August 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[BLI snowman]

Can't believe PDX pulled this off. Pretty landmark. First since 8/1/2013.

[Deweydog]

Doubters and haters had a rough Sunday.

[Jesse]

Doubters and haters had a rough Sunday.

I said Sunday was our best shot late last week, back when you were throwing out sub-70 shocker warnings every day.

[Front Ranger]

Definitely raining harder as you go east within the c-zone based on traffic cams.

 

Looks like a light mist in Seattle but genuine rain out here.    Its been steadily raining for maybe 3 hours now here.  

 

Weird.

[Front Ranger]

Can't believe PDX pulled this off. Pretty landmark. First since 8/1/2013.

 

Cold phase, here we come!!

[Deweydog]

I said Sunday was our best shot late last week, back when you were throwing out sub-70 shocker warnings every day.

Yeah, you had no doubts whatsoever. Cool as the other side of the pillow.

 

Tip of the cap to you, good sir.

[Jesse]

Hope this isn’t it for precip. Looks like drizzle is confined to upslope areas east of 205 right now.

 

58 with drizzle here. It’s nice but won’t add up to much.

[Jesse]

Yeah, you had no doubts whatsoever. Cool as the other side of the pillow.

 

Tip of the cap to you, good sir.

The only certainty in weather forecasting is uncertainty.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

It's been 538 days since areas around Corvallis and Albany have seen an accumulating snowfall.

I'd be very surprised if the Southern Willamette Valley doesn't get at least 1 significant snowstorm this Winter.

[Deweydog]

I'd be very surprised if the Southern Willamette Valley doesn't get at least 1 significant snowstorm this Winter.

I wouldn't be surprised if you're very surprised.

[Front Ranger]

I wouldn't be surprised if you're very surprised.

 

You sound uncertain...

[Deweydog]

You sound uncertain...

Certainly.

[Deweydog]

Still 60 at PDX. Can't quite let our guard down but in another hour we might be able to put the second string in.

[Jesse]

Still 60 at PDX. Can't quite let our guard down but in another hour we might be able to put the second string in.

A 60s/50s spread would be MUCH more iceboxy.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Wow, I just saw the GFS. It shows an Arctic Blast headed for the continental US in the long range.

 

[MossMan]

50’s, damp outside, Sunday Night Football, and a Fire. If that doesn’t scream Fall I don’t know what does!

[Farmboy]

After reading the last two posts it's hard to believe it's still August.

[Front Ranger]

After reading the last two posts it's hard to believe it's still August.

Just wait a couple days.

[snow_wizard]

I'm finally back after a very long break!  In spite of a considerably hotter summer than I anticipated I'm kind of intrigued by how things are evolving now.  Yesterday was the coolest day I've recorded in month of August since I lived here with a 63-47 spread.  It's pretty rare that I get totally surprised by the first sub 50 low of the late summer / early autumn, but I did on that one.  It's pretty interesting to see the CPC going for cool and mostly dry for the mid range outlooks as well.

 

The thing that has grabbed my attention this season is that in spite of the overall warmth we have had significant cool interludes (especially at the mid and upper levels) on a very regular basis.  Everything has been clipperesque or has dropped down from the GOA so moisture has been very limited in spite of some decent upper level height falls at times.

 

In the nutshell I'm expecting a very decent cold snap early in the season this year.  It could be a case where several chilly periods will develop eventually culminating in something big.  In general I could see abnormal cold snaps developing anywhere in the mid September to late November period.  As for the winter I don't know yet.  The CFS keeps showing a big Nino, but that is looking iffy for a number of reasons.  I will have a lot more insight into ENSO in the coming days.

[TT-SEA]

C-zone is basically stationary now... still raining moderately here.

[snow_wizard]

Just wait a couple days.

 

It's pretty possible this summer has blown its wad already.  Could be an autumn very much to our liking.

[Farmboy]

Well shoot, if Summer's gonna be over, let's not beat around the bush about it, bring on the first frost...

[BLI snowman]

Jim is back. That means it is now winter.

[Perturbed Member]

Not as bad up here.

 

And we know it will be raining for the next 9 months anyways.   Its not like its going to stay dry.   That is not an option here. 

 

Finally... nobody is cheering for 95-degree heat and smoke.   But some 75 degree sunshine with blue skies would be wonderful.   Our normal beautiful summer weather has been in rare supply this year and the window for that is closing fast.   55-degree drizzle has no time limit.   It can happen at any time of the year.

 

Why does everyone have to demonize the other side all the time and make false statements about what they are saying?  

 

Sounds like you need to be in Portland for the coming week in that case.

 

http://lmgcorporate.com/kptv/weather/ibs_web_7-day.jpg

[Blizzard777]

66/58

No measurable precipitation

We did have some breezy south winds earlier today that chased me off the Sound

[TT-SEA]

Sounds like you need to be in Portland for the coming week in that case.

 

http://lmgcorporate.com/kptv/weather/ibs_web_7-day.jpg

 

 

Looks perfect.  

[Jesse]

00z GFS trended a tad stronger with the late week troughing.

[Jesse]

It's pretty possible this summer has blown its wad already.  Could be an autumn very much to our liking.

 

Welcome back man!

[TT-SEA]

00z GFS trended a tad stronger with the late week troughing.

