TT-SEA Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 I need to do a search on my Excel spreadsheet. High temp of 60 degrees or higher Snowfall greater than 0 Not sure how many days fit that mold here since 1895... maybe none. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 The Euro has been wildly different in the 7-10 day range every run. More consistent GFS might be the way to go right now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 The Euro has been wildly different in the 7-10 day range every run. More consistent GFS might be the way to go right now. Or its picking up on something that the 12Z runs will all show? Time will tell. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 Well... Thursday is about as interesting as it gets around here. High temps early in the day... shows 60 out here. And then dumping snow by evening... That is some serious Midwest sh*t right there.WTF? Is this Denver? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 OLM and BLI have seen a lot of sub freezing lows this month. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 It looks like the EPS wants to hold the trough over us longer and rise heights slower than the operational Euro. More in line with the GFS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 It looks like the EPS wants to hold the trough over us longer and rise heights slower than the operational Euro. More in line with the GFS. 00Z EPS was a bit warmer with the trough at day 7 and 8 compared to the last couple runs... and then warms up faster and stronger than previous runs. I just did a side-by-side comparison of 850mb temps on the 12Z run and the 00Z run. It is slightly slower than the operational run but there is an impressive warm up from day 8 through 10 (next Sat - Mon). Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 850 temps will be colder on the 12z Euro compared to the 00z run due to the time of day. Got down to 40 here. Heading for more afternoon sunbreaks and mid-50s today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 850 temps will be colder on the 12z run compared to the 00z run due to the time of day. Got down to 40 here. Heading for more afternoon sunbreaks and mid-50s today. Not a problem on WB. There are images every 12 hours on each run. And I when I do a comparison on there... I am clicking on the previous frames for that exact period. The 00Z EPS was a bit warmer than the 12Z run for day 7 and 8 at the peak of the trough. It had been colder on each of the last few runs. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 PDX up to 44. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 PDX up to 44. You are going to get your cold PDX high on Friday and maybe Saturday. Going to be really tough to get to 50 those days. It will all work out. And the 12Z GFS is faster on Thursday with the heavy precip... so maybe even that day as well unless there is a midnight high ahead of the front. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 It really looks like there could be some decent snow up here later next week. Though Tim is saying 70s and sun so it could really go either way at this point. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 It really looks like there could be some decent snow up here later next week. Though Tim is saying 70s and sun so it could really go either way at this point. Yeah... that is what I said. Look back at the last page. Almost guaranteed that you and I see some significant snow... and probably some lowland areas as well. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 Yeah... that is what I said. Look back at the last page. Almost guaranteed that you and I see some significant snow... and probably some lowland areas as well. It looks very March 2012ish., Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 It looks very March 2012ish., Yeah... for a couple days. This month is very different than March 2012 overall though. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 GFS continues to be slow and inconsistent with a ridge building in behind the cold trough. I am going to defer to the EPS which has been much more consistent overall. Its been showing the cold trough coming later next week since it came into view about 9 or 10 days ago. It has been consistently showing ridging building in by 3/25 as well. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 OLM and BLI have seen a lot of sub freezing lows this month. Just what I wanted to see this spring. This morning was number 8 for here. Not every day you see low morning low clouds invade in March right after a frost. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 Really nice progression shown on the 12z GFS later in week 2. A nice shot of chilly Canadian air. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 The 12z GFS is about as good as it gets. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 Yeah... for a couple days. This month is very different than March 2012 overall though. Of course there will never be another month like it. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 I think this March will end up like March 2018, just a hunch. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 12z GFS is a fairly epic run for this late. Good ensemble support too. Would be nice to see the pattern finally start to get some Niña teeth this month (just maybe)... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 Of course there will never be another month like it. It was actually kind of a poor man's 1951. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 12z GFS is a fairly epic run for this late. Good ensemble support too. Would be nice to see the pattern finally start to get some Niña teeth this month (just maybe)... It would actually be a nice follow through from February. Barring a Nino I really like where we stand for next winter. A Nino is pretty d**n unlikely thank goodness. Amazing how the GFS ensemble keeps making the coming cold snap longer and longer. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 It would actually be a nice follow through from February. Barring a Nino I really like where we stand for next winter. A Nino is pretty d**n unlikely thank goodness. Amazing how the GFS ensemble keeps making the coming cold snap longer and longer.GFS ensembles have been way too aggressive for about a month now. Ignoring the consistent EPS? It will likely be right as usual. The only significant cold shot the EPS has shown is the one coming later this week. The GFS ensembles were even cold leading up to last weekend. I guess its dopamine for some. Even if its been terrible lately. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 12Z ECMWF is faster with the trough again on Thursday. Takes away the amazing crash the 00Z run showed for the day. Some lowland snow on Thursday night into Friday morning still. On phone at swim lessons and cannot post map yet. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 12Z ECMWF is faster with the trough again on Thursday. Takes away the amazing crash the 00Z run showed for the day. Some lowland snow on Thursday night into Friday morning still. On phone at swim lessons and cannot post map yet.How much snow for King County? Free site loading slow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 How much snow for King County? Free site loading slowThrough Saturday morning... about an inch for most of the Seattle area out to Issaquah and Snoqualmie... and maybe 2-3 inches out here. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 Also shows a massive snowstorm for ND and MN next weekend. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 12Z ECMWF is back to reality with a slower building ridge after the trough. At least its not terribly wet. Sunday looks pretty decent actually on the surface map... some sun and mid to maybe upper 50s. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 12Z ECMWF is consistent with the EPS now... broad area of warm air and ridging moving in by day 9 and 10. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 Another beautiful sunny morning here... models show some convection this afternoon unlike the past couple days that were almost totally sunny. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 Another beautiful sunny morning here... models show some convection this afternoon unlike the past couple days that were almost totally sunny. We have low clouds here. It was almost like what you would see in the summer except it was frosty when the clouds first arrived. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 I am pretty sure most areas will see some snow falling from Thursday night through early Saturday morning at some point. It looks pretty promising. It actually shows it cold enough to snow with SW flow. This area can do well with that. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 We have low clouds here. It was almost like what you would see in the summer except it was frosty when the clouds first arrived.Very much like summer status... its up to back side of our ridge. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 It looks pretty promising. It actually shows it cold enough to snow with SW flow. This area can do well with that. Hope so. that would be amazing to see snow close to sea level. this late in the season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 Nice to see the Euro taking a step toward the GFS. Until days 9-10 which have been completely different for each of the last 4-5 runs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Jones Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 I am pretty sure most areas will see some snow falling from Thursday night through early Saturday morning at some point. Does it still show any accumulation for PDX metro south? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.