 19, 2016 Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 Never? There was the time you had me totally convinced global warming was over following the 1997-98 nino. I was pretty dogged then too. Misrepresentation. Totally not cool. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 19, 2016 Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 Pretty ugly, splitty pattern coming up. Winter preview. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 19, 2016 Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 Pretty ugly, splitty pattern coming up. Winter preview.Need that Indonesian standing wave to propagate towards 150E ASAP. Vibes of 2005/2007 et al with the big +EPO/Pacific hose job, hence frigid air all bottled on the Eurasian side of the pole. At least no signs of a rabid, O^3-eating PV/+NAM as of yet. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted October 19, 2016 Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 Pretty ugly, splitty pattern coming up. Winter preview.Yep... an awesome setup will align about the end february to mid-march. Enjoy! Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 19, 2016 Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 Yep... an awesome setup will align about the end february to mid-march. Enjoy! Big cold snap just to our north in mid November. 57 degree rain in Eugene, 37 in Seattle, light snow in Vancouver, BC. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather101 Posted October 19, 2016 Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 Big cold snap just to our north in mid November. 57 degree rain in Eugene, 37 in Seattle, light snow in Vancouver, BC.Sounds good! 1 Quote 2013/2014 Winter season Coldest Low: 14 F December 7thColdest High: 27.3 F December 7thColdest Wind chill: 5 F December 7thLowest Dew Point: -2.2 F December 6thDays below freezing: 5Total Snowfall: 11 inchesMost snowfall in a Day: 8 inchesDays With Snow: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 19, 2016 Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 Well, I don't believe in God. I do believe in other dimensions.My interpretation of QM theory leads me to believe that we don't exist "within" dimensions, rather that we *are* dimensions. The only local reality is within the so-called "self". Think of the Schrödinger's cat dilemma, except replace the cat with a human, say, me. Am I dead or alive? From your perspective, I'm in a potential state, but obviously, from my perspective, I'm in an actual state. So, do we just assume this juxtaposition is just another "normal" abnormality on a single dimensional plane, or are we looking at separate planes of reality? Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 19, 2016 Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 And that's the thing. Whether you think forward or backward in time, you almost have to arrive at infinity. That's a pretty mindblowing thought as well.Yeah, it's kinda spooky to think about eternity, because humans process information linearly (hence our creation of "time" as a constructive, relativistic conduit to our understanding of the universe, as a substitute for entropy). In truth (most likely) nothing is "linear", and time (as we know it) is merely a reflection of entropy, either by our own construction, or as a real expression (debatable). Personally, I'm fascinated with circles and curves, and I believe there's a reason they're the only universal expression. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted October 19, 2016 Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 Leap of faith! Only works in movies! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted October 19, 2016 Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 Sounds good!The 00z EPS 45 day snowfall for YXX gives us almost 1.5 feet of snow starting Nov. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted October 19, 2016 Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 Yeah, it's kinda spooky to think about eternity, because humans process information linearly (hence our creation of "time" as a constructive, relativistic conduit to our understanding of the universe, as a substitute for entropy). In truth (most likely) nothing is "linear", and time (as we know it) is merely a reflection of entropy, either by our own construction, or as a real expression (debatable). Personally, I'm fascinated with circles and curves, and I believe there's a reason they're the only universal expression. Its all very interesting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 19, 2016 Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 Only works in movies!Point being, no matter what you believe, some faith is required. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 19, 2016 Author Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 Major cooling in the eastern sections of the ENSO regions in the last 7 days... and the PDO is definitely rising. http://coralreefwatch.noaa.gov/satellite/bleaching5km/images_current/cur_b05kmnn_ssttrend_007d_large.gif Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted October 19, 2016 Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 Point being, no matter what you believe, some faith is required. That's true. Some faith is required in everything you think or do, every day of your life. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted October 19, 2016 Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 Major cooling in the eastern sections of the ENSO regions in the last 7 days... and the PDO is definitely rising. http://coralreefwatch.noaa.gov/satellite/bleaching5km/images_current/cur_b05kmnn_ssttrend_007d_large.gifIs a +PDO bad for us? I can't remember. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 19, 2016 Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 The 00z EPS 45 day snowfall for YXX gives us almost 1.5 feet of snow starting Nov. 1 I am going to assume this is probably normal Nov-Mar. Even if it has the pattern progression correct, the resolution is probably garbage at that range. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 19, 2016 Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 Is a +PDO bad for us? I can't remember. Generally, a persistent +PDO pattern is not conducive to cold weather in the PNW. Especially Oct-Apr. See the past couple years. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest happ Posted October 19, 2016 Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 Generally, a persistent +PDO pattern is not conducive to cold weather in the PNW. Especially Oct-Apr. See the past couple years. The +PDO Is a dry pattern for California, right? