December 2016 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The Gem was weird

[Tyler Mode]

1" of snow here in Battle Ground at just over 300'.  32.9 degrees.

 

This is the most of any lowland location I know of in Clark County.

 

No snow on the ground south of about where 205/I-5 come together. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

We have definitely lost the GFS, ensembles and all now...Wow, that was depressing to look at. 

[Heavy Snow]

It's all over.

[luvssnow_spokane]

We have definitely lost the GFS, ensembles and all now...Wow, that was depressing to look at. 

You should have known better silly rabbit.  WARNING! other models will probably follow... you have been warned 

[kokaneekidz]

Snow just started up again in Mukilteo after a 4 hour break. Coming down well and a touch cooler now as well. Progressing nicely

[FroYoBro]

You should have known better silly rabbit.  WARNING! other models will probably follow... you have been warned 

You are on a roll today. 

[luvssnow_spokane]

It's all over.

For now at least.... Lots of winter left.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

We probably won't even get any teens out of this...Maybe next year guys. 

[MossMan]

We have definitely lost the GFS, ensembles and all now...Wow, that was depressing to look at.

Meh...it's going to get cold, and many will see lots of white later in the week...it's all good.

[Bham_Guy]

Snowing again in B'ham. Maybe we can pull off a dusting.

[Goducks09]

We have definitely lost the GFS, ensembles and all now...Wow, that was depressing to look at. 

 

 

Sort of saw that coming after last night's runs...  One of these days it will happen...it may just not be this go 'round.

[Bryant]

I have been thinking of doing this. What kind of webcam did you use?

It's actually just the webcam built into the laptop honestly. I use teamviewer to connect to the computer from my phone

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Oh well I scored a surprise 32/23 today. For posterity that will look nice. Was a beautiful day. 

[Heavy Snow]

For now at least.... Lots of winter left.

Yeah at face value would we all get some nice snow/ice with the GFS, GEM and UKMET but we can't have any further trend north.

[luvssnow_spokane]

Yeah at face value would we all get some nice snow/ice with the GFS, GEM and UKMET but we can't have any further trend north.

I suspect the trend may continue north based on past patterns and averages. BUT anything can happen.

[Goducks09]

You'll still need your Chapstick in PDX next week...

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I think the Jan 8-13th period is one to watch...

[HighlandExperience]

FWIW, NWS updated the WWA for EPSL, now only calling for an inch or two instead of up to 3.

 

Which, besides the CZ/band near Snohomish, the radar is looking fairly weak so they will probably end up right barring any further CZ development as the L starts to move South.

 

 

This event reminds of the last two in December. Very weak arctic front, and snow in all the same places. Marginal borderline snow everywhere else. 

[luvssnow_spokane]

I think the Jan 8-13th period is one to watch...

of course it is... 

[chopper 918]

Euro says hold on!

[kokaneekidz]

The infrared satellite sure looks way more promising than anything I've seen elsewhere. I mean that low is really churning now right above Whistler presently from the looks of it from space.

 

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/wxloop.cgi?ir_enhanced+25

[MossMan]

Euro says hold on!

Indeed...

[luvssnow_spokane]

Good NEWS!!! Euro looks colder!! OMG  New years miracle!!!!!

[Goducks09]

00z Euro is much colder on Thursday than it's 12z run.

[Heavy Snow]

Good NEWS!!! Euro looks colder!! OMG New years miracle!!!!!

It's a New Years Day miracle!

[luvssnow_spokane]

Thursday!         Northern wants to win?

 

 

[Kayla]

Wow, outflow goes off on this run. 925mb temps drop down to -11c at hour 84 for PDX! 

[HighlandExperience]

Thursday!         Northern wants to win?

 

ecmwf_T850_nwus_5.png

 

SnowMizer was trying to tell you this earlier. 

[Kayla]

just got real

[Goducks09]

850's still colder on Friday...

[BLI snowman]

Total shitshow of a forecast for mid to late week.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Thursday! Northern wants to win?

 

Jewzecmwf_T850_nwus_5.png

Wow what do ya know.

[luvssnow_spokane]

Friday... Glorious!!!!!!   

 

 

[MossMan]

Think the models are struggling just a tad???

[Kayla]

850mb temps back down to -11c at hour 102 as well.

[chopper 918]

Think the models are struggling just a tad???

Hell, they can't get it right 24 hours in advance.

[FroYoBro]

Humans are pretty bad at making weather models still. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Probably the wildest swings run to run i have ever seen.

[BLI snowman]

850mb temps back down to -11c at hour 102 as well.

 

0c on the GFS.

 

What's 11 degrees between model friends?