February 2017 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

[Geos]

 

 

 

[Skier B]

5.5" 30.9F

Burien 390'

11.5" Season total

[Geos]

Hearing reports of 2' in the Buckley and Graham area.

 

14z HRRR showing more accumulation later in King County in particular.

 

[snow_wizard]

I actually have 7 inches here. Still a nice batch of snow.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

It's trying for you guys down that way. 3" here since midnight. 7.2" since 2pm yesterday.

 

It's absolutely dumping out now, 28F with moderate snow. If this keeps up even an half an hour we'll easily double our snow total. Definitely getting some of that convective stuff now and the super high accumulation ratio will help.

[snow_wizard]

SEA officially got 2" yesterday, probably at least another couple inches so far this AM. Pretty snowy scene from the Space Needle: http://50yrcamera.spaceneedle.net/

Do you still hate it there?

That is a really cool camera.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Really coming down now out there!

[snow_wizard]

Do you still hate it there?

I feel a little bit better, but sometimes it's just torture to finally score here.

[Front Ranger]

Actually, I see that SEA had a 4" depth at 4 am, and they've gotten another .24" of snow since then, so probably at least 6" on the ground.

 

They also dropped to at least 30, so the GFS MOS was too warm a couple days ago.

[Randyc321]

The radar is looking much better

[Geos]

Sitting at 28° with flurries. Nice stream of moisture coming into King County and the Kitsap from the southwest.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Heavy snow now, I took this picture about 10 mins ago and there's almost double the amount since then.

 

http://i131.photobucket.com/albums/p286/jemeric/IMG_3849_zpsdk3avixq.jpg

[Jesse]

Actually, I see that SEA had a 4" depth at 4 am, and they've gotten another .24" of snow since then, so probably at least 6" on the ground.

 

They also dropped to at least 30, so the GFS MOS was too warm a couple days ago.

Yeah, I was gonna say, despite the intense mocking from Dewey and Tim the flash freeze thing kind of panned out up there.

[Jesse]

I actually have 7 inches here. Still a nice batch of snow.

That's a very decent snowfall. You're gonna surpass my January 10th-11th amount pretty soon.

[Jesse]

We have seen an unbelievable amount of 34-36 degree rain here the last 24 hours. The only way you could even tell it was ever close to snow was with a windshield splat test. Never even got to the point where snow was visible in the air.

 

I am happy to take one for the team and see northerners score, though.

[ShawniganLake]

It's absolutely dumping out now, 28F with moderate snow. If this keeps up even an half an hour we'll easily double our snow total. Definitely getting some of that convective stuff now and the super high accumulation ratio will help.

My 2-4" call seems doable.

[Jesse]

My 2-4" call seems doable.

How much do you have on the ground now?

[Geos]

Snow falling in the Shelton area again.

 

[ShawniganLake]

I picked up 7.2" before they issued a warning. Oops. Environment Canada missed it.

[Jesse]

Pretty impressive that PDX saw its wettest February day on record yesterday.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Pretty impressive that PDX saw its wettest February day on record yesterday.

Incredible, Newport too! Downtown it was 4th wettest going back to 1872.

 

And I'm picking up snow this morning

[ShawniganLake]

How much do you have on the ground now?

14-16" depending on where you measure. We had a lot of low ratio snow the past couple days. 32-33F. It's cold this morning though. 27F.

[ShawniganLake]

Nam, Gfs, and gem are liking the idea of 10-15" more here between now and Thursday. Euro is lighter and quicker with the midweek transition.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

My 2-4" call seems doable.

 

From the looks of it there's already about 3" of very powdery snow on the ground, 2 of which fell in the past 30 minutes. Still snowing moderately and the temperature and the temperature has dropped to around 27F. If this keeps up much longer your call may have been too low.

[snow maniac]

Snow falling in the Shelton area again.

 

Yes snowing nicely here at Mason Lk

[Jesse]

14-16" depending on where you measure. We had a lot of low ratio snow the past couple days. 32-33F. It's cold this morning though. 27F.

Sounds like you really got shafted.

[Jesse]

Nam, Gfs, and gem are liking the idea of 10-15" more here between now and Thursday. Euro is lighter and quicker with the midweek transition.

That would be pretty insane. You'd have what, 24"-30" on the ground?

 

Maybe that will get you closer to your seasonal average.

[snow maniac]

Nice snow showers moving in.

[TT-SEA]

Actually, I see that SEA had a 4" depth at 4 am, and they've gotten another .24" of snow since then, so probably at least 6" on the ground.

 

They also dropped to at least 30, so the GFS MOS was too warm a couple days ago.

 

 

I would not call this a flash freeze... that is usually reserved for a deep plunge into arctic air and not slipping down to 30 and now up to 33 at 9 a.m.  

 

The wind is picking up here now... lots of snow falling off the trees which is cool to watch.   They pop up in cloud of blowing snow.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looks like some good snow in the west Salem hills this morning

[ShawniganLake]

From the looks of it there's already about 3" of very powdery snow on the ground, 2 of which fell in the past 30 minutes. Still snowing moderately and the temperature and the temperature has dropped to around 27F. If this keeps up much longer your call may have been too low.

Likely will be.

[snow_wizard]

Nice batch of snow heading toward the Central Sound. Going to be close for my area.

[Front Ranger]

I would not call this a flash freeze... that is usually reserved for a deep plunge into arctic air and not slipping down to 30 and now up to 33 at 9 a.m.

 

The wind is picking up here now... lots of snow falling off the trees which is cool to watch. They pop up in cloud of blowing snow.

I didn't call it anything. Just pointed out the GFS MOS was too warm.

[TT-SEA]

I didn't call it anything. Just pointed out the GFS MOS was too warm.

 

GFS MOS showed 32.   ECMWF showed 30 for last night.   In the ballpark.   

[Front Ranger]

That would be pretty insane. You'd have what, 24"-30" on the ground?

 

Maybe that will get you closer to your seasonal average.

Ha, pretty sure most lower BC locations have easily surpassed their winter average. With the combination of prolonged cold and snow, been a great winter up there (even with Victoria proper getting relatively "screwed").

[luvssnow_spokane]

Warming up pretty quick here. Nice steady south wind.

[Front Ranger]

GFS MOS showed 32. ECMWF showed 30 for last night. In the ballpark.

A couple days ago you were saying MOS said 41/33 for today. Maybe even a low of 34 at one point.

 

It was too warm a couple days out, no doubt about it.

[Jesse]

Ha, pretty sure most lower BC locations have easily surpassed their winter average. With the combination of prolonged cold and snow, been a great winter up there (even with Victoria proper getting relatively "screwed").

I haven't checked the numbers lately, but based on comments I think this is one of Victoria's warmest winters on record to date.

[Jesse]

Looks like some good snow in the west Salem hills this morning

Those are technically called the Eola Hills.

[BLI snowman]

Just about everyone has seen 4" or more at some point now.

 

Great winter.