Money Posted December 7, 2017 Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 0z GFS with 4-6 inches of snow in eastern wi through next Tuesday Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 7, 2017 Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 GFS is very active with disturbances every other day next week near the GL’s. Fun times ahead. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted December 7, 2017 Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 GFS is very active with disturbances every other day next week near the GL’s. Fun times ahead.Except they all miss Iowa , except for that real nice one.... at hour 210. Although DVN mentioned in their AFD recently that its quite likely this clippers will bounce around a bit due to their low amplitude signature. Maybe one or 2 will bounce southwest and we get lucky? They're only missing by 75-80miles verbatim. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 7, 2017 Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 GFS is very active with disturbances every other day next week near the GL’s. Fun times ahead.Yup nearly 8-10+ from mn to mi through hr 240 Cold and snow 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted December 7, 2017 Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 Except they all miss Iowa , except for that real nice one.... at hour 210. Although DVN mentioned in their AFD recently that its quite likely this clippers will bounce around a bit due to their low amplitude signature. Maybe one or 2 will bounce southwest and we get lucky? They're only missing by 75-80miles verbatim.They're coming here instead. I'll bet you on that. Loser gets my cat. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 7, 2017 Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 Except they all miss Iowa , except for that real nice one.... at hour 210. Although DVN mentioned in their AFD recently that its quite likely this clippers will bounce around a bit due to their low amplitude signature. Maybe one or 2 will bounce southwest and we get lucky? They're only missing by 75-80miles verbatim.Ya, it's going to bounce around but that is to be expected. The GEFS have been trending wetter so its encouraging to see the 00z GFS come in wetter in the 5-10 day period. I'm thinking the 00z GEFS continue the wetter trend. Now, if the 00z Euro shows something similar maybe we'll be onto something. Regarding the Day 9-10 system, it's lining up to something the 12z Euro was "trying" to show when I posted the jet structure maps in our Dec Observation thread. That system could become a hybrid. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 7, 2017 Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 MI is going to be building a glacier next week...LES belts gonna crank! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 7, 2017 Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 Models are coming in more moist for Saturday. A storm on the EC might slow down this clipper and throw down some more accumulations in MI. Something to keep an eye on. Could be higher snow totals than currently anticipated. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 7, 2017 Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 LOT's take.... http://www.weather.gov/images/lot/wxstory/Tab2FileL.png Guidance solutions indicate fairly strong lift, albeit quickhitting, within favorable snow profiles Friday night. Thissupports moderate to brief heavy snowfall rates. Mixing ratiosare forecast to peak at or a little above 2 g/kg on key isentropiclayers but for only about 6 hours or so, so empirically in warmadvection that lines up well with forecast maximums around 2-3inches. Given the mean path of the system, this higher snowfalltotal area would include parts of far northeast Illinois/Chicagoarea and northwest Indiana. The timing for the widespread snow ismainly overnight/early Saturday morning, which may keep impactssomewhat down. However a Winter Weather Advisory may still need tobe considered. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 7, 2017 Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 RPM Model... Euro vs GFS... Michiana is going to get pounded! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 7, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 GRR's latest AFD - They've upgraded/added some counties to their WWA, tho thinking a bust for Marshall's 3+ total is likely (GRR over-blows LES but ignores synoptic storms til the 11th hr). I will say tho, that the bolded indicates some "belt counties" could get a WSWatch for the Clipper .SHORT TERM...(Today through Saturday)Issued at 304 AM EST Thu Dec 7 2017The leading edge of a reinforcing shot of arctic air was pushingthrough the forecast area at this time. As this front sinkssoutheast over the next couple of hours...the steadier snowshowers ahead of it will track through Kalamazoo and Battle Creek.A northwesterly flow was setting up behind this front where lakeeffect snow showers were strengthening. The northwest flow thenpersists through the day supporting the steadiest snow showerswhere we have the headlines out. We will need to monitor theInterstate 94 corridor for possible expansion further inland ofthe headlines due to the potential for stronger snow showerstoday.A more significant wave of low pressure tracks southeastwardthrough the CWA Friday night and Saturday. Widespread impacts arebecoming more likely with this event. The combination of deepmoisture...favorable lift and lake enhancement supports anincreased potential for more than 4 inches of snow for westernparts of the forecast area..LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Wednesday)Issued at 304 AM EST Thu Dec 7 2017The long term begins with a deep upper trough moving across easternMichigan and a sfc low over Ontario. Snow from this system will bewinding down and most locations will probably be dry Saturday nightthrough Sunday evening.A clipper is progd to move southeast from Manitoba to southernOntario Sunday evening and dragging a cold front through the cwaMonday. Light snow is likely with this system. Lake effect snow thatdevelops behind it as h8 temps fall to -17c will be limited to thelake shore and perhaps the far eastern cwa if boundary layer windscan get enough of a easterly component off of Lake Huron to bring afew bands through Mid Michigan.Another clipper is shown by both the ecmwf and gfs to move fromnorthern Minnesota southeast across Chicago Tuesday night. Thisshould bring light synoptic snow to the cwa during this time leadingto some minor accumulations.Highs through the period will range from the upper 20s to mid 30s.&& Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew NE Posted December 7, 2017 Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 LOT's take.... http://www.weather.gov/images/lot/wxstory/Tab2FileL.png Good luck with this one Tom. Curious question but wont this be the first 1"> snowfall since December of last year(2016). If I remember correct you only recorded 0.4" of snow in the month of Jan and Feb. If so you are long overdue. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 7, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 Looks good. I always thought that the GFS handled Clippers better Better than the Euro? Perhaps, but the GEM was king with Clippers during 2013-14. Speaking of, my total snowfall that autumn through today was only 2.2", so depending on the outcome of the current WWA, I could be tied (or even ahead of) with 2013. Ofc, last December got off to an even faster start, and crashed-n-burned so it's not really saying much. Just been a lot of parallels drawn to that analog season of lore. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 7, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 Looks nice even if it's a bust for mby on the east end of the WWA 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 7, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 MI is going to be building a glacier next week...LES belts gonna crank! @ GFS - DANG!! paints 1 - 2 feet from mby west to the lake shore! Where'd this come from? Don't remember any longer range snow maps showing that much tbh, but I'm okay with mid to short range trending up 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 7, 2017 Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 Good luck with this one Tom. Curious question but wont this be the first 1"> snowfall since December of last year(2016). If I remember correct you only recorded 0.4" of snow in the month of Jan and Feb. If so you are long overdue.Oh my gosh, I went up stairs to do something and I literally was thinking about this same thought~! Yup, this would officially be the first 1" of snow bud. Can you imagine? That's gotta be somewhat of an interesting stat. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 7, 2017 Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 This clipper has a 2-4" range for MBY. Although, needs to be watched for higher amounts possible. Per Noaa: Still someuncertainty with the strength of the low, with the ECMWF now beingthe bullish solution with the low getting down to around 1003 hPa,still modest for a clipper system. Trends will need to be watchedclosely over the next 36 hours for potential higher amounts whichmay result in the issuance of a Winter Weather Advisory Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 7, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 This clipper has a 2-4" range for MBY. Although, needs to be watched for higher amounts possible. Per Noaa: Still someuncertainty with the strength of the low, with the ECMWF now beingthe bullish solution with the low getting down to around 1003 hPa,still modest for a clipper system. Trends will need to be watchedclosely over the next 36 hours for potential higher amounts whichmay result in the issuance of a Winter Weather Advisory as said, good trends but get it within 12 hrs, its a Clipper. Hope we're all plowing this weekend! 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 7, 2017 Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 Both NAM's are indicating somewhat of a convective nature to the snows out in MN/WI/IL. Might have some good rates at times which would be nice to see (if your up all night). 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VMB443 Posted December 7, 2017 Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 They're giving us a couple of inches tomorrow evening into Saturday morning - some flurries floating around right now just to help get us in the mood. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 7, 2017 Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 as said, good trends but get it within 12 hrs, its a Clipper. Hope we're all plowing this weekend!Hopefully, indeed! Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 7, 2017 Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 Looks good for the people in states that border a Great Lake. I'm still hoping to scrape out an inch at my parents house. I could see that area getting nothing or getting close to an inch. It will be close. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 7, 2017 Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 They're giving us a couple of inches tomorrow evening into Saturday morning - some flurries floating around right now just to help get us in the mood.Same here...certainly a "mood" setter for tomorrow...models are speeding up the arrival around here just after rush hour. Hope we get enough to cover the grass. Ground is completely frozen and you can see some snow in spots on the grass that fell over night holding on. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted December 7, 2017 Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 Once again, Chicago set to get a decent clipper, and my area will get nothing. I am now convinced having a white Christmas is unlikely here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 7, 2017 Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 12z GFS trending stronger with the Mon/Tue clipper across WI/N IL/MI. 00z Euro Control looked similar and farther south. Should be another “refresher” for some who score snow from the Fri/Sat system. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 7, 2017 Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 12z gfs flips the pattern after hr 240 and shows a big time cutter developing 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 7, 2017 Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 Oh my gosh, I went up stairs to do something and I literally was thinking about this same thought~! Yup, this would officially be the first 1" of snow bud. Can you imagine? That's gotta be somewhat of an interesting stat.Tom, you are forgetting the March snow. 7.7" at ORD from March 12-14. