Winter 2016 Medium to Long Range Discussion; 5+ days out

[Jaycee]

i'll keep my mouth shut about it, but wow lol the snow OTG maps if that happened would be hilarious.

[Money]

Carolinas/Arkansas/Tennessee etc get crushed 

 

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2017010212/138/prateptype_cat.conus.png

[NEJeremy]

I really hope Oklahoma to South Carolina have more snow after this week than I've received all year.

[Money]

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2017010212/150/snku_acc.conus.png

 

Max of 38 inches in N. Carolina 

[gosaints]

Hope it happens

[Tony]

Almost every storm so far this past fall/winter has cut north so don't see a reason for it not to continue. gosaints will probably end up being the winner on this one!

[Money]

Hope it happens

 

Seeing all these people/states freak out over 8-9 inches of snow would be quite funny tbh 

[East Dubzz]

Hope it happens

Same here. That'd be epic.

[East Dubzz]

Seeing all these people/states freak out over 8-9 inches of snow would be quite funny tbh 

To be fair, 8-9 is a huge deal for places that aren't equip to deal with snowstorms. 

[gosaints]

Seeing all these people/states freak out over 8-9 inches of snow would be quite funny tbh

I love watching east coast bombs on radar and satellite

[Money]

Solid rain storm for MN/WI/IL/IA for the 10th system.

 

GFS has so many pieces of energy doesn't really make sense, but we'll see. 

 

Hardly any blocking showing up.

[gosaints]

Its a freaking disgusting pattern if this pans out..

[Money]

Its a freaking disgusting pattern if this pans out..

 

Look at all those pieces of energy:

 

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2017010212/186/prateptype_cat.conus.png

[gosaints]

Almost every storm so far this past fall/winter has cut north so don't see a reason for it not to continue. gosaints will probably end up being the winner on this one!

Not happening

[hlcater]

Places south of the ia/mo state line will be the winners with this one

[gosaints]

Places south of the ia/mo state line will be the winners with this one

Unless its a poop storm then it wont dig and someone will jack with 4 inches

[gosaints]

Look at all those pieces of energy:

 

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2017010212/186/prateptype_cat.conus.png

Problem is if it comes out as one piece then its gonna cut like hell.

[Money]

GGEM has one piece and cuts through WI and there's hardly any blocking at all.

 

Big rain storm with temps around 33-34 

[james1976]

My brother lives just south of Raleigh. If they get an inch or two EVERYTHING gets shut down. He laughs everytime.

I was out there over Thanksgiving. Its crazy seeing that GFS run dump that much snow out there. I traveled right thru that 3 feet jack zone. I cant imagine being out there for that. Wow

[james1976]

OKWx special?

[GDR]

Wow the gfs is loaded with rain!! Maybe early spring this year??

[jaster220]

Wow the gfs is loaded with rain!! Maybe early spring this year??

 

Loaded with rain where exactly??

[OKwx2k4]

Wow gfs. I'm right under that dark color in extreme eastern Oklahoma. If you go about 1/3 of the way straight down the OK/AR border to the part just above where the "slant" ends. That's where I'm at. Literally right on the state line.

[Tom]

Wow gfs. I'm right under that dark color in extreme eastern Oklahoma.

That'll make up for your last few lousy years in a hurry...

[OKwx2k4]

That's unusual for being so close to the event.

[Niko]

Well, it might look crappy for some posters on here, but, keep in mind folks, winter aint ova yet. We still have the whole month of January to go through, all of February and heck, even March for crying out loud.  Keep faith alive!!!!   

[Niko]

EC weenies are in for a shock.

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017010200/gfs_asnow_neus_33.png

[jaster220]

EC weenies are in for a shock.

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017010200/gfs_asnow_neus_33.png

 

IF that storm hits, those totals will prolly double just to rub it in our faces. Nino hang-over rule in effect if it does hit the EC like that. SER where are you??

[Niko]

IF that storm hits, those totals will prolly double just to rub it in our faces. Nino hang-over rule in effect if it does hit the EC like that. SER where are you??

Can you imagine all models agree to a storm like this and then, last second.....BAM, all models dont see the storm anymore. Suicide Watches and Warnings will have to be issued.

[Tony]

Unfortunately nothing showing up this week again. Maybe next week but pattern not looking favorable

[Niko]

Unfortunately nothing showing up this week again. Maybe next week but pattern not looking favorable

Indeed correct. Same here. A dry, frigid week projected by forecasters with maybe a few squalls tomorrow as a coldfront enters the area. Otherwise, a very tranquil week shaping up to be. Maybe next week there will be something to track. I heard that around mid-month, there might be some potential. Also, it might turn out to be a snowless month and all hell breaks loose in February. Ya neva know Tony!   

[Niko]

IF that storm hits, those totals will prolly double just to rub it in our faces. Nino hang-over rule in effect if it does hit the EC like that. SER where are you??

SER is MIA, unfortunately.

[james1976]

Suppression city on 0z GFS. Jackzone out to sea.

[gosaints]

Only a week away from our next potential rain storm

[Snowlover76]

oh look, cold and dry this week, warm next week and when we get precip its rain.

 

 

What a garbage winter 

[Snowlover76]

I think it is now safe to say that January will not produce anything meaningful. 

[Tom]

I'm not expecting much excitement on this board over the next 2+ weeks as there will be a rather impressive re-alignment in the N PAC and the ridging which has been semi permanent in the N PAC will be replaced by a pretty big Gulf of Alaska trough by mid month.  I think it will take some time, but eventually what we will see is for a trough to build south of the Aleutians where there has been a rather strong ridge (-PNA).  The GOA trough will eventually retrograde west and pump a NW NAMER ridge towards very late January which will set the stage for a cold open to February IMO.  It just seems like this transitional period will take much longer than all of us would like but I just don't see it happening quicker.  

[FV-Mike]

I'm not expecting much excitement on this board over the next 2+ weeks as there will be a rather impressive re-alignment in the N PAC and the ridging which has been semi permanent in the N PAC will be replaced by a pretty big Gulf of Alaska trough by mid month.  I think it will take some time, but eventually what we will see is for a trough to build south of the Aleutians where there has been a rather strong ridge (-PNA).  The GOA trough will eventually retrograde west and pump a NW NAMER ridge towards very late January which will set the stage for a cold open to February IMO.  It just seems like this transitional period will take much longer than all of us would like but I just don't see it happening quicker.  

 

Solid assessment

[james1976]

GFS with a flurry or two for some of us over the next 2 weeks.

[GDR]

GFS with a flurry or two for some of us over the next 2 weeks.

looks like some sprinkles to..