indianajohn Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 I think you might be right or at least close to it Jaster. I own a restaurant so I usually judge a "monster storm" as one where I have to close the restaurant LOL!!! usually around the 10"+ range, it's been years since I had to close my restaurant because of a snow storm. This winter has been very frustrating, but didn't your location get dbl digits in last Feb's wild week? 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 00z GFS looking much stronger at hr90. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 Rainer 00z gfs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 FYI Gem is also much stronger 1000 MB L in N IL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 Rainer 00z gfsinitially yes-- but than it occludes and really wraps in cold air. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 Looking like a rain fest around these parts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 E.SD special. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 Both events--- Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 FYI Gem is also much stronger 1000 MB L in N IL where is the gem available so early? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 Both events---USA_ASNOWI72_sfc_132.gif Looks like an April map. Is it March yet? Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 Not so sure I buy the what the GFS is offering. An occulding storm that strengthens as it stalls between hr 102 and -108. Something about that seems fishy. CMC and GFS very close at HR 96- then they diverge. 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 ^ nice looking map 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 where is the gem available so early?He’s looking at black and white maps most likely. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 Not so sure I buy the what the GFS is offering. An occulding storm that strengthens as it stalls between hr 102 and -108. Something about that seems fishy. CMC and GFS very close at HR 96- then they diverge.Don’t know if I can but any model right now. None seem to really be consistent at all. I mean, the GFS just basically jumped across the state of Iowa with the SLP between the 18z and 00z run lol. Not saying it won’t verify, because I’ve been thinking it’ll be a cutter that ends up west of here, but I’m just not going to buy into anything but we get a little run to run consistency at least. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gimmesnow Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 Rainer 00z gfs GFS did this all January. At one point it said this ice and sleet was going to be a thunderstorm. FV3 has it all snow. Way too early to be caring if the GFS is calling for snow or rain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 At HR 108, the GFS has a 999mb low right over the DBQ area. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 At HR 108, the GFS has a 999mb low right over the DBQ area.You mean the CMC. I think. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 We still have several days to go w this storm, so lots of changes can be expected. The good thing is that someone will get a good storm outta this, whether is rain, mix and or snow. Wind will also be a factor as well. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 You mean the CMC. I think.I do. Oops! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 ukie with a cutter. Hr 96 L is just N of OK panhandle.(1000MB) Hr 120 - is near Grand Rapids, Michigan, (996MB) -- strong for this range of the UKIE. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 Any model that shows 6+ for my area always ends up being a 1-3 event. Been that way all winter. Even the Euro sucked bad for this most recent system for my area. Consistently showed 4-6 and then 6-8..............I ended with about an inch of wind driven snow. Every model looks like the DGEX in the 3-4 day range. Id love to score an over performer at some point other than a random little clipper.Edit: And the FV3 is horrendous. Can someone verify when it actually came close to being correct? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 GFS is really bizarre looking for this system next week over Nebraska lol. Time will tell. It needs to sort the first system out first. Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 Pretty tight cluster for gefs 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 Euro slightly north and quicker at hr 96 vs 12z run and last night's 00z Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 European waaaaay more juicy than the 12z. Nearly 3/4" qpf for Des Moines Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 00z euro, still snowing eastern Iowa and Wisconsin at that point on snowfall map 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 Sunday/Monday map then both events combined 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 Gosaints crush job. And if i get a foot out of this mess I'll be amazed. Euro has sucked this season IMO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 8, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 00z EPS pretty much hits those places who just got hit with the last storm and targeting IA/S MN/N/C WI... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 8, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 06z GEFS...snow mean 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 8, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 06z FV3...still holding onto the idea of a southerly track...while its nice to look at, I'm not sure I buy it just yet...the main energy spinning across B.C./PAC NW will eventually track onshore 12z Sunday so I still expect to see some adjustments to the track. My gut tells me this will not be a favorable storm track for N IL. Hoping I'm wrong, but the only way this could end up being a "share the wealth" is if it ends up being a weaker/occluding low. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 Euro is the first model to bring rain into the picture for here. Not good. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 Here is today's NWS GRR take on the system for Tuesday ISSUED AT 327 AM EST FRI FEB 8 2019 -SNOW SHOWERS, GUSTY WINDS, BLOWING SNOW INTO THIS AFTERNOON. ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE MOSTLY 1 TO 2 INCHES. -LENGTHY POWER OUTAGES CONTINUE FROM YESTERDAY, RECOVERY IS HAMPERED BY, VERY COLD AIR, GUSTY WINDS, AND SNOW SHOWERS. -LIGHT SNOW SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING, 1 TO 2 INCHES EXPECTED -ANOTHER MAJOR WINTER STORM IN THE TUESDAY TIME FRAME. AT THIS TIME IT LOOKS LIKE ANOTHER ICE STORM IS POSSIBLE, THEN GUSTY WINDS MUCH COLDER AND LAKE EFFECT SNOWS FOLLOW WEDNESDAY. AT THIS POINT IT SEEMS IT WILL LIKELY TRACK NEAR OR NORTH OF GRAND RAPIDS ON TUESDAY. THAT PUTS US IN A SET UP LIKE THE SYSTEM YESTERDAY. THIS TIME THERE WILL BE MORE WILL BE MORE SNOW THIS TIME. EVEN SO MUCH OF OUR CWA COULD SEE FREEZING RAIN ONCE AGAIN. ALSO, ONCE AGAIN COLD AIR WOULD FOLLOW WITH AN PERIOD OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW. IT SEEMS THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE SCHOOL CLOSURES AND OTHER SIMILAR PROBLEMS FOR OUR AREA. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SE Wisconsin Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 I have this sinking feeling that this is going to be another rain/freezing rain maker for most on this forum with very little or only minor accumulations of snow. Trends unfortunately seem to be pointing in that direction. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 Best chance to pull this south I think would be for the first wave to slow down and strengthen a bit.... That and it is still way out there... The goal posts are very wide Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 Best chance to pull this south I think would be for the first wave to slow down and strengthen a bit.... That and it is still way out there... The goal posts are very wideShhh... still too soon for Chicago people to be talking about goal posts. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 Shhh... still too soon for Chicago people to be talking about goal posts.In that case way to wide... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 8, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 Shhh... still too soon for Chicago people to be talking about goal posts.#Doink 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 #Doink#DoubleDoink 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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