PNW February 2023 Weather Discussion - Meteorological winter finale

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

I for one hope that people who aren’t looking forward to coming back get their wish

Amelia Earhart?

[TT-SEA]

Says the person who routinely escapes summer and says he doesn't want to come back. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Kind of a low key coolish day. 48/35 at SLE. Only got up to 42 here. 

51/35 here. Morning low clouds then very clear and sunny. Some high clouds moving in now could make for a nice sunset.

[joelgombiner]

Interesting waveforms in the low-level couds oozing southward this afternoon. 

l

[Doinko]

Just now, RentonHill said:

1-2" here, that would be great. Thanks for the map

[snow_wizard]

31 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

Euro says I’m in the spot for vday. I’ll believe it when I see it. CZ never really seems to settle right here for long

I'm not sure that's even a c-zone.  I think the prcip is more general than that.

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, joelgombiner said:

Interesting waveforms in the low-level couds oozing southward this afternoon. 

l

It's supposed to clear out and freeze tonight.

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

It's supposed to clear out and freeze tonight.

Yeah... ECMWF shows very little in the way of cloudiness late tonight and tomorrow morning. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

9 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

It's supposed to clear out and freeze tonight.

Good luck

[Cold Snap]

What a lovely sunset! Currently 44.2.

[T-Town]

[TT-SEA]

18 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I'm not sure that's even a c-zone.  I think the prcip is more general than that.

ECMWF shows a double c-zone on Monday evening 

[Doinko]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

ECMWF shows a double c-zone on Monday evening 

How organized is the precip Tuesday morning?

[Gummy]

Dream low placement on the GFS Feb 25th.  Too bad the odds of that playing out are very very slim.

[SnowWillarrive]

5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

ECMWF shows a double c-zone on Monday evening 

Hope that placement holds. Perfect for areas south of I-90 and east of 18.

[TT-SEA]

24 minutes ago, Doinko said:

How organized is the precip Tuesday morning?

Looks more organized for sure...

[Perturbed Member]

1 AM Tuesday looks pretty fun on the 18z Euro. Should be particularly great in the Coast range and Cascade foothills especially over 1000ft. 

[T-Town]

[Doinko]

2 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said:

1 AM Tuesday looks pretty fun on the 18z Euro. Should be particularly great in the Coast range and Cascade foothills especially over 1000ft. 

This run gets cold Wednesday morning too, wow. Really hoping for some actual proper sticking snow, this time

[Perturbed Member]

3 minutes ago, Doinko said:

This run gets cold Wednesday morning too, wow. Really hoping for some actual proper sticking snow, this time

Going to be hard to get sticking snow at the lowest elevations with persistent onshore flow without some solid organized showers. But our area is especially prone to shadowing as you know. Would be great if we could get some development with that surface low and have it swing by right to the south, this possibility is still on the table IMO. 

It is good to see the last two Euro runs showing a widespread 1 or 2 inches over the metro area, that's never a bad thing. 

I think snow in the air with a dusting is the more likely outcome for most but don't think you can rule out 1-2 inches of snow either. 

[Doinko]

3 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said:

Going to be hard to get sticking snow at the lowest elevations with persistent onshore flow without some solid organized showers. But our area is especially prone to shadowing as you know. Would be great if we could get some development with that surface low and have it swing by right to the south, this possibility is still on the table IMO. 

It is good to see the last two Euro runs showing a widespread 1 or 2 inches over the metro area, that's never a bad thing. 

I think snow in the air with a dusting is the more likely outcome for most but don't think you can rule out 1-2 inches of snow either. 

 NAM shows a bit of decent precip

Hoping there is some more development with that low on future runs

[Doinko]

Mark Nelsen is a bit more bullish now
Sticking snow likely for many of us early Tuesday morning; a First Alert Day (kptv.com)

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS in 35 minutes

Big runs tonight! For PDX metro southward things are looking a bit more promising for snow Monday night into early Tuesday! Long range ensembles are showing a fairly strong signal for a legitimate cold pattern and maybe, just maybe a late Winter blast and snow.

Make sure you grab your favorite beverage, and grab your favorite beverage a favorite beverage. I'm not really sure how to pull that off, but in the end you get TWO of your favorite beverages! Win win! There's probably a GIF floating around in the interwebs of this nonsense. Don't forget your snacks too. C'MON!!!!

[Meatyorologist]

2 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

00z GFS in 35 minutes

Big runs tonight! For PDX metro southward things are looking a bit more promising for snow Monday night into early Tuesday! Long range ensembles are showing a fairly strong signal for a legitimate cold pattern and maybe, just maybe a late Winter blast and snow.

Make sure you grab your favorite beverage, and grab your favorite beverage a favorite beverage. I'm not really sure how to pull that off, but in the end you get TWO of your favorite beverages! Win win! There's probably a GIF floating around in the interwebs of this nonsense. Don't forget your snacks too. C'MON!!!!

Can I fetch my snack's snacks?

[Gradient Keeper]

3 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Can I fetch my snack's snacks?

If you can figure out a way to do so, absolutely! ....

In other news I cannot find a GIF to represent a beverage getting another beverage or something. I did however find an outstanding new Drunk Uncle GIF! This guy is ELITE level at the limbo.

[Meatyorologist]

Just now, Gradient Keeper said:

If you can figure out a way to do so, absolutely! ....

In other news I cannot find a GIF to represent a beverage getting another beverage or something. I did however find an outstanding new Drunk Uncle GIF! This guy is ELITE level at the limbo.

That guy probably reserves one sleeve in his wallet for a folded printout of the 18z GFS.

[MossMan]

Down to 36.5! 

[Gradient Keeper]

3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Down to 36.5! 

4.5 degrees until party time!

[Jbolin]

16 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

4.5 degrees until party time!

Technically 4.623F 

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS Day 1 (4-run trend)

[Meatyorologist]

21 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

4.5 degrees until party time!

Coincidentally, the last time I hosted a party that cold was also the last time I had any guests over.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 2 (4-run trend)

[Doinko]

 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day Threeve (4-run trend)

[SilverFallsAndrew]

8 minutes ago, Doinko said:

 

Portland and Eugene do well on this run. 
 

I am increasing our odds of 6”+ to 40% here. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 4 (4-run trend)

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 5 (4-run trend)

[Meatyorologist]

3 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Day 4 (4-run trend)

The meteorological committee of Sharon Springs, KS was one of the largest financial backers for the production of the 96th hour of tonight's 00z GFS.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 6 (4-run trend)

[Gradient Keeper]

4 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

The meteorological committee of Sharon Springs, KS was one of the largest financial backers for the production of the 96th hour of tonight's 00z GFS.