August 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[snow_wizard]

Welcome back.

 

I agree with what you're thinking right now. I believe a big regional event in December similar to our last 8/9 Winter. I'm excited in what's ahead for us this Fall and Winter.

 

Very good point about this being an 8-9 winter.  It is utterly amazing how good those normally are.

[Deweydog]

50’s, damp outside, Sunday Night Football, and a Fire. If that doesn’t scream Fall I don’t know what does!

Nice digs.

[Jesse]

Nice digs.

Apparently driving stray dogs around is quite lucrative.

[snow_wizard]

Glad to have you back, man!

 

Thanks!

 

I just have to take some time off during the summer to recharge my batteries.

[Deweydog]

Apparently driving stray dogs around is quite lucrative.

Mutt Cuts.

[Jesse]

Thanks!

 

I just have to take some time off during the summer to recharge my batteries.

If your batteries are solar powered you should be good to go for the next couple years. Lol!

[TT-SEA]

If your batteries are solar powered you should be good to go for the next couple years. Lol!

Can't remember the last time I saw the sun at full strength. Its been weeks. Every sunny day has been muted and dirty.

 

In our area... we had July.

 

June was quite cloudy and August was smoky.

[Jesse]

Can't remember the last time I saw the sun at full strength. Its been weeks. Every sunny day has been muted and dirty.

 

In our area... we had July.

 

June was quite cloudy and August was smoky.

Lol?

[TigerWoodsLibido]

No rain or even sprinkles here. Made it up to 72F with a low of 52F. Still haven't had any rain in as long as I can remember.  April?

[TT-SEA]

Lol?

Just the reality.

[Phil]

No rain or even sprinkles here. Made it up to 72F with a low of 52F. Still haven't had any rain in as long as I can remember. April?

Only 72*F? Brrrrrrutal. Here’s a picture of Tim from earlier today. Just terrible conditions regionwide.

 

[seattleweatherguy]

I'm finally back after a very long break! In spite of a considerably hotter summer than I anticipated I'm kind of intrigued by how things are evolving now. Yesterday was the coolest day I've recorded in month of August since I lived here with a 63-47 spread. It's pretty rare that I get totally surprised by the first sub 50 low of the late summer / early autumn, but I did on that one. It's pretty interesting to see the CPC going for cool and mostly dry for the mid range outlooks as well.

 

The thing that has grabbed my attention this season is that in spite of the overall warmth we have had significant cool interludes (especially at the mid and upper levels) on a very regular basis. Everything has been clipperesque or has dropped down from the GOA so moisture has been very limited in spite of some decent upper level height falls at times.

 

In the nutshell I'm expecting a very decent cold snap early in the season this year. It could be a case where several chilly periods will develop eventually culminating in something big. In general I could see abnormal cold snaps developing anywhere in the mid September to late November period. As for the winter I don't know yet. The CFS keeps showing a big Nino, but that is looking iffy for a number of reasons. I will have a lot more insight into ENSO in the coming days.

Hey snow_wizard welcome back. I am personally anticipating a more neutral year with a few snows and one of those huge windstorms we get once every 10 years or so!

[TT-SEA]

Only 72*F? Brrrrrrutal. Here’s a picture of Tim from earlier today. Just terrible conditions regionwide.

I actually broke a sweat today mowing the lawn in a t-shirt and shorts. It was nightmarishly hot and humid in the mid 60s.

[Dan the Weatherman]

I'm finally back after a very long break!  In spite of a considerably hotter summer than I anticipated I'm kind of intrigued by how things are evolving now.  Yesterday was the coolest day I've recorded in month of August since I lived here with a 63-47 spread.  It's pretty rare that I get totally surprised by the first sub 50 low of the late summer / early autumn, but I did on that one.  It's pretty interesting to see the CPC going for cool and mostly dry for the mid range outlooks as well.

 

The thing that has grabbed my attention this season is that in spite of the overall warmth we have had significant cool interludes (especially at the mid and upper levels) on a very regular basis.  Everything has been clipperesque or has dropped down from the GOA so moisture has been very limited in spite of some decent upper level height falls at times.

 

In the nutshell I'm expecting a very decent cold snap early in the season this year.  It could be a case where several chilly periods will develop eventually culminating in something big.  In general I could see abnormal cold snaps developing anywhere in the mid September to late November period.  As for the winter I don't know yet.  The CFS keeps showing a big Nino, but that is looking iffy for a number of reasons.  I will have a lot more insight into ENSO in the coming days.

