January Weather In the PNW

[TT-SEA]

Clouds are keeping the temperature rise in check today. Up to 54. 

 

Also... that is the probably about as warm as it can get today.   Its not supposed to be the 60s just randomly in January.   ]

 

Its been mostly sunny all afternoon at SEA and still is sunny and its 55 there now.  

[Deweydog]

Exactly, and I post 95% of my east-coast related stuff in there.

 

Get it?

Busy boy!

[Dave]

I came here to view druncle analysis. I suppose I'll actually have to view them myself. 

[TT-SEA]

Lots of sun for the Seattle area this afternoon...

 

[stuffradio]

It's getting sort of sunny after that thunder storm.

[Deweydog]

It's getting sort of sunny after that thunder storm.

We've yet to have any thunder action this spring.

[TT-SEA]

I came here to view druncle analysis. I suppose I'll actually have to view them myself. 

 

18Z run is farther north and warmer with the mid week system compared to the 12Z GFS.

 

That is more like the 12Z ECMWF which did not show much potential at all.  

[TT-SEA]

We've yet to have any thunder action this spring.

 

Same here.

 

But summer is right around the corner so don't give up hope!  

[Geos]

Also... that is the probably about as warm as it can get today.   Its not supposed to be the 60s just randomly in January.   ]

 

Its been mostly sunny all afternoon at SEA and still is sunny and its 55 there now.  

 

No, I know yesterday was really unusual.

Been more partly sunny around here today. 

[Bryant]

Probably a good idea... although the weather has been dull and mild so its something to talk about while we wait.

Dull and mild, or cold and snowy, this is a weather thread.

[Dave]

18Z run is farther north and warmer with the mid week system compared to the 12Z GFS.

 

That is more like the 12Z ECMWF which did not show much potential at all.  

Thank you. I still blame this wasted dud of a winter on your jinx a** snowblower. Maybe it can still be returned?

[stuffradio]

We've yet to have any thunder action this spring.

Move north!

[Phil]

Check out the insane Eurasian meridional dipole anomaly modeled for week two. Wow!

 

Classic precursor to a west-Pacific jet extension and possibly an Alaska wavebreak response.

 

The jet will extend towards the very end of January, and then watch early February for a (possible) Alaska wavebreak, as things currently stand.

 

[TT-SEA]

Thank you. I still blame this wasted dud of a winter on your jinx a** snowblower. Maybe it can still be returned?

 

I was thinking that yesterday... although the one time that we did use it was on Christmas morning so it did not feel jinxed then!  

[TigerWoodsLibido]

2018-19. Time to start thinking about the draft.

[Phil]

My brain is saying no, but I have this nagging feeling in my gut which says that, as the WPAC jet extends eastward (Eurasia adding AAM) and slams into that mass load/antecedent dirty ridge near the Aleutians, the added momentum flux will amplify that little innocuous “dirty” Aleutian anticyclone into something much more..perhaps an Alaskan wavebreak, and that it will make things interesting in early February.

 

I don’t know. This scenario just keeps popping into my head for some reason.

[Geos]

Convection heading towards La Push/Forks area.

 

[umadbro]

Convection heading towards La Push/Forks area.

 

http://climate.cod.edu/data/nexrad/LGX/N0Q/LGX.N0Q.20180116.2256.gif

Spring is right on schedule!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Long range 18z still looks decent

[Jesse]

Looks like some inter-hour magic kept PDX’s 55+ streak alive!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

A few snow chances on the 18. Pretty good to see really. This is out ten days. I have seen much worse runs.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looks like some inter-hour magic kept PDX’s 55+ streak alive!

Top 10 warm January May be a lock!

[Jesse]

Top 10 warm January May be a lock!

I don’t know what the threshold is.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I don’t know what the threshold is.

I need to check.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

A few snow chances on the 18. Pretty good to see really. This is out ten days. I have seen much worse runs.

Not really that exciting. Clown range shows some carrots but I'm going to second guess it for now.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Not really that exciting

I guess depends where you live. Shows a decent snow around hood canal more than once. I will take it.

[MossMan]

A few snow chances on the 18. Pretty good to see really. This is out ten days. I have seen much worse runs.

Not bad!

[Geos]

A few snow chances on the 18. Pretty good to see really. This is out ten days. I have seen much worse runs.

 

Not too bad.

[Jesse]

[Jesse]

I need to check.

To bad statman is taking a hiatus. I’m guessing he has them memorized.

 

It’s funny, last January didn’t get a fraction of the hype leading up to it that this one did, and PDX pulled off a top 10 cold one.

[Jesse]

Anything above a 44.5 at PDX would beat top 5 warmest (1992).

 

They are at 44.7 right now, so if January ended today it would be #5. That will likely be coming down the next two weeks, but probably pretty slowly at first. I can envision some 48/40 type days scattered in there even through the end of this week.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

I like the 18z and I'm not sure how anyone could be disheartened by it, besides this weekend's possibilities which have always looked borderline.

 

I'm starting to think people on here don't get excited unless models show 5+ inches and mid-20s for temps. Anything less seems to be deemed a waste of our time.

 

I for one am very much looking forward to the upcoming Nina pattern... low snow levels, gobs of mountain snow, fairly active weather... Any of that beats the god awful first half of January we just went through.

I'll be excited when I can move to Bend. This location sucks.

[HighlandExperience]

I like the 18z and I'm not sure how anyone could be disheartened by it, besides this weekend's possibilities which have always looked borderline.

 

I'm starting to think people on here don't get excited unless models show 5+ inches and mid-20s for temps. Anything less seems to be deemed a waste of our time.

 

I for one am very much looking forward to the upcoming Nina pattern... low snow levels, gobs of mountain snow, fairly active weather... Any of that beats the god awful first half of January we just went through.

Starting to feel like we might see something in the next two weeks

[Jesse]

I like the 18z and I'm not sure how anyone could be disheartened by it, besides this weekend's possibilities which have always looked borderline.

 

I'm starting to think people on here don't get excited unless models show 5+ inches and mid-20s for temps. Anything less seems to be deemed a waste of our time.

 

I for one am very much looking forward to the upcoming Nina pattern... low snow levels, gobs of mountain snow, fairly active weather... Any of that beats the god awful first half of January we just went through.

Agreed.

[High Desert Mat!]

I'll be excited when I can move to Bend. This location sucks.

Well guess what Tiger, I'm in Redmond and haven't recorded but a trace thus far this winter. Been lame here too.

[Jesse]

Best looking ensembles in a while.

[TT-SEA]

56/48 so far at SEA today... for a +10 on the day.

 

Midnight low?

[Jesse]

Probably another big spike of warmth tomorrow ahead of the cold front.

 

Will end up being a pretty incredibly mild 7 day stretch for the middle of January all told.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Best looking ensembles in a while.

Where do we find the charts for PDX? Weather.us?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

So basically my January has been warm mantra was not hype