January 2019 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[crf450ish]

Any opinions on what apparently seems to be yet another wind event approaching the coast? I glanced at Cliff Mass' blog....another deep low approaching?

[Requiem]

Any opinions on what apparently seems to be yet another wind event approaching the coast? I glanced at Cliff Mass' blog....another deep low approaching?

 

This one looks to stay offshore, so no high winds inland. Maybe mild gusty winds on the coast at most. Nothing like yesterday's gale.

[MossMan]

This one looks to stay offshore, so no high winds inland. Maybe mild gusty winds on the coast at most. Nothing like yesterday's gale.

Cliff did say to “stay tuned” at the end of his blog...If that sucker did decide to move closer...watch out!!

[Requiem]

Cliff did say to “stay tuned” at the end of his blog...If that sucker did decide to move closer...watch out!!

 

Speaking of Cliff, I absolutely doubted him when he made the claim that this would be a significant windstorm even for Seattle and areas North of Vancouver. But it was! So I'm definitely impressed with the mets and their forecasting this time around- much better than what happened on 10/15/16 (my nightmare wind scenario).

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Sub-40 high today! 2 whole degrees below average!

[Deweydog]

That ice age someone predicted in 2010 is finally coming to fruition!

He never predicted that.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

FV-3 shows a fairly cold trough around the 17th.

[ShawniganLake]

Saw a few flakes driving to Victoria earlier. Mostly above 1000ft. Overrunning potential for Tuesday looks to be diminishing with each passing model run.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Here is the big fir. Pics do it no justice. I measured it 8 years ago and even then it was a top ten Doug fir in the world. I checked my notes on this tree it's 11.9 ft not 13.9 but even at 11.9 it's a top ten Doug fir.

[snow_wizard]

That was certainly more intresting than I was expecting!  It got pretty windy here with a lot of big limbs down and a snapped off Doug Fir a couple of blocks from here.  The gust to 58 at SEA was certainly no slouch and it was the 3rd or 4th time in the past month they have hit 50+.  It's pretty fascinating one of the top analogs recently has been December 2006, and we had a big wind quickly followed by a chilly air mass on that one also.  It certainly makes you wonder if something like the cold and snow we had in January 2007 might be repeated in some fashion as well.  ENSO and solar are a decent match to that winter.  The past few model runs are finally hinting at the potential for a big blocking / retrogression situation a couple of weeks out.  The Jan 20 to Feb 5 period is probably going to be our best shot this winter.

[Requiem]

That was certainly more intresting than I was expecting!  It got pretty windy here with a lot of big limbs down and a snapped off Doug Fir a couple of blocks from here.  The gust to 58 at SEA was certainly no slouch and it was the 3rd or 4th time in the past month they have hit 50+.  It's pretty fascinating one of the top analogs recently has been December 2006, and we had a big wind quickly followed by a chilly air mass on that one also.  It certainly makes you wonder if something like the cold and snow we had in January 2007 might be repeated in some fashion as well.  ENSO and solar are a decent match to that winter.  The past few model runs are finally hinting at the potential for a big blocking / retrogression situation a couple of weeks out.  The Jan 20 to Feb 5 period is probably going to be our best shot this winter.

 

I believe the peak gust at SEA was 60, wasn't it?

[snow_wizard]

Here is the big fir. Pics do it no justice. I measured it 8 years ago and even then it was a top ten Doug fir in the world. I checked my notes on this tree it's 11.9 ft not 13.9 but even at 11.9 it's a top ten Doug fir.

 

There was a huge Doug Fir at a park on the north end of Lake Washington that was one of the bigger known specimens as well.  A big wind storm snapped it off in the 1990s.  I couldn't believe my eyes when I went there after it snapped.  The thing was an absolute monster (probably about the size of the one you're talking about) and I had been there just the year before while it was intact.

[snow_wizard]

I believe the peak gust at SEA was 60, wasn't it?

 

It could have been.  I was just going by the hourly obs.

[Requiem]

It could have been.  I was just going by the hourly obs.

 

That makes sense, sorry.

[GHweatherChris]

Mostly wet snow now, temp is dropping, down to 36, looks like a few more hours of precip, hoping to see a full transition and maybe a dusting. #loweredexpectations

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Almost all snow here and 35.3 degrees. I think it will be all snow when the next round of showers roll through.

[MossMan]

FV-3 shows a fairly cold trough around the 17th.