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan the Weatherman Posted October 19, 2016 Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 The +PDO Is a dry pattern for California, right? +PDO has been associated with rainier winters in CA, especially the southern half of the state, but of course not every +PDO winter is wet. The vast majority of the late 1970's to the late 1990's was +PDO. There is often an increase in El Nino years during the +PDO phase, at least more recently. I am not quite sure how wet or dry +PDO is for the PNW, though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 19, 2016 Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 Welp...saw the sun for about a half hour late this morning, cloud deck has definitely gotten lower now. I really miss the excitement of last week. I want a 2006-07 repeat, that was such an action packed season!!! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 19, 2016 Author Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 Welp...saw the sun for about a half hour late this morning, cloud deck has definitely gotten lower now. I really miss the excitement of last week. I want a 2006-07 repeat, that was such an action packed season!!! Looks much quieter for the next couple weeks. Not dry by any means... but drier. A break will be nice. Maybe salvage a little nice weather in October. 10 inches of rain in the last week here... that is enough 'excitement'. The only excitement I am looking forward to is snow and cold! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 19, 2016 Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 Major cooling in the eastern sections of the ENSO regions in the last 7 days... and the PDO is definitely rising. http://coralreefwatch.noaa.gov/satellite/bleaching5km/images_current/cur_b05kmnn_ssttrend_007d_large.gif#bringbacktheblob! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted October 19, 2016 Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 Sounds good!selfish bastard! Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted October 19, 2016 Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 #bringbacktheblob!#blueblob2017 Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 19, 2016 Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 Looks much quieter for the next couple weeks. Not dry by any means... but drier. A break will be nice. Maybe salvage a little nice weather in October. 10 inches of rain in the last week here... that is enough 'excitement'. The only excitement I am looking forward to is snow and cold!I want it all! Wind, rain, snow, T-Storms, thundersnow, Arctic blasts, blowtorches...I want it all! I'm frothing at the mouth!!! I get the same way in March about wanting sun and warmth...I just can't wait!! Think I've had too much caffeine today. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 19, 2016 Author Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 I want it all! Wind, rain, snow, T-Storms, thundersnow, Arctic blasts, blowtorches...I want it all! I'm frothing at the mouth!!! I get the same way in March about wanting sun and warmth...I just can't wait!! Think I've had too much caffeine today. I think so. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sometimesdylan Posted October 19, 2016 Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 Please die Mr Blob. Quote "There are so many waves coming in all the time, you don't have to worry about that. Take your time—wave come. Let the other guys go; catch another one." -Duke Kahanamoku Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 19, 2016 Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 Somehow my phone switched from mobile version to desktop and I can't find where you go to switch it back. I have a Droid. Any help would be appreciated. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 19, 2016 Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 Somehow my phone switched from mobile version to desktop and I can't find where you go to switch it back. I have a Droid. Any help would be appreciated.It's usually at the far bottom left...at least on my iPhone. Small print Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather101 Posted October 19, 2016 Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 Somehow my phone switched from mobile version to desktop and I can't find where you go to switch it back. I have a Droid. Any help would be appreciated.Should be at the very bottom of the page in the corner " use mobile version" Quote 2013/2014 Winter season Coldest Low: 14 F December 7thColdest High: 27.3 F December 7thColdest Wind chill: 5 F December 7thLowest Dew Point: -2.2 F December 6thDays below freezing: 5Total Snowfall: 11 inchesMost snowfall in a Day: 8 inchesDays With Snow: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chinook Posted October 19, 2016 Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 Did NWS-PDX issue any notifications regarding the radar coming back in service? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 19, 2016 Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 For those into folklore stuff, we just found a wooly bear caterpillar on our garage without any stripe. Ice age?!?! http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/99FE6664-93B9-4DAB-87A1-C381B986D111_zpsurpsbiag.jpg 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 19, 2016 Report Share Posted October 19, 2016 Should be at the very bottom of the page in the corner " use mobile version"Got it, thanks. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 20, 2016 Report Share Posted October 20, 2016 Got it, thanks.Can confirm, works with our phone. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 20, 2016 Report Share Posted October 20, 2016 Need that Indonesian standing wave to propagate towards 150E ASAP. Vibes of 2005/2007 et al with the big +EPO/Pacific hose job, hence frigid air all bottled on the Eurasian side of the pole. At least no signs of a rabid, O^3-eating PV/+NAM as of yet. I think the MJO returning to the MC would be a good thing for us. The GFS is forecasting a pretty strong venture into Octant 8. That is probably the root of the sad looking model runs lately. As I mentioned many times though crappy Novembers are quite normal before our best winters here. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 20, 2016 Report Share Posted October 20, 2016 Generally, a persistent +PDO pattern is not conducive to cold weather in the PNW. Especially Oct-Apr. See the past couple years. I think it was positive during many of the 1980s Arctic blasts though. The PDO doesn't look all that bad right now anyway. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 20, 2016 Report Share Posted October 20, 2016 I think the MJO returning to the MC would be a good thing for us. The GFS is forecasting a pretty strong venture into Octant 8. That is probably the root of the sad looking model runs lately. As I mentioned many times though crappy Novembers are quite normal before our best winters here.What is your definition of "crappy"? As I'm sure you recall, 2010/11 featured a November blast and went on to deliver another one in February, and flirted with something special in January. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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