snow_wizard Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: This is something interesting the gfs picked up on the 00z last night with the low sliding south of the Puget sound region we never fully moderate here from the first shot before the next round starts. Cold air is always harder to scour out than the models too so this could be a pretty good scenario…but hopefully it doesn’t impact the longer range prospects like the 00z last night and is like the 06z. This mornings run is even a bit further south with the low than the 06z. Indeed. The GFS hangs onto the cold pretty much continuously between the two. 2 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeInEverett Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 Lol the temperature maps are gonna be ridiculous 2 (Previous name: MillCreekMike) Everett, WA (elev. 180’) 2023-2024 Snowfall: 1/11: Tr. 1/18: Tr. Go M’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: IF only the EURO follows this later. We would not be able to contain ourselves, and I'd probably pee a little. Who are we kidding. A LOT. Our pee would freeze before it hit the ground if this absurdity verified. 1 1 1 2 4 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 Day 7 and reload dropping south into southern BC. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 Feast your eyeballs on this!! 4 1 2 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 Day 7.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 Kuchera. 6 1 2 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: Feast your eyeballs on this!! I hope that really cold stuff makes it a bit farther south 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeInEverett Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 Are these the coldest temperature maps we’ve ever seen within one week of the possible event? I know Jan 2020 was close. 1 1 (Previous name: MillCreekMike) Everett, WA (elev. 180’) 2023-2024 Snowfall: 1/11: Tr. 1/18: Tr. Go M’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 Digggggggg!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 5 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: IF only the EURO follows this later. We would not be able to contain ourselves, and I'd probably pee a little. Who are we kidding. A LOT. Slow down there Miles Davis 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 A high of 21 for SEA next Friday. Let's lock this in! 2 5 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnarkyGoblin Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 2 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: Our pee would freeze before it hit the ground if this absurdity verified. Wtf. How can things be so wrong and it's only a week off? I would be curious what the new gfs shows around this time. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 1 minute ago, MillCreekMike said: Are these the coldest temperature maps we’ve ever seen within one week of the possible event? I know Jan 2020 was close. This is up there. 2 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 Back to normal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 Just now, SnarkyGoblin said: Wtf. How can things be so wrong and it's only a week off? I would be curious what the new gfs shows around this time. We need somebody to look at that. I don't know how to find it. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 Day 8 Diggggggggg!!!!!!!!!! You *#($*(&@($( 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 1 minute ago, SnarkyGoblin said: Wtf. How can things be so wrong and it's only a week off? I would be curious what the new gfs shows around this time. This with assumed heavy snow cover. That makes a big difference. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 1 minute ago, SnarkyGoblin said: Wtf. How can things be so wrong and it's only a week off? I would be curious what the new gfs shows around this time. It's not. I told you 1950 was coming back 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 2 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Digggggggg!!!!! 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 Block base getting squeezed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 More snow with that third system! OMG! 5 3 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeInEverett Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 Imagine if that block found a way to hold up 2 1 (Previous name: MillCreekMike) Everett, WA (elev. 180’) 2023-2024 Snowfall: 1/11: Tr. 1/18: Tr. Go M’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 Gem is nice 5 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 3 minutes ago, SnarkyGoblin said: Wtf. How can things be so wrong and it's only a week off? I would be curious what the new gfs shows around this time. Yea. -6F in Everett. I’m not sure what’s wrong with the gfs surface temp output but it’s bogus 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 The cold hangs on well for Portland and just a tad south. 2 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 Just now, ShawniganLake said: Yea. -6F in Everett. I’m not sure what’s wrong with the gfs surface temp output but it’s bogus I would be happy with +6 to be honest. That could be doable. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 1 minute ago, Timmy said: Gem is nice This is getting very real now. 4 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 North pole looks like it might be making a visit later this run 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: The cold hangs on well for Portland and just a tad south. We end up with the same low level blast and east winds. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 The 3rd reload shot just doesn’t have the power to really kick down a reinforcing shot but we do get a decent bit of snow in western WA. The short term improvements are solid on the 1st and 2nd shot for WA though. Too early to worry about what happens after the first 2 rounds. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 Day 9'er 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 It snows 2 or 3 inches on Saturday and then plunges to single digits Saturday night. 5 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 3 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said: North pole looks like it might be making a visit later this run What about Santa Claus? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I would be happy with +6 to be honest. That could be doable. I’d be happy with something below 14F. Hasn’t dropped below -10C since I moved to this house in 2014. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 Gem doesn’t look too far off from what the gfs is showing either. It’s further north with that low next week which transitions Seattle south to rain but transitions back and everywhere in western Wa gets hit. Little more snow south of Seattle later in the week but too early to really focus on anything past Wednesday next week at this point. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 Still cold on Sunday with offshore flow. 2 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 Day 4 12z GEFS (Past 4 runs) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 2 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: What about Santa Claus? Funny you ask. Yes. Santa Claus is coming to town. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 GEFS holding the first arctic trough over us better. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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