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 7, 2017 Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 Tom, you are forgetting the March snow. 7.7" at ORD from March 12-14.Oh ya, D**n! How can I forget about that LES event. Nice catch! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 7, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 12z gfs flips the pattern after hr 240 and shows a big time cutter developing It's got eyes on yby too Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthandturf Posted December 7, 2017 Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 Looking forward to possibly having the season's 1st plowable event Fri/sat. I just hope I can get out early enough on Sat. morning so that I can get a few hours of sleep before hosting a x-mas party for 35-40 people Sat. night! I just knew this was going to happen. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 7, 2017 Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 Interested to see how this product performs this winter...... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 7, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 If this brings me a solid 2" Saturday, it'd be only one day later than my first solid snow on 12-8-13 Nice to see the 1st solid SN forecast vs just SHSN Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted December 7, 2017 Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 Maps for these bad boys? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 7, 2017 Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 I am hoping this clipper slows down a bit. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 7, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 Maps for these bad boys? GFS: GEM: IWX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENational Weather Service Northern Indiana204 PM EST Thu Dec 7 2017 INZ003-004-MIZ077-080315-/O.NEW.KIWX.WS.A.0001.171209T0500Z-171210T0500Z/La Porte-St. Joseph IN-Berrien-Including the cities of Michigan City, La Porte, South Bend,Mishawaka, New Carlisle, Walkerton, Niles, Benton Harbor,St. Joseph, Fair Plain, Benton Heights, Buchanan,and Paw Paw Lake204 PM EST Thu Dec 7 2017 /104 PM CST Thu Dec 7 2017/ ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGHSATURDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy snow and blowing snow possible. Plan on difficulttravel conditions. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 8 inches arepossible. Localized heavier amounts are also possible. * WHERE...In Indiana, La Porte and St. Joseph IN Counties. InMichigan, Berrien County. * WHEN...From late Friday night through Saturday evening. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusts of 20 to 35 mph may cause areasof blowing and drifting snow late Saturday morning throughSaturday evening. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Watch means there is potential for significantsnow that may impact travel. Continue to monitor the latestforecasts. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 7, 2017 Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 So far, still standing at a 2-4" snowfall for late Fri into Sat. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 7, 2017 Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 NCEP models thinking... http://wx.graphics/models/ndfd/2017120719/conus/ndfd_snow_conus_54.png http://wx.graphics/models/ndfd/2017120719/illinois/ndfd_snow_illinois_54.png http://wx.graphics/models/ndfd/2017120719/michigan/ndfd_snow_michigan_54.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 7, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 Why is there a daily limit on likes?? What'll I do when we get that Big Dog storm we've been promised? >> 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 7, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 Latest AFD from GRR for the Clipper.. .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday night)Issued at 325 PM EST Thu Dec 7 2017Lingering snow showers attm will taper off late this afternoon andevening. Although wnw flow lake effect snow showers continue inprogress attm we believe most of the accumulating snow has alreadyfallen and will let the advisory headline expire as scheduled at21Z. Dry wx is then anticipated overnight into Friday morning beforethe next low pressure system approaches from the nw.This system will be stronger and bring widespread snow Fridaynight and Saturday resulting in hazardous travel conditions. Thesnow will be enhanced by moisture from Lake Michigan and the dgzwill be saturated. Very strong mid to upper level pva will alsodevelop late Friday night and dynamics look favorable. Deformationzone snow will linger into Saturday afternoon.This system will bring three to six inches of snow across ourfcst area from Friday night through Saturday afternoon withhighest amounts expected west of US-131 and lowest amounts overour eastern fcst area. A solid three to four inches of snow isforecast for the US-131 corridor.Light lake effect snow showers will linger Saturday night mainlywest of US-131 in a northwest flow regime but little additionalaccumulations (under an inch). Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 7, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 7, 2017 Additional break-down for SWMI Next Snow Event (Friday into Saturday) * Light snow during the day Friday mainly north of Holland - Grand Rapids - Alma. * Moderate to locally heavy snow Friday night and part of Saturday in most of Lower Michigan. - Period of heavy snow in Muskegon / Ottawa / Allegan / Van Buren counties, pre-dawn Saturday. - Moderate snow diminishes from northwest to southeast across Lower Michigan during the day Saturday. * Occasional bursts of heavy snow continuing Saturday afternoon & evening near Lake Michigan (especially Manistee-to-Whitehall and Holland-to-Indiana) affecting travel conditions. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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