Stormhunter87 Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Sorry for not posting much about the severe wx potential today, I had a presentation this morning that I spent all day yesterday working on. Back in the game now. When looking at this sounding, one major thing sticks out like a sore thumb, and that is the lack of CAPE. At best I think we're looking at routine thunderstorms. Areas to the S/SW of Lincoln near the KS border have more CAPE and moisture to work with. Shear looks phenomenal for here, I'm not worried about that. If we want more CAPE, though, we need to hope the sun magically peeks out and gives us some heating cuz I don't see much of a potential for severe wx otherwise. And that's not even an issue if we don't have the mid-level moisture to give us storms in the first place.Speaking of that the sun is peaking through now here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Looks like a hurricane. Wow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Not sure if this link will work but here’s a video someone shot on I-70 east of Denver. Almost unbelievable. https://video.twimg.com/ext_tw_video/1105881771176923148/pu/pl/s9w08HDwu7UfxsZc.m3u8?tag=8 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Yeah the sun was out for about 30 minutes and that raised the temp to 57.0°F. Shining through off and on too. We may have decent CAPE after all. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
erburns18 Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Water starting to seap up through the foundation here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Short term models still look good for the snow band through Central Nebraska. If the wind is going to howl we might as well get snow with it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Not sure if this link will work but here’s a video someone shot on I-70 east of Denver. Almost unbelievable. https://video.twimg.com/ext_tw_video/1105881771176923148/pu/pl/s9w08HDwu7UfxsZc.m3u8?tag=8Intense! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Got family around ft. Collins I'll have to see if they can send some pictures 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 13, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Insane wind gusts with the system.... WIND GUSTS LAST 24 HOURS:Pine Springs, TX: 103 mphGlen Haven, CO: 92 mphFritch, TX: 84 mphKern County, CA: 82 mphAmarillo, TX: 80 mphDenver, CO: 80 mphGrand Prairie, TX: 80 mph 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Just had an intense rain for about 20 minutes. Steady rains just to the west of the metro. Looks like we’ll miss most of it. I’ve discovered an ice dam on my roof so the less rain the better. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Sun is shining and man does it feel warm. This should help the instability. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Good to see the NWS took me out of the Winter Storm Warning almost as soon as they put me in it. What's the point of that? The snow isn't even falling yet so they might as well wait until the banding sets up and adjust if needed. I guess they think the band won't be this far East. They left it 1 county to the west and northwest though. Idk, seems pretty pointless. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Yeah way more sun than expected for sure. We've managed to rise to 59.9*F. Still need the mid-layer to moisten up a bit but other than that this makes some convection way more likely. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Meso for south central Nebraska and northern Kansas. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 I'm glad we got storms with heavy rain last night because today's wave of precip was a dud. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 After 78 mph winds t his morning, we've calmed down to 30 mph gusts and 20 constant wind. Temps hit 79* I have no idea how much rain I got because it was blowing so hard it didn't go into the collector.As such, it freakin' poured. Power is out of about half the county. I got lucky this time, but lightning was various shades of orange.I have no idea what that means, but it was nasty! By the way, I was out in the tail end of it at 5:30 am trying to find my trash can! Found it, along with a number of other neighbors and their trash cansA good time was had by all. 3 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 I'm glad we got storms with heavy rain last night because today's wave of precip was a dud.Yeah.. don’t get me wrong, I appreciated the rain last night. BUT... considering how impressive the storm is overall, the results here are rather “meh.” Guess it has more to do with the lack of any notable storms here, though I know you got some more of that last night. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 13, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 I've been watching some of the footage coming out of this massive Blizzard raging across the Foothills into W NE and it's something I've never seen before. Hurricane Force wind gusts and heavy snow, blowing snow and whiteouts. This is epic stuff right here....#Snow’Cane’19 This vid is at Scottsbluff, NE: https://twitter.com/i/status/1105952447342800896 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 I actually just saw the sun poke out to my east very briefly, but rain was coming down pretty solid with a shower moving in from the south. Interesting sight to see. I suspect a vast majority of the snowpack should be gone by tomorrow, as today really put a huge hit on it. Temp sitting around 50 right now. Not sure why I’m higher than the airport and most reports around me, but I’ve had that 50 verified by three different instruments. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Yes, the dry slot brought a fair amount of sunshine up to Cedar Rapids. The temp has responded by rising to 54. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Yes, the dry slot brought a fair amount of sunshine up to Cedar Rapids. The temp has responded by rising to 54.Do models show additional rain in the Cedar Rapids area tonight or tomorrow? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Not that the rain shower has passed, the sun is poking out even more. So weird having it be this bright at this time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Do models show additional rain in the Cedar Rapids area tonight or tomorrow? Maybe some light rain or a flake of snow as the weakening upper low moves through the area. