February 2019 Weather in the Pacific Northwest - Part 1

[Geos]

Snowfall on the WRF through 4 AM Monday.

 

Awesome. Down to 37° here now. Can't sleep tonight knowing snow will be flying soon! Lol

 

Down near freezing in NW Whatcom now.

[MossMan]

Jaw dropper!

We are on the threshold of prolonged weather fun..so pumped!

Super Bowl , unhealthy snacks, beverages, cold, North wind, snow, freezing temps and forum full of weather lovers to share the excitement with. I stand ready

 

40*

And the 6z ensembles are pretty much the same...just amazing!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Jesus I'm not the only one who cant sleep

[Geos]

The ECMWF shows everywhere dropping into the teens Saturday night after the big snow on Friday. Wow!

If there is snow cover, I would not be surprised to see upper single digits in the favorite cold locations.

[Andrew.]

I got a solid 2 hours in!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

First time I've ever seen 2-5 inches in my zone forecast and not even a snow advisory. Acually 5 inches reaches warning level. Strange. My call of 1-4 inches everywhere yesterday looks good.

[MikeInEverett]

First time I've ever seen 2-5 inches in my zone forecast and not even a snow advisory. Acually 5 inches reaches warning level. Strange. My call of 1-4 inches everywhere yesterday looks good.

The lack of any advisories is strange to me. They must be coming when the 12z models are in.

[MossMan]

I got a solid 2 hours in!

3hrs here!

[FroYoBro]

Temperature has been steadily dropping since about 1 a.m.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

The showers i had about 30 minutes ago had snow in them. 35 degrees here.

[Geos]

06z ICON snowfall totals is better for many places.

 

I'll take that please!

[Geos]

23°/7° in Hope BC right now. It's coming!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

This is going to be a strong outflow event even for puget sound. Probable like November 2010.

[Andrew.]

Looks like PDX NWS going with 1-3 inches above 500 feet. I bet they issue a winter weather advisory this morning.

[Andrew.]

Am I reading this right? -6c already into NW Oregon? If so it may end of being quite a bit colder later than most of the forecasts.

 

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/s11/850mb/850mb_sf.gif?1448231970125

[dairyd]

850 temps descending like a heavy blanket.

[dairyd]

Am I reading this right? -6c already into NW Oregon? If so it may end of being quite a bit colder later than most of the forecasts.

 

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/s11/850mb/850mb_sf.gif?1448231970125

portland is between the -2 and -3 isobar. -6 isobar just touches cape disappointment and crosses the WA coast.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

[Prairiedog]

I've gone from 44f at 3:30am to 40f at 5:30 with light rain at 315ft between Oregon City and Estacada.  Not what I was expecting.  Was thinking temps would hold in the mid 40's most of the day.  Temps in Sandy Or at 900ft are down to 38ft.  Definitely cooler than I thought it would be this am. 

[Slade]

33.8F with light snow at my location in Colwood (Victoria)

[Parksvillewx]

EC just issued a snowfall warning for East side of vancouver island. Lightly snowing here right now and looks like some activity on the radar out in the strait.

 

Issued at 2019-02-03 13:18 UTC by Environment Canada:

Snowfall warning issued for:

East Vancouver Island - Nanoose Bay to Fanny Bay, B.C. (081320)

Current details:

Snow squalls bringing local accumulations of 5 to 15 cm.

 

Arctic outflow winds crossing the Strait of Georgia will create snow squalls reaching the Eastern side of Vancouver Island today and tonight. The snow squalls will tend to be localized but could nevertheless produce significant snowfall accumulations for sections of East Vancouver Island from Nanaimo to Qualicum Beach. The snowfall accumulations will be variable with amounts ranging between 5 to 15 cm.

 

The snow squalls will dissipate by Monday morning.

[Esquimalt]

Mixed rain and snow and 35 here. Hopefully the temp will keep dropping and precip will continue. Looks like a bit of a convergence zone to me

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Time to watch this unfold in realtime, currently 34F with moderate snow, looks like it's starting to stick to some surfaces.

[Esquimalt]

Time to watch this unfold in realtime, currently 34F with moderate snow, looks like it's starting to stick to some surfaces.

Looks like a convergence zone of some sort.  Hopefully we can keep this momentum going

[dairyd]

the outflow building, temps, dewpoint dropping at the border. still not at epic levels for this point.  Mean wind has to pick up to the mid 20's.  we'll see how the day travels.

 

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Looks like a convergence zone of some sort.  Hopefully we can keep this momentum going

 

It's down to about 33F here now, but looks like the snow has tapered off. Just need one or two heavy showers to develop for things to get interesting. Perhaps the low level outflow will push up something, looks like the edge is near Bellingham.

[Esquimalt]

It's down to about 33F here now, but looks like the snow has tapered off. Just need one or two heavy showers to develop for things to get interesting. Perhaps the low level outflow will push up something, looks like the edge is near Bellingham.

I'm a little worried.  The NAM is showing our source of moisture running out in 4 or 5 hours.  It's saying nothing for tonight. 

[snow maniac]

Not very confident that I’ll see anything more then a trace, all the models have my house in the bullseye dry slot. Hopefully Everyone else does better.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

I'm a little worried.  The NAM is showing our source of moisture running out in 4 or 5 hours.  It's saying nothing for tonight. 

 

Hard to say, it certainly looks better further north around Nanaimo - Parksville. I'd like to see more on the radar to our W/SW.

[Esquimalt]

Hard to say, it certainly looks better further north around Nanaimo - Parksville. I'd like to see more on the radar to our W/SW.

Im not too impressed, but there is always hope for surprises in situations like these. 

[umadbro]

Surprise surprise, the Portland radar is down.

[Esquimalt]

Blizzard warning in effect for haida gwai, with up to 20 cm through this evening 

[dairyd]

5:27 AM PST Sunday 03 February 2019
Snowfall warning in effect for:

• Fraser Valley - central including Chilliwack
• Fraser Valley - west including Abbotsford

Snowfall with total amounts of 5 to 10 cm is expected.

Snowfall totals of 5-10 cm are expected in portions of the Fraser Valley.

A band of moisture over the eastern Pacific will interact with an arctic front now over the south coast to produce an area of snowfall centred over the Fraser Valley beginning this morning. 5 to 10 cm of snow can be expected through this afternoon mainly between Abbotsford and Chilliwack before dry arctic outflow winds move in tonight.

Be prepared to adjust your driving with changing road conditions. Rapidly accumulating snow will make travel difficult. Visibility may be suddenly reduced at times in heavy snow.

[TT-SEA]

Gauging model performance... the WRF showed the band of snow for all of King County happening right about now.    I don't think that is going to verify as its still too warm.

[El_Nina]

Snowing at 1000ft in the foothills

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I didn't believe it when I saw it on the WRF last night, but just woke up to about 1/2" of snow. Looks like the cold air aloft overswept the fading deformation band that the low over California spun up.

[Timmy]

Models

Suddenly all looking super anemic for moisture for my place

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Snowing at 1000ft in the foothills

Brightwood2_pid1381.jpg

 

Snowing at 1000ft in the foothills

Brightwood2_pid1381.jpg

 

Temp was 39 here at 4am. Down to 33 now. 

[TT-SEA]

I didn't believe it when I saw it on the WRF last night, but just woke up to about 1/2" of snow. Looks like the cold air aloft overswept the fading deformation band that the low over California spun up.

 

 

Nice.

 

Looks like the ECMWF showed some snow down there too this morning.

 

[Jesse]

Haha, wow.

Really looks like we could be in it for the long haul. Pretty exciting.