From what I can see in pieces on the 12Z ECMWF it's just as troughy as previous runs next week. Looks like a strong cold front on Thursday only seeing the cloud map that is available that far out.
Indeed. But tropical forcing (both intraseasonal and low frequency/ENSO) was structured very differently that year.
And to be fair, I was predicting a massive 4CH that summer with lots of western heat centered over the Interior West/inland PNW, but that got overshadowed by that fluky 4-day aberration that was a 1-in-500 year wave entrapment event (we might not see it again in our lifetimes).
My misfire on the most prolific heatwave in PNW history is especially annoying because everything else that summer I nailed to a tee. But that’s not what people will remember. Story of my life, haha.
I am just thankful there won't be a crash during the day on Sunday. The crash on that Saturday in April cut off a beautiful day right in the middle. Quite annoying. Sunday will be beautiful from start to finish out here. Just the way my mom likes it.
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