 

 

Not if you ignore the 18Z.    

 

Definitely trended towards the ECMWF and EPS from the 12Z run.    

 

Even so... the 00Z GFS shows a decent Saturday and a beautiful Monday with sunshine and pleasant temps. 

[Jesse]

Not if you ignore the 18Z.    

 

Definitely trended towards the ECMWF and EPS from the 12Z run.    

 

Even so... the 00Z GFS shows a decent Saturday and a beautiful Monday with sunshine and pleasant temps. 

 

Sunday looks like Satan's armpit, of course.

[TT-SEA]

Sunday looks like Satan's armpit, of course.

 

 

Prefer no rain... but whatever.  

 

I believe Meatloaf once said "don't be sad... cause two out of three ain't bad".   

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k5hWWe-ts2s

[Frontal Snowsquall]

I'm finally back after a very long break! In spite of a considerably hotter summer than I anticipated I'm kind of intrigued by how things are evolving now. Yesterday was the coolest day I've recorded in month of August since I lived here with a 63-47 spread. It's pretty rare that I get totally surprised by the first sub 50 low of the late summer / early autumn, but I did on that one. It's pretty interesting to see the CPC going for cool and mostly dry for the mid range outlooks as well.

 

The thing that has grabbed my attention this season is that in spite of the overall warmth we have had significant cool interludes (especially at the mid and upper levels) on a very regular basis. Everything has been clipperesque or has dropped down from the GOA so moisture has been very limited in spite of some decent upper level height falls at times.

 

In the nutshell I'm expecting a very decent cold snap early in the season this year. It could be a case where several chilly periods will develop eventually culminating in something big. In general I could see abnormal cold snaps developing anywhere in the mid September to late November period. As for the winter I don't know yet. The CFS keeps showing a big Nino, but that is looking iffy for a number of reasons. I will have a lot more insight into ENSO in the coming days.

Welcome back.

 

I agree with what you're thinking right now. I believe a big regional event in December similar to our last 8/9 Winter. I'm excited in what's ahead for us this Fall and Winter.

[TT-SEA]

Low solar and something close to ENSO neutral (even on the warm side) is very likely going to lead to blocky winter.

[TT-SEA]

Still raining moderately... good soaking.  

 

I can't wait for tomorrow afternoon to see a truly blue sky and perfect visibility... the smoke has to be completely gone now.    Really looks like the fires might be under control because the smoke maps show absolutely nothing even under the transitory ridge on Tuesday.     There is nothing new up in BC either.  

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I'm sure they had some in January 2002 as well. The Central Willamette Valley did well with that.

 

Yes, that was probably the best snow fall of that pathetic stretch.

[Phil]

I'm finally back after a very long break! In spite of a considerably hotter summer than I anticipated I'm kind of intrigued by how things are evolving now. Yesterday was the coolest day I've recorded in month of August since I lived here with a 63-47 spread. It's pretty rare that I get totally surprised by the first sub 50 low of the late summer / early autumn, but I did on that one. It's pretty interesting to see the CPC going for cool and mostly dry for the mid range outlooks as well.

 

The thing that has grabbed my attention this season is that in spite of the overall warmth we have had significant cool interludes (especially at the mid and upper levels) on a very regular basis. Everything has been clipperesque or has dropped down from the GOA so moisture has been very limited in spite of some decent upper level height falls at times.

 

In the nutshell I'm expecting a very decent cold snap early in the season this year. It could be a case where several chilly periods will develop eventually culminating in something big. In general I could see abnormal cold snaps developing anywhere in the mid September to late November period. As for the winter I don't know yet. The CFS keeps showing a big Nino, but that is looking iffy for a number of reasons. I will have a lot more insight into ENSO in the coming days.

Glad to have you back, man!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

JIM IS ALIVE!!!!

[TT-SEA]

00Z GFS sure turns warm again after Labor Day (GEM too).

 

Summer might be coming back Randy!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

I'm finally back after a very long break!  In spite of a considerably hotter summer than I anticipated I'm kind of intrigued by how things are evolving now.  Yesterday was the coolest day I've recorded in month of August since I lived here with a 63-47 spread.  It's pretty rare that I get totally surprised by the first sub 50 low of the late summer / early autumn, but I did on that one.  It's pretty interesting to see the CPC going for cool and mostly dry for the mid range outlooks as well.

 

The thing that has grabbed my attention this season is that in spite of the overall warmth we have had significant cool interludes (especially at the mid and upper levels) on a very regular basis.  Everything has been clipperesque or has dropped down from the GOA so moisture has been very limited in spite of some decent upper level height falls at times.

 

In the nutshell I'm expecting a very decent cold snap early in the season this year.  It could be a case where several chilly periods will develop eventually culminating in something big.  In general I could see abnormal cold snaps developing anywhere in the mid September to late November period.  As for the winter I don't know yet.  The CFS keeps showing a big Nino, but that is looking iffy for a number of reasons.  I will have a lot more insight into ENSO in the coming days.

 

Fu

[Phil]

C-zone is basically stationary now... still raining moderately here.

Now I’m jelly af. Wanna trade?

 

You’d love the weather here..95 degrees w/ smokey haze and sky high humidity. In return I’ll take ur drizzle and 70*F afternoons.