 

I think the west overall is going to have an earlier start to the rain and snow season this year, including the PNW. I even think Socal is going to have some decent rains starting sometime in mid or late October. I am not sure of the winter as of yet, as I am basing this wet forecast on the fact that last fall and winter was extremely dry over a good portion of the west and an extremely dry year doesn't usually lead to another extremely dry year the following year.

[TT-SEA]

Despite the trough finally dipping down on Monday... the 00Z ECMWF is sunny and dry on all 3 days this weekend with temps in the 70s.

[Deweydog]

Euro doesn't look as shitty as I want it to for next weekend. Not gonna sleep well tonight.

[Jesse]

#Timstrong

[TT-SEA]

And despite not being ridgy... the 00Z ECMWF is basically dry for the entire run after the lingering drizzle tonight. King County does get short-lived c-zone on Thursday but that is it. Even the trough on day 10 is totally dry on the surface maps.

 

We saw this rain event today coming for over a week. It did end up much less than once shown though.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

0.12" in the bucket since midnight... About 1/3" with this trough... Better than nothing.

[snow maniac]

Still Only a couple sprinkles of moisture bone dry here still. Hoping for a good soaking rain. Camping here has come to a screeching halt, with no fires no charcoal, and smoky conditions, people are just not camping or recreating outside. It’s really shown a difference here this year.

[Tyler Mode]

First dusting of snow up at Logan Pass in Glacier NP in Montana.

 

0.38" for me the last 3 days.  I'll take it!

[MossMan]

Nice digs.

Thanks! We are loving the new place. Even if it does mean more rain.

[Blizzard777]

.03 precip overnight with low of 56. Currently 57 and damp outside

Winds calm

Grass beginning to put its green clothes on again

[VancouverIslandSouth]

No measureable rain here this weekend and nothing in the forecast either. We can't seem to catch a break, even the some of more drought-tolerant vegetation is dying.

[ShawniganLake]

No measureable rain here this weekend and nothing in the forecast either. We can't seem to catch a break, even the some of more drought-tolerant vegetation is dying.

Ended up with 0.03” of rain here this weekend

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Ended up with 0.28" in the bucket overnight. A healthy 2-day total of 0.48". Not close to enough to start any kind of green up process, but enough to tamp down the dust for a day or two.

[TT-SEA]

Sun is breaking out here... everything looks refreshed and clean after all the rain. Beautiful morning.

 

Ended up with just under .50 here for the weekend.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Still nothing here since April.

[TT-SEA]

Still nothing here since April.

 

 

Well over 8 inches here since May 1st.

 

The disparity is really incredible this year.    I think the Oregon Cascades got a good soaking yesterday at least.

[TT-SEA]

12Z GFS continues its trend of shifting everything farther north for the weekend.

[Jesse]

0.08” here. Strapped in and ready for at least another two months of drought.

[TT-SEA]

There is still smoke moving south across Vancouver Island and out to sea on the satellite loop this morning...

 

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=subregional-Pac_NW-02-48-0-100

 

 

And you can still see the smoke to the west on the Bellingham Bay cam...

 

[Phil]

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Kelso looks like it got some nice rain this weekend. They have received 0.56" since Saturday evening. Other places though in the PNW didn't fare as well and some spots got nothing.

[Jesse]

Nice morning. Sunbreaks and puffy clouds, the air feels cool and moist. Wish we could have a little more of this.

[TT-SEA]

Wait, huh? Only 8 inches? All this time, you’ve been downtrodden over just 2 inches of rain per month?

 

Downtrodden?    

 

I just pointed out that May and June were not the desert wasteland here that Oregon was in those months.    It was still lush green here on the 4th of July.     I will say that May and June were also much more cloudy here as well which helped keep it so green.

 

But most of July and August have been just as dry here as the rest of the region.    Did I ever say its been wet here in July and August?  

[Phil]

The aerosol output from those fires is simply mind boggling to me.

 

If it’s this noticeable here, I can’t even imagine what it must have been like out West. You can barely see the clouds even at 1pm.

 

[El_Nina]

0.23" total from that system here. Smells so nice out.

[Phil]

Being serious here, having Jim come back was a highlight of my week.

 

Welcome back.

Same here, haha. It’s confirmation that the worst season of the year (aka: summer) is coming to an end.

[Farmboy]

12Z GFS continues its trend of shifting everything farther north for the weekend.

It still shows a decent trough with pretty coolish temps for this time of year. I'll bet this morning's Euro comes in wetter than GFS.