November 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[ShawniganLake]

Environment Canada is thinking wind gusts to 55mph in the wake of the front, for SW BC. Special weather statement has been issued

[High Desert Mat!]

Holy crap... who said anything about this being so crazy unusual? Its been much wetter than normal over the last 10 days though. That is just simple fact. And of course wetter than normal periods happen all the time and are very common.

 

My point has been that I prefer these focused heavy rain periods because they usually lead to some truly dry periods. That is all. Nothing more.

My god. Is this ever going to end? You're ruining this forum with this broken record garbage. That is all. Nothing more please about it.

[seattleweatherguy]

Let's talk about the windstorm tonight. Will it boom or bust?

[TT-SEA]

My god. Is this ever going to end? You're ruining this forum with this broken record garbage. That is all. Nothing more please about it.

 

 

Maybe you should stop attacking me for posting factual observations of all the weather that is actually happening simply because you hate me?    It would take up much less space on here without the personal attacks.     I am not attacking anyone.  

[Blizzard777]

Let's talk about the windstorm tonight. Will it boom or bust?

My thoughts on the lighter side for us on the south end but need to fasten my shutters down just in case. Love weather surprises

Model time 11pm for the good stuff

[Deweydog]

BAN TIM NOW!

 

ROCK THE VOTE THIS TUESDAY!

[TT-SEA]

FWIW... here is the 12Z EPS for the 5-10 day period and the 10-15 day period.

 

 

[Blizzard777]

Had a high of 55 today and low of 52...currently 54* with .09 of precipitation

[TT-SEA]

My thoughts on the lighter side for us on the south end but need to fasten my shutters down just in case. Love weather surprises

Model time 11pm for the good stuff

 

Here is the max wind gust map from the 12Z ECMWF through tomorrow morning...

 

[TT-SEA]

Had a high of 55 today and low of 52...currently 54* with .09 of precipitation

 

Probably going to jump up to near 60 late this evening just ahead of the front.  

[seattleweatherguy]

My thoughts on the lighter side for us on the south end but need to fasten my shutters down just in case. Love weather surprises

Model time 11pm for the good stuff

So no strong winds until after 11pm tonight according to that model. All other models have similar timing

[TT-SEA]

So no strong winds until after 11pm tonight according to that model. All other models have similar timing

 

12Z ECMWF shows the wind across the Seattle area picking up dramatically around 5 p.m. and peaking around midnight.

 

And don't forget to turn you clocks back.  

[seattleweatherguy]

12Z ECMWF shows the wind across the Seattle area picking up dramatically around 5 p.m. and peaking around midnight

 

And don't forget to turn you clocks back.

Interesting different timing. And thanks will do that.

[TT-SEA]

Interesting different timing. And thanks will do that.

 

The strongest winds for us will be just ahead of the front... so it will be ramping up this evening.     

 

Could be some c-zone convection for us tomorrow too.   ECMWF is quite vigorous with that feature all day. 

[stuffradio]

There's a much larger amount of posts full of sarcasm, attacks and complaints about Tim than Tim posts about rain. Food for thought.

[Deweydog]

The strongest winds for us will be just ahead of the front... so it will be ramping up this evening.

 

Could be some c-zone convection for us tomorrow too. ECMWF is quite vigorous with that feature all day.

Jesus ******* Christ on a moldy, mossy cracker... You never ******* quit.

[TT-SEA]

Jesus f***** Christ on a moldy, mossy cracker... You never f***** quit.

 

 

Finish MaM2 yet?

[Deweydog]

 

Finish MaM2 yet?

Probably tomorrow night.

[Requiem]

Lucky Seattle weather fans, enjoy your storm. It'll be a while before us Portlanders get anything substantial, like always.

[FroYoBro]

Lucky Seattle weather fans, enjoy your storm. It'll be a while before us Portlanders get anything substantial, like always.

