December 2016 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

[TT-SEA]

Have you been there? They have a home depot, walmart, one of the biggest hardware stores in the state several grocery stores and pretty much everything else you would need.

 

 

Yes... I have been there.  It has the basic big box stores.

 

Most people consider it very remote.  It was a humorous statement.

[MossMan]

Temp down to 31.2 and cloudy. The melting that had begun earlier has stopped and re iced.

[snow_wizard]

Temp down to 31.2 and cloudy. The melting that had begun earlier has stopped and re iced.

Just about back down to freezing here also. There might be a chance of seeing some snow when the precip begins later on.

[TT-SEA]

It would be nice to not have snow in the morning here... going to make the morning more stressful for no reward since it will be warming up and melting most the snow anyways.   

 

I am hoping for 34-degree rain here and along the I-90 corridor this time around.  

[luminen]

Not sure how much snow there is on the ground but it's still snowing with wind blowing it around. I love how it swirls in the air under the lights and sometimes seems to float in midair, then suddenly gets blasted by wind onto the ground. I'll have to take a walk soon...

[Weather101]

It would be nice to not have snow in the morning here... going to make the morning more stressful for no reward since it will be warming up and melting most the snow anyways.

 

I am hoping for 34-degree rain here and along the I-90 corridor this time around.

Okay Russell Wilson

[ShawniganLake]

It would be nice to not have snow in the morning here... going to make the morning more stressful for no reward since it will be warming up and melting most the snow anyways.

 

I am hoping for 34-degree rain here and along the I-90 corridor this time around.

33 degree rain is also popular with many people around here.

[Weather101]

33 degree rain is also popular with many people around here.

Very

[MossMan]

33 degree rain is also popular with many people around here.

We are very used to 33 degree rain after the last few years!!

[HighlandExperience]

We are very used to 33 degree rain after the last few years!!

 

You still get more snow than anyone here. 

[MossMan]

You still get more snow than anyone here.

Nah...Snowmizer, Tim, and Brennan usually gets a lot more than me...at least since 2012.

[Phil]

The 18z continues the improving trend around Christmas. Nice GOA ridge / SE ridge setup in the 5 to 10 day period. Sad thing I've been so right about this winter so far and yet have almost nothing to show for it.

The pattern has just been too progressive overall. Need a more amplified GOA/NPAC block in the long run.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Went for a drive up to the top of gold mountain just above my place. Still 6 inches of snow up here and its 29 degrees at 1500 ft. Light snow up here. It will snow on the kitsap pen tonight.

[TT-SEA]

Nah...Snowmizer, Tim, and Brennan usually gets a lot more than me...at least since 2012.

 

I had a couple winters with barely anything.   I think 2013-14 and 2014-15.       

[TT-SEA]

Went for a drive up to the top of gold mountain just above my place. Still 6 inches of snow up here and its 29 degrees at 1500 ft. Light snow up here. It will snow on the kitsap pen tonight.

 

 

Pretty much a given over there with trapped cold air.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I had a couple winters with barely anything. I think 2013-14 and 2014-15.

2014-15 was dreadful

[TT-SEA]

2014-15 was dreadful

 

 

The advantage that winter was lots of dry weather and sunshine... made it a very pleasant winter.   I am fine with cold/snow or any form of dry.  

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Pretty much a given over there with trapped cold air.

 

This is looking east from the top. The view up here in the daytime is stunning looking west at the Olympic mountains.

[Farmboy]

The pattern has just been too progressive overall. Need a more amplified GOA/NPAC block in the long run.

Debbie Downer....

[Timmy]

Models show 1-4" for me tonight/tomorrow morning. Leaning towards the lower amounts, but also think there will be a a fair amount of sleet/zr. I'm actually looking forward to snow melting off the roads tomorrow. Two work trucks are still in the ditch since Wednesday.

[Bryant]

Debbie Downer....

Would you rather false hope?

[Front Ranger]

Would you rather false hope?

 

Is that what the Euro is peddling?

[Jesse]

Seems like the east winds are picking up just a hair out there.

[Front Ranger]

0z GFS is takes a step towards the Euro in the mid range. Shows a little lowland snow on Saturday and is pretty close to a significant snowstorm.

[TT-SEA]

Snowstorm in Portland right before Christmas??

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016121900/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_21.png

[luminen]

I'm coming to PDX for Christmas so you can bet your a** it'll snow. 

 

It's stopped snowing here for now even though the radar shows a huge area of precip overhead. Thankfully it's not raining.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Mm5 is insisting on a pretty good snow for the entire kitsap pen now.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Yeah that is certainly an interesting track....Very similar to a 1/1/04 type event...

[Heavy Snow]

0z GFS is takes a step towards the Euro in the mid range. Shows a little lowland snow on Saturday and is pretty close to a significant snowstorm.

Snowstorm in Portland right before Christmas??

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016121900/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_21.png

I'm coming to PDX for Christmas so you can bet your a** it'll snow. 

 

It's stopped snowing here for now even though the radar shows a huge area of precip overhead. Thankfully it's not raining.

 

Possible, the updated run of the 00z GFS is also keying on what the 12z EURO showed this morning. On day 7 it shows a system heading into California. If it heads into the PNW, we could most likely see a nice snowstorm for most of us here.

 

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2016121900/168/850th_nb.na.png

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2016121900/168/prateptype_cat.na.png

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Cutoff low. What is this the EURO? lol

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Then a nice fogversion develops. We need at least one of those this winter...

[Farmboy]

What is it with these Oregon-only snow events...?  This is really becoming a little irksome.

[MossMan]

Temp spike now all the way up to 34.3 however DP is only at 20 according to my weather station.

[luvssnow_spokane]

Possible, the updated run of the 00z GFS is also keying on what the 12z EURO showed this morning. On day 7 it shows a system heading into California. If it heads into the PNW, we could most likely see a nice snowstorm for most of us here.

 

 

 

I have to admit is Portland gets hit again and we do not get anything I am going to be more than just little pissed. Cmon!!!! -- Actually, I am happy for them but just seems so tough to get snow here in the puget sound and the drought is even harder when so many others keep getting the goods and we just have to watch. fingers crossed!

[FroYoBro]

Down to 29 here. Probably will see some sleet/snow/freezing rain for a little bit before turning to rain. 

[MossMan]

Correction...35 now...the south winds have kicked in.

[BLI snowman]

Looking a little more favorable tonight for widespread frozen precip around here. Dew points in 25-27 range and light east wind still going at PDX. Question is if we have any window at all for much accumulation.

[Heavy Snow]

I have to admit is Portland gets hit again and we do not get anything I am going to be more than just little pissed. Cmon!!!! -- Actually, I am happy for them but just seems so tough to get snow here in the puget sound and the drought is even harder when so many others keep getting the goods and we just have to watch. fingers crossed!

 

Cheer up luvssnow_seattle, think of it this way. Due to the fact that you haven't gotten as much Snow as everybody else in recent years means you have better chances in future events. Mother nature always balances itself out in the long run.

[Bham_Guy]

Correction...35 now...the south winds have kicked in.

 

Same here now.

[HighlandExperience]

Correction...35 now...the south winds have kicked in.

Ouch. Wish that precip came in earlier.