December 2016 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

[Timmy]

Well, I might get a little excitement and lose my power as the east winds impact us pretty good here. I installed in a generator transfer switch over the summer and can power about 60% of my house. Exciting times!

 

IMG_1468.jpeg

Same here! Got a 9kw generator and transfer switch

IMG_1470.jpeg

[Deweydog]

Temps in the basin certainly aren't inspiring.  

 

12-1-05.  

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Cliff a** has amended his OP and now stating areas along Hood Canal see over half a foot

Closer to 12 inches.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Temps in the basin certainly aren't inspiring.  

 

12-1-05.  

 

8-4-16

[luvssnow_spokane]

 

Well, I might get a little excitement and lose my power as the east winds impact us pretty good here. I installed in a generator transfer switch over the summer and can power about 60% of my house. Exciting times!

 

IMG_1468.jpeg

Same here! Got a 9kw generator and transfer switch

IMG_1470.jpeg

 

Nice! Mine is only a 5500KW

[FroYoBro]

Temps in the basin certainly aren't inspiring.

 

12-1-05.

I have a vivid memory of that morning. I was in high school and I had only been a weather weenie for about a year at that point. I was so excited to get a snow day. I woke up to moderate rain falling and I felt soooooooo depressed waiting at the bus stop.

[Timmy]

8-4-16

9-11-2001

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Temps in the basin certainly aren't inspiring.

 

12-1-05.

I thought of that analog today

[Deweydog]

I have a vivid memory of that morning. I was in high school and I had only been a weather weenie for about a year at that point. I was so excited to get a snow day. I woke up to moderate rain falling and I felt soooooooo depressed waiting at the bus stop.

 

Totally different setup, but yeah, that one was maybe one of the biggest NWS blunders I have memory of.  It was a perplexing call.  This one, if it busts, won't be quite as egregious.  

[Deweydog]

I thought of that analog today

 

It's worse than December 1994.  

 

12-18-05 isn't a bad match for tomorrow.  

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Cliff a** has amended his OP and now stating areas along Hood Canal see over half a foot

If he would lay off the bottle he would be ok. Pretty sure he has a whiskey whistle in his car...

[luvssnow_spokane]

9-11-2001

 

 

12/17/16  

[BLI snowman]

I like your 3-4 inches better. 

 

It's going to be cool, stiff, and sweet.

[Timmy]

Nice! Mine is only a 5500KW

Yeah my primary heat is electric.

[MossMan]

Well it's still only 30F here in the Stanwood Haggen parking lot! Perhaps we will see a half hr of slop tomorrow night at 2am!

[luvssnow_spokane]

Yeah my primary heat is electric.

Makes sense... I am on gas so not much of a power draw there.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

9-11-2001

 

12-18-1990

[luvssnow_spokane]

Well it's still only 30F here in the Stanwood Haggen parking lot! Perhaps we will see a half hr of slop tomorrow night at 2am!

historic!!!!

[Goducks09]

Dont forget about 1/3/16!

[Deweydog]

It's going to be cool, stiff, and sweet.

 

I mean, we'd all like to have 8-10 inches...

[MossMan]

Now watch everyone's favorite drunk uncle bring all the great back!

[BLI snowman]

I mean, we'd all like to have 8-10 inches...

 

I hear it's more about the duration than anything else. 

[Jbolin]

Now watch everyone's favorite drunk uncle bring all the great back!

Retweet, Retweet

[bainbridgekid]

FWIW (not much) the 18z NAM does curl the low back around and bring it in South of Seattle Saturday morning.

 

Close to keeping things pretty chilly through Friday night North of Seattle and keeps things mostly snowy for at least Northern Whatcom county.

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2016120718/namconus_ref_frzn_nwus_46.png

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

FWIW (not much) the 18z NAM does curl the low back around and bring it in South of Seattle Saturday morning.

 

Close to keeping things pretty chilly through Friday.

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2016120718/namconus_ref_frzn_nwus_46.png

The 12z did that also??

[bainbridgekid]

The 12z did that also??

Not to that degree though. 18z keeps the low more intact and stronger and brings it further South.

 

I do think this is the kind of low that is pretty likely to curl back toward us since there is very little jet support to drive it into BC. May or may not impact the timing of our warmup depending on the finer details.

[TT-SEA]

28 and sunny here.    Going to be the first sub-30 day of the year.    

 

Dewpoint down to 20.   

 

Not a hint of melting... snow still on deciduous trees even.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

28 and sunny here. Going to be the first sub-30 day of the year.

 

Dewpoint down to 20.

 

Not a hint of melting... snow still on deciduous trees even.

It's been a nice early season event. I really do hope we can have some widespread lowland accumulations.

[Jesse]

I wonder if PDX will get down to freezing tonight with the wind.

[Deweydog]

I wonder if PDX will get down to freezing tonight with the wind.

 

Not likely.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I wonder if PDX will get down to freezing tonight with the wind.

We ll always have this morning.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Still 32 at home. Kinda surprised at that.

[HighlandExperience]

[Jesse]

Not likely.

Well that would put a damper on tomorrow.

[Jesse]

I could be crazy, but those -13c 850s and -10 925s forecasted over The Dalles tonight into tomorrow morning could mean even windy areas get down around 30 west side.

 

Time, as always, will tell.

[HighlandExperience]

[bainbridgekid]

1 PM temps/dew points

 

BLI: 31/5

Everett: 31/27

SEA: 37/23

OLM: 37/25

PDX: 39/22

EUG: 33/28

[Deweydog]

I could be crazy, but those -13c 850s and -10 925s forecasted over The Dalles tonight into tomorrow morning could mean even windy areas get down around 30 west side.

 

Time, as always, will tell.

I'd say 33 at PDX tomorrow morning.

[Timmy]

18z shows the airmass being colder than what the 12z said it would be at this time. actually by a decent margin at 850mb

[MossMan]

18z running. Any wagers on if it brings back heavier snow accumulations?

 

No? Yeah, me neither.

Feet of snow Seattle north...take it to the bank! The NAM was a clear trend in the right direction!