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 The sun has been out since 3p now and we rose up to 61.7 at my weather station. Ended up with 1.36" of rain today and 1.80" total.The craziest thing so far today has been the flooding here in town. Had a road that I take to and from work that had water over the northbound lanes this morning during the heavier rain. I've never seen that before on that road. There was also a manhole cover that had water shooting out of it. That's since gone down, but now at my workplace our parking lot is starting to flood.The Big Papillion creek passes by my workplace to the east and is normally a pretty calm stream. I'd say it's never more than a few feet deep and in fact you can't see the stream from my office, just the deep channel that's been cut out. This afternoon the water has entirely risen out of the very large channel and has come into the parking lot. A few cars have had water surround them up to the bottom of the vehicle. They had to send out an email to everyone in the office building advising them to check where their cars are and to move them if needed. The river gauges in the immediate area are seasonal so aren't recording right now(for whatever reason), but when I look at the other gauge that is reporting along the creek in town, I show the creek is up 20 FEET from 9' to 29'!! Insane! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 No real flooding down here, but I'm not sure how Salt Creek looks. That may be high. Storms ended up popping off basically right on top of me. I only saw a couple drops of rain. Oh well. It's March, we have 3 full months of prime severe wx season left. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted March 13, 2019 Report Share Posted March 13, 2019 Some light rain earlier and that recent rain shower gave me an additional .12” of rain, pushing me up to .91” of rain for this system so far. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted March 14, 2019 Report Share Posted March 14, 2019 I just learned how lucky i was early this morning. The storm passed over at 4:30-5 am. We had 80mph winds, but just east of us, 20-25 mi., the storm picked up and hit 109 mph. That would have trashed the place. I feel very fortunate. 5 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew NE Posted March 14, 2019 Report Share Posted March 14, 2019 The sun has been out since 3p now and we rose up to 61.7 at my weather station. Ended up with 1.36" of rain today and 1.80" total.The craziest thing so far today has been the flooding here in town. Had a road that I take to and from work that had water over the northbound lanes this morning during the heavier rain. I've never seen that before on that road. There was also a manhole cover that had water shooting out of it. That's since gone down, but now at my workplace our parking lot is starting to flood.The Big Papillion creek passes by my workplace to the east and is normally a pretty calm stream. I'd say it's never more than a few feet deep and in fact you can't see the stream from my office, just the deep channel that's been cut out. This afternoon the water has entirely risen out of the very large channel and has come into the parking lot. A few cars have had water surround them up to the bottom of the vehicle. They had to send out an email to everyone in the office building advising them to check where their cars are and to move them if needed. The river gauges in the immediate area are seasonal so aren't recording right now(for whatever reason), but when I look at the other gauge that is reporting along the creek in town, I show the creek is up 20 FEET from 9' to 29'!! Insane!North Park? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 14, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 14, 2019 @CentralNeb, imagine if this was all snow??? This defo band is redic on radar....crazy comma hook to it... 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted March 14, 2019 Report Share Posted March 14, 2019 North Park?Yep! Sounds like you must work in the same area? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted March 14, 2019 Report Share Posted March 14, 2019 First ever flash flood emergency issued by OAX if I'm not mistaken? BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Flash Flood Warning National Weather Service Omaha/Valley Nebraska 722 PM CDT WED MAR 13 2019 ...FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR TOWN OF ROGERS AND SCHUYLER... The National Weather Service in Omaha has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... Southeastern Colfax County in northeastern Nebraska... Western Dodge County in east central Nebraska... * Until 1115 PM CDT. * At 714 PM CDT, emergency management reported a levee which is likely to be overtopped or may become compromised along the Shell Creek, which begins just passed the US 30 and NE 15 interchange and extends towards the confluence of the Shell Creek and the Platte River. Residents in the vicinity of the levee are urged to evacuate and seek higher ground while there is still time. Flash flooding is expected to begin shortly. This is a FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY for locations between Schulyer and Rogers. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW! * Some locations that will experience flooding include... Schuyler and Rogers. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Move to higher ground now. This is an extremely dangerous and life-threatening situation. Do not attempt to travel unless you are fleeing an area subject to flooding or under an evacuation order. Move to higher ground now. Act quickly to protect your life. A Flash Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. If you are in the warned area move to higher ground immediately. Residents living along streams and creeks should take immediate precautions to protect life and property. 2 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew NE Posted March 14, 2019 Report Share Posted March 14, 2019 Yep! Sounds like you must work in the same area?We have machines parked there for snow removal and got a call to come move them to higher ground today. Crazy! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 14, 2019 Report Share Posted March 14, 2019 @CentralNeb, imagine if this was all snow??? This defo band is redic on radar....crazy comma hook to it...Was just put in a blizzard warning. Just switched over. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENational Weather Service Hastings NE954 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 ...Strong Winds and Snow will create Blizzard Conditions... Valley-Greeley-Sherman-Dawson-Buffalo-Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Including the cities of Ord, Greeley, Spalding, Scotia, Wolbach, Loup City, Sherman Reservoir, Litchfield, Lexington, Cozad, Willow Island, Gothenburg, Kearney, Elwood