PNW December 2022, winter might be coming; but mostly canceled.

[Slushy Inch]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Looks like the euro huh?

Trended that way in the short term! 

[Timmy]

At least we can all whine together now!

[Snownerd3000]

I said it before but I mean it this time.  I'll see you guys after 10 for the 0z Euro.

[fubario]

oh..so we're still freaking out about the gfs. got it 

[SouthHillFrosty]

Artic air is trying again hour 168…. It’s not really Artic tho

[Nov1985]

[fubario]

a tornado just hit the west side of new orleans. prayers up

[SouthHillFrosty]

1 minute ago, fubario said:

a tornado just hit the west side of new orleans. prayers up

Oh shzt , that’s horrible. How strong is it?

[Nov1985]

[Christensen87]

2 minutes ago, fubario said:

a tornado just hit the west side of new orleans. prayers up

https://www.wdsu.com/nowcast

[Slushy Inch]

Another run with this. 

[Nov1985]

Some 17" around Tacoma

 

[yellowstone]

I’ll say again, not sure why we’re paying attention to GFS at all really. Multiple times over the last month it’s forecasted snow less than 24 hours out that didn’t happen. It’s been bouncing all over the place for weeks. I take it as a good sign that it’s somewhere in the general ballpark of Euro (there’s a ridge!  And arctic air headed generally south!) and then I move on. 

[Omegaraptor]

Up to 2" of ZR in some parts of Portland metro. Won't be many deciduous trees left undamaged after that.

[TT-SEA]

Even the runs that look worse at the 500mb level still bury Seattle... its pretty much a constant now.  

How about 17 inches of snow in 24 hours.   

[fubario]

2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Oh shzt , that’s horrible. How strong is it?

reported damage. that's all they're saying on weather channel so far.

[Nov1985]

And... Merry xmas

 

[Christensen87]

Thursday is looking like the timeframe where sh*t hits the fan. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

[Slushy Inch]

1 minute ago, Christensen87 said:

Thursday is looking like the timeframe where sh*t hits the fan. 

Yes, Monday - Tuesday still up in the air.

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Up to 2" of ZR in some parts of Portland metro. Won't be many deciduous trees left undamaged after that.

I will gladly take 18 inches of snow in one day over that.  

[Slushy Inch]

No warmup so far for WA

[MikeInEverett]

North of OLM stays as snow all the way through on this run

[MossMan]

1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

That works!! 
For me. 

[Timmy]

2 minutes ago, Christensen87 said:

Thursday is looking like the timeframe where sh*t hits the fan. 

Remember when it was Saturday before that ?

[SouthHillFrosty]

1 minute ago, MillCreekMike said:

North of OLM stays as snow all the way through on this run

Ish. Here it is zoomed in. Looks messy starting in south King county 

[Nov1985]

Nothing south of here

 

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Timmy said:

Remember when it was Saturday before that ?

It actually gets going Wednesday morning into Thursday morning.  

And that feature is a constant on all runs of all models now.   That is the big overrunning event and it seems pretty likely to bury the Seattle area.

[Requiem]

It's just the GFS but man what a disheartening run 

[Slushy Inch]

Can't wait to see how many more pink members there are on the GEFS for Boeing Field!

[Timmy]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

It actually gets going Wednesday morning into Thursday morning.  

And that feature is a constant on all runs of all models now.   That is the big overrunning event and it seems pretty likely to bury the Seattle area.

I meant that we tracking the event this coming Saturday, now it’s next Thursday 

[Nov1985]

Did someone ask for high pressure?

[Slushy Inch]

1 minute ago, Nov1985 said:

Did someone ask for high pressure?

My hope is for fake cold to keep snow around into Christmas.

[Omegaraptor]

1 minute ago, Nov1985 said:

Did someone ask for high pressure?

Can't wait for 40/33 days and slush in Sunriver!

[snow_wizard]

Word of the day is uncertainty.  Can't wait to see how this actually plays out!

[Slushy Inch]

Bump in snow for Sunday night.

[Nov1985]

1 minute ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

My hope is for fake cold to keep snow around into Christmas.

That's what I was referencing. Ha RD TI TYPE on a treadmillllll

[Doinko]

Just now, snow_wizard said:

Word of the day is uncertainty.  Can't wait to see how this actually plays out!

I'm not liking how it's looking here

[Joshua Lake Oswego]

8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I will gladly take 18 inches of snow in one day over that.  

Ya think?! I will take 60 degree rain over that. Well, I love all rain to be fair. I will take anything besides a tornado or other very extreme wind event over that. 

[TT-SEA]

6 minutes ago, Timmy said:

I meant that we tracking the event this coming Saturday, now it’s next Thursday 

I know... clearly the original progression has been slowed down significantly.    The ECMWF does get things going on Tuesday.    But the delay actually leads to much more snow up here as tons of moisture gets pulled in now.