 

I mean they aren't getting anything too exciting and Portland does fine when it comes to windstorms. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Rain is wetter today.

[Omegaraptor]

High of 59 with light sporadic drizzle here - first of the month, surprisingly enough. Don’t think it’ll break 0.05” though.

[El_Nina]

Looks pretty dry on the radar at Tim's place today.

[van city]

There's a much larger amount of posts full of sarcasm, attacks and complaints about Tim than Tim posts about rain. Food for thought.

[TT-SEA]

Looks pretty dry on the radar at Tim's place today.

What? Do know where I live?

 

Been raining all day and still going.

 

 

 

Nearby traffic cam...

 

 

And here is near SEA where it appears dry on the radar... not so dry.  

 

[Esquimalt]

Environment Canada is thinking wind gusts to 55mph in the wake of the front, for SW BC. Special weather statement has been issued

I wonder why that isn't a wind warning. Edit: they've now issued a wind warning reporting 70 kmph gusting 90 kmph...seems unlikely to me but I guess it's possible.

[Esquimalt]

What do you guys this spells for us guys?

[Deweydog]

Yikes...

[Front Ranger]

October ended up above normal here.    And that dry spell followed an extremely wet period from early September through early October up here.   And November is off to a very wet start in this area... and for many areas to the north and east of Seattle.    Including lowland areas.

 

Our really wet periods are usually offset by dry spells.   Just how it works... and why I prefer focused heavy rain.  9 inches in 9 days is really wet even here.     I would expect some drier weather ahead without even looking at the models.    Normal ebb and flow of wet and dry periods.     The second half of November will be probably be really wet again.  

 

This is not complaining... just basic stuff.    Our best rainy seasons (in my opinion) have periods of really heavy rain and many distinct dry periods... which usually come with offshore flow.    

 

Been a drier than normal fall for most the region so far.

 

[wx_statman]

Lucky Seattle weather fans, enjoy your storm. It'll be a while before us Portlanders get anything substantial, like always.

 

Someone has a case of the Mondays...

[Front Ranger]

Yep, sounds like a Nino. 

 

Not that far off in the big picture from 2009-10 either. Both moderate strength Modoki events with a similar feel to them. We happened to get lucky with a prolific -EPO stretch in early Dec of 2009...no such luck in 2002-03. 

 

One was during solar min, one was during solar max. Probably played a role.

[TT-SEA]

Been a drier than normal fall for most the region so far.

 

 

 

Not in the usual area to the north and east of Seattle.    

[Front Ranger]

There's a much larger amount of posts full of sarcasm, attacks and complaints about Tim than Tim posts about rain. Food for thought.

 

Highly debatable.

[Requiem]

Someone has a case of the Mondays...

 

It's true though

[Front Ranger]

Not in the usual area to the north and east of Seattle.    

 

Even that area is still running a deficit over the past 6 months.

 

[TT-SEA]

Even that area is still running a deficit over the past 6 months.

 

6mPNormWA.png

 

 

May was below normal and July and August were really dry.  

 

Above normal for the year though.

[TT-SEA]

Utah loses to ASU... now who is the best team in the PAC-12?  

 

Go Cougs!  

[El_Nina]

What? Do know where I live?

 

Been raining all day and still going.

 

 

 

Nearby traffic cam...

 

 

And here is near SEA where it appears dry on the radar... not so dry.

 

It was sarcasm because I saw how consistent that rain has been there today. Looks drippy.

[Blizzard777]

Lucky Seattle weather fans, enjoy your storm. It'll be a while before us Portlanders get anything substantial, like always.

I moved up here back in 97 and I definitely like Portland’s action better compared to Federal Way. East wind was a HuGE joy of mine and love how the microclimate there fools even the local weatherman.

[TT-SEA]

It was sarcasm because I saw how consistent that rain has been there today. Looks drippy.

 

 

Ahhh... I should have known.   You are pretty clever.    

 

Still considering a move to Florida?