My gut was telling me today when I was chucking the Christmas tree into the woods that the models tonight will start picking up on something cold starting around MLK Day...

 

My gut hasn’t verified very well so far this season though.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Mostly wet snow now, temp is dropping, down to 36, looks like a few more hours of precip, hoping to see a full transition and maybe a dusting. #loweredexpectations

Haha looks like our weather is the same. Good timing.

[GHweatherChris]

Haha looks like our weather is the same. Good timing.

Air mass is consistent.

[Phil]

Here is the big fir. Pics do it no justice. I measured it 8 years ago and even then it was a top ten Doug fir in the world. I checked my notes on this tree it's 11.9 ft not 13.9 but even at 11.9 it's a top ten Doug fir.

That’s one big motherf**ker. Any estimates on its age?

[MossMan]

If we could get some moderate precipitation going up here I bet I might see a mix! 38.

[seattleweatherguy]

42 rain here

[GHweatherChris]

Down to 35, cmon!!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Down to 35, cmon!!

Matlock is 32 degrees.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

That’s one big motherf**ker. Any estimates on its age?

The guy that ownes the land says 800 years. He said it lost it's top in the 1962 wind storm here. The most amazing part is it never got cut. I found some old spring board notches in it as well.

[seattleweatherguy]

Good guys let's keep this snow rolling on might be our only shot

[snow_wizard]

That makes sense, sorry.

 

No need to apologize.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Down to 35, cmon!!

West fork satsop is 33. Looks to be snowing all around south and east slopes olympics down to a few hundred feet. Shelton may switch over soon.

[GHweatherChris]

Matlock is 32 degrees.

They usually do good in these situations.

 

Contemplating loading up in the truck and driving out to the Wynoochee Dam north of here, I bet it is dumping snow up there right now. Wife is balking though, so might just be me and the kiddo if we go.

[snow_wizard]

The guy that ownes the land says 800 years. He said it lost it's top in the 1962 wind storm here. The most amazing part is it never got cut. I found some old spring board notches in it as well.

 

Amazing it has lived so long with the top gone.  Looks like a good chunk of it is missing in fact.  It still looks healthy 50+ years later.

[GHweatherChris]

West fork satsop is 33. Looks to be snowing all around south and east slopes olympics down to a few hundred feet. Shelton may switch over soon.

Almost completely small wet flakes here but now looking at the radar is discouraging, maybe another hour or so of steady precip now, just a bit ago it looked healthier. Might have to rely on some rogue shower activity overnight.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

They usually do good in these situations.

Contemplating loading up in the truck and driving out to the Wynoochee Dam north of here, I bet it is dumping snow up there right now. Wife is balking though, so might just be me and the kiddo if we go.

Try and go up to dusk peak.

[Chewbacca Defense]

Been sitting at around 40-42 all afternoon, and watched a band of rain (snow on the higher hills) to the south most of the afternoon (looks like it got to within about 5 miles of us....covered the southern half of Lake Whatcom).

 

That pretty much fizzled out, and there is a band to the north and west of us sliding to the NE with a slight easterly movement.  They both had a CZ look about them, but I don't know if they were/are in fact CZ bands.  

 

I have .16 in the rain bucket, with most of it hitting between 2-3:30, with another small shower between 8-9.

 

Looking on FB, looks like there has been hail up in Pt. Roberts and Blaine, and a little bit of thunder.  It will be interesting to see what the night brings.

[Andrew.]

Wondering if we might be in for a bit of surprise here tonight, back down into the mid 30s and some moderate precip bands moving in

[GHweatherChris]

Try and go up to dusk peak.

That's a bit far for tonight.

[GHweatherChris]

Down to 34.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Down to 34.

Holding at 34.8 here. I think we'll both get snow Tuesday morn.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Currently 41 with scattered showers.

[GHweatherChris]

Holding at 34.8 here. I think we'll both get snow Tuesday morn.

You, yes. Depends on precip timing and whether or not offshore flow is going through the Chehalis Gap, we are only at 200 feet here and 8 miles from Aberdeen.

[crf450ish]

Another perk to moving to Bozeman...the whole city's power grid is underground. We have literally never lost power here with 70+ mph winds or 15" of snow in a day.

 

Living up in the West Hills we'd lose power several times a year for multiple days with any winds over 45 mph and or any snow/ice.

 

 

Easy feat when the landscape is relatively flat with little or no trees.