hlcater Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 12z GFS showing 6-12” in Chicago and NW IN from the clipper...niceLooks like LEHS is gonna set up favorably for you, I'm hoping we can still steal an every so slight hop to the SE with this. 1 Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 Its 52F here In SEMI and w a little sunshine to go along w it. Sweet! 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 11, 2018 Author Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 Looks like LEHS is gonna set up favorably for you, I'm hoping we can still steal an every so slight hop to the SE with this.These situations are one of the most ideal set ups to look for with a clipper around here and I’m happy to see the run to run consistency. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 In a winter where most of us are desperate for any snow and you’re gonna LOL our ‘fluff’? Haha. Come on man. If fluff works for ya, great! I'd take 8:1 any day over 20:1 ...but that's just cuz I'm weird I guess. Certainly seem to be in a vast minority wrt that 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 It is certainly gettin windy out there. Everything flying around. Very strong CF coming. Currently @ 53F. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 NEW RECORD HIGH FOR GRAND RAPIDS!!!With the latest reading of 57° Grand Rapids has officially broke the record for the warmest January 11th on record. Also a new record high at Saginaw of 56° and Alpena with 51° Flint is tied at 56° there could be more records broken before the day is over. Later on tonight we will have to see how fast it cools down as several record warm minimums are also in play Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 55F currently and windy w cloudy skies. Feels super out there. Bring it! Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 Hows Euro looking for MLK clipper? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 NEW RECORD HIGH FOR GRAND RAPIDS!!!With the latest reading of 57° Grand Rapids has officially broke the record for the warmest January 11th on record. Also a new record high at Saginaw of 56° and Alpena with 51° Flint is tied at 56° there could be more records broken before the day is over. Later on tonight we will have to see how fast it cools down as several record warm minimums are also in play Do you know what the All-Time record high is for Grand Rapids, MI?! or was that an all time record? Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 Do you know what the All-Time record high is for Grand Rapids, MI?! or was that an all time record? That is the record for January 11th daily weather records go back to 1894 at Grand Rapids. at Lansing they go all the way back to 1864. And At Detroit they go back to 1874. It looks like January 11th 1890 was warmer than today as the temperature reach 66 in Detroit and 63 in Lansing. The all time record high at Grand Rapids for the month of January is 66 on January 25th 1950. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 Hit 58F in Marshall - likely a record. Can we please stop the roller coaster? I want off...oh wait, too late anyways. The bottom of the next hill's gonna feel horrible! From April to Arctic in a day - uggh! Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 Back to all snow again, looking at radar trends and CC, should stay that way. 1 Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 That is the record for January 11th daily weather records go back to 1894 at Grand Rapids. at Lansing they go all the way back to 1864. And At Detroit they go back to 1874. It looks like January 11th 1890 was warmer than today as the temperature reach 66 in Detroit and 63 in Lansing. The all time record high at Grand Rapids for the month of January is 66 on January 25th 1950. Okay!.......Looks like I wont be reaching record territory, but, I'll take this warmth. Feels good out there. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 @ Hawkeye Those dark blues deliver anything over your way? Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 We're pretty much done. There is a 0.3" layer of crusty sleet on the pavement. We finished with some light snow, but it didn't amount to anything. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 We're pretty much done. There is a 0.3" layer of crusty sleet on the pavement. We finished with some light snow, but it didn't amount to anything. Sorry to hear...MLK Clipper has eyes for E Iowa tho, eh? Clippers have been the way to go so far. Hope you score good again. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shakjen Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 Temp was 57 at 1:00, it is now 30!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 I'm currently sitting on 4.9" for the season. Impressive to say the least! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 Like someone threw gas onto our snowpack a lit a match! #sad Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 We have a legit shot at three different measurable clippers over the next four days. We can't miss ALL of them, right? Right? Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 Windy still but the snow isn't blowing around anymore. 16.2*F on the balcony. Wind chill still in the negatives. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 Hows Euro looking for MLK clipper?18z GFS just went a little north so is this the start of something bad....maybe. Just the way its been this winter. 12z Euro was north as well Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 GFS brings a storm thru here around Day 9! Therefore, it'll happen. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 D**n more storms to track and be disappointed over..im so looking forward to this! 1 Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted January 12, 2018 Report Share Posted January 12, 2018 So that last one didn't work out. 2.5" (Boulder Jct) ain't gonna help the trails. What's the long range looking into mid Feb. Looking at rebooking. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 12, 2018 Author Report Share Posted January 12, 2018 So that last one didn't work out. 2.5" (Boulder Jct) ain't gonna help the trails. What's the long range looking into mid Feb. Looking at rebooking.Much better choice if you have the opportunity to do so...I think it'll be more wild than mild that's for sure... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 12, 2018 Author Report Share Posted January 12, 2018 MLK Holiday Clipper thread... http://theweatherforums.com/index.php/topic/1716-mlk-holiday-clipper/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted January 12, 2018 Report Share Posted January 12, 2018 Hmmmmmmmmmmmm http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2018011200/084/snku_acc.us_c.png Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 12, 2018 Report Share Posted January 12, 2018 Hmmmmmmmmmmmm http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2018011200/084/snku_acc.us_c.pngKeep it in your pants. Clippers hate us. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted January 12, 2018 Report Share Posted January 12, 2018 If fluff works for ya, great! I'd take 8:1 any day over 20:1 ...but that's just cuz I'm weird I guess. Certainly seem to be in a vast minority wrt that I'm from Oklahoma so sometimes just snow is good enough. It's just really hard to get good snow and be much over 10:1 ever. Lol. I'm lucky to get 2:1 some winters. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 12, 2018 Author Report Share Posted January 12, 2018 Its not often you see the GFS/EURO agreeing on a Big time -AO signal as we approach the period when the long awaited Jan Thaw takes place. This will clearly be a player as to how strong the thaw actually ends up becoming and also drive the jet stream farther south. Last nights 00z EPS continues to follow the GEFS trends of building more HP across Canada that bleeds south into the northern tier during this period and into the extended. Is this high lat blocking legit??? If these trends hold, and the -NAO block also develops, well, this will produce an interesting pattern across our sub forum and quite possibly provide favorable west/east systems coming out of the Rockies. http://wx.graphics/models/oscillation/ecmwf_ao_forecast.png http://wx.graphics/models/oscillation/gfs_ao_forecast.png http://wx.graphics/models/oscillation/ecmwf_eps_nao_2018011200.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 12, 2018 Author Report Share Posted January 12, 2018 If we are to use the BSR/LRC as guidance, the second half of Jan, specifically beginning around the 21st and through the end of the month, should kick start an active pattern across our sub-forum Does that mean NE will be the jack zone??? No, I'm not saying that...LOL, but does that mean opportunities will be there...yes! I have had a lot of interest building for this period. Specifically, the idea of how strong this Jan Thaw will really end up being. I made a call over 2 months ago for this long awaited period and I'm very curious how it plays out. Some of the driving forces that I have been looking for are indeed showing up on the models. Could the thaw actually end up transient??? Check out the trends of the overnight 00z GEFS and clearly there are signals of a more seasonal look during this "thaw" period as there will be residual cold on the table to produce some wintry systems. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 12, 2018 Report Share Posted January 12, 2018 If we are to use the BSR/LRC as guidance, the second half of Jan, specifically beginning around the 21st and through the end of the month, should kick start an active pattern across our sub-forum Does that mean NE will be the jack zone??? No, I'm not saying that...LOL, but does that mean opportunities will be there...yes! I have had a lot of interest building for this period. Specifically, the idea of how strong this Jan Thaw will really end up being. I made a call over 2 months ago for this long awaited period and I'm very curious how it plays out. Some of the driving forces that I have been looking for are indeed showing up on the models. Could the thaw actually end up transient??? Check out the trends of the overnight 00z GEFS and clearly there are signals of a more seasonal look during this "thaw" period as there will be residual cold on the table to produce some wintry systems.I was going to ask you what you thought about that period. Euro Weeklies are showing a signal for a big trough pretty consistently for some time between the 25th and 29th. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 12, 2018 Author Report Share Posted January 12, 2018 I was going to ask you what you thought about that period. Euro Weeklies are showing a signal for a big trough pretty consistently for some time between the 25th and 29th.Despite the torch look both the CFSv2/Euro weeklies have been showing for weeks on end, this period is prob going to turn out rather significant for the central CONUS. As you know, I'm a big believer in the cyclical nature of our weather pattern and the aforementioned period your talking about is going to be interesting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 12, 2018 Author Report Share Posted January 12, 2018 @ LNKWx, speaking of that period, just took a peak into the EAR and there is a system tracking in a SW/NE fashion across Japan which would correlate to watch for a storm coming out of the Rockies/SW during this period. In fact, not only does it fit the EAR but it also over laps a storm system that fits the LRC. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 12, 2018 Report Share Posted January 12, 2018 @ LNKWx, speaking of that period, just took a peak into the EAR and there is a system tracking in a SW/NE fashion across Japan which would correlate to watch for a storm coming out of the Rockies/SW during this period. In fact, not only does it fit the EAR but it also over laps a storm system that fits the LRC.Looks like a good share the wealth system for North Korea. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 12, 2018 Report Share Posted January 12, 2018 Sunday worries me. Only day till Thursday where we have the possibility of getting above freezing. If it does, let's hope the sun stays hidden. None of us here need any of the snowpack melted before the real cold arrives Monday. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted January 12, 2018 Report Share Posted January 12, 2018 Boy I was supersized to wake up this morning to a solid half inch of snow cover. I went to bed with only a few snow piles around. Yesterday was the warmest January 11th in recorded history here in Grand Rapids. With both the high of 58 and the low of 39 being new records for the date. By records at other locations that have kept records longer it looks like January 11th 1890 was a warmer day across region. At this time I have a temperature of 24° with some very light snow falling and some blowing snow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted January 12, 2018 Report Share Posted January 12, 2018 Climatology for today January 12th At Grand Rapids, MI The average H/L is 31/18The record high is 57° set in 2013 the coldest maximum is 8 in 1912The record low is -14° in 1918 the warmest minimum is 39 in 2013The biggest snow fall is 10.0” in 1918The most on the ground is 22” in 1918Last year the H/L was 36/24 there was 0.2” of snow fall reported and 0” on the ground. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 12, 2018 Report Share Posted January 12, 2018 Still have our grass with white stuff around it outside. -0.2*F on my balcony, but humidity and wind make it feel MUCH BETTER than that! Wind chill is -15*F. I stepped outside and when I breathed, it looked like I was vaping. That was the most I have ever been able to see my breath. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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