Craig-OmahaWX Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 Wow lol. came north a tad and stronger Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 One 2nd I saw a money post on the Colorado low now it's gone. We are gonna need that high pressure to play ball.http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sfcwind_mslp&rh=2018011500&fh=144&r=conus&dpdt= I mean that looks pretty decent Good sized ice storm here that run Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 GFS gives us a good hit 7 days out. Certainly nothing can go wrong. Thankfully it will probably hit us cuz every met will be afraid to build it up due to PTSD from last week's "storm." Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 Canadian and GFS look very similar next weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 GFS gives us a good hit 7 days out. Certainly nothing can go wrong. Thankfully it will probably hit us cuz every met will be afraid to build it up due to PTSD from last week's "storm."This run is north of both of us with the significant stuff. Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 This run is north of both of us with the significant stuff.Ah okay. I was a bit behind but it looked like it'd hit us better. Well I guess we're not in the worst spot 7 days out then! Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=snku_024h&rh=2018011500&fh=174&r=us_mw&dpdt= 2 feet totals in MN Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sfcwind_mslp&rh=2018011500&fh=144&r=conus&dpdt= I mean that looks pretty decent Good sized ice storm here that runAgree Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 Ah okay. I was a bit behind but it looked like it'd hit us better. Well I guess we're not in the worst spot 7 days out then! It'll come south lol then form a second low to make our low weaker LOL Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 AgreeJust need it to dig a little farther south but overall you can’t ask for a better setup 6 days out Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 It'll come south lol then form a second low to make our low weaker LOLActually in previous days models were looking at forming a secondary wave to the South of the first one. If that were to happen then we'd be screwed. Dakota special to the North and KC special to the South. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 Oh great, I can feel myself mentally latching onto this storm now. It's gonna be a long wild week of crazy model runs jumping hundreds of miles with that snow band! Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 Okay I take back what I said earlier. I'd rather cannibalize my own foot than watch Northeast Nebraska get the good stuff again while we get backside snow. Thankfully it's 7 days out and right now the only options look to be both here and Northeast Nebraska get nothing, or we get the jackpot and Northeast Nebraska gets nothing. Just as long as the Northeastern part of the state gets nothing, I'm fine! Snow hogs. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 The ICON model is not nice to anyone here except Tabitha lol Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 Okay I take back what I said earlier. I'd rather cannibalize my own foot than watch Northeast Nebraska get the good stuff again while we get backside snow. Thankfully it's 7 days out and right now the only options look to be both here and Northeast Nebraska get nothing, or we get the jackpot and Northeast Nebraska gets nothing. Just as long as the Northeastern part of the state gets nothing, I'm fine! Snow hogs.I've seen plenty of GFS ensembles have the system going south of us as well. Some north, some middle some south. Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 Okay I take back what I said earlier. I'd rather cannibalize my own foot than watch Northeast Nebraska get the good stuff again while we get backside snow. Thankfully it's 7 days out and right now the only options look to be both here and Northeast Nebraska get nothing, or we get the jackpot and Northeast Nebraska gets nothing. Just as long as the Northeastern part of the state gets nothing, I'm fine! Snow hogs.There’s no such thing as snowhogs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 FWIW, Euro control has a weenie band thru here. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 There’s no such thing as snowhogsShould have seen Northeast Nebraska last Winter. It's funny how a 2.5 hour drive means the difference between a well above average Winter and a near record low Winter. 2 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 I've seen plenty of GFS ensembles have the system going south of us as well. Some north, some middle some south.Yeah ensembles are all over the place and really illustrate why locations really cannot be focused on right now. What we can do right now is watch this and be sure it doesn't turn into an anti-share the wealth like last week's did. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 In more current news, it looks like our 2" snowpack survived the very short rise above freezing, and I can tell the cold front has passed because I can hear the wind shaking my windows, like it usually does when fronts pass. 28.2*F. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 FWIW, Euro control has a weenie band thru here.12z? Post it please and thank you. Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 Good cluster of gfs ensembles south https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs-ens®ion=us&pkg=lowlocs&runtime=2018011500&fh=168 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 All the ensembles are way south of where the operational is. Infact, the GEFS mean has the heaviest going just south of OMAHA LOL. Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 Gonna drive yourselves nuts every 6 hours. Just enjoy theres a storm to track. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 All the ensembles are way south of where the operational is. Infact, the GEFS mean has the heaviest going just south of OMAHA LOL.At the end of the day, the op is just another ensemble member when it comes to this system. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 At the end of the day, the op is just another ensemble member when it comes to this system.True. Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 Just gonna say take the Euro solutions with a grain of salt with this system, didn't do too hot with the last SW system. 1 Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 lol the euro was nuts. further south and with 40-50 MPH winds too. crazy Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 Gfs back south Digs it into OK and tracks through north central IL 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 Maybe a little blocking will do all some good with this system. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 DVN seems pretty convinced the track on this one is mostly set. The Euro has come South a bit from previous runs but for it to hit eastern Iowa it has to come South a lot more yet. Considering the low is in central Iowa at hour 168 there are still a few model runs to go before I throw in the towel but it’s not looking good here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 DVN seems pretty convinced the track on this one is mostly set. The Euro has come South a bit from previous runs but for it to hit eastern Iowa it has to come South a lot more yet. Considering the low is in central Iowa at hour 168 there are still a few model runs to go before I throw in the towel but it’s not looking good here.It’s 6 days out! You’re joking, right? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 15, 2018 Author Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 00z EPS members are north while GEFS are south...let the battle begin....00z EPS likes C NE all the way to MSP... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 Still not in the bullseye? That's good. Still 6 days out. DVN is dumb for settling on a track now. Ensembles are all over the place. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 00z EPS members are north while GEFS are south...let the battle begin....00z EPS likes C NE all the way to MSP...Classic GFS vs foreign battle shaping up. I bet they all flip flop at least once this week. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 15, 2018 Author Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 Classic GFS vs foreign battle shaping up. I bet they all flip flop at least once this week.Indeed, now I really wonder who wins this battle as the GFS won the last weeks system. Other than that, mostly all of the GEFS/EPS members show a wound up storm so that is encouraging to see. Fits the pattern, fits the cycle...another crazy week of tracking... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 There's really nobody in this sub that doesn't have the opportunity to score big out of this. I hope it takes a Southerly track so it's share the wealth and most everybody on here scores big. 2 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 Grass is exposed & on some hills it's actually bare. 3.7*F wind a wind chill of about -16*F on my balcony. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 Here at my house I am now at 1” of new snow fall. Still getting light snow falling with a temperature of 15°. We are leaving for Florida tomorrow and as luck would have it there is WSW’s and WWA and of course wind chill advisories all across the south. It now looks like I will be taking the (western) route down there as the snow looks to move east Tuesday and Wednesday. On my (western) route there are no mountains But there will be snow on the ground well into AlabamaWe are now half way thru January and at the half way point. The mean this January so far is 18.6° (-6.1) the average H/L is 26.9/10.3° there had been 6.7” of snow so far and for this winter season we are now at 40.4” Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted January 15, 2018 Report Share Posted January 15, 2018 Climatology for today January 15th At Grand Rapids Mi The average H/L for Grand Rapids is 31/18The record high is 57° in 1949 the coldest maximum is -3° in 1972The record low is -15° in 1972 and the warmest minimum is 41 in 1894The largest snow fall is 5.8” in 1997The most on the ground is 21” in 1972Last year the H/L was 36/14 and there was no snow on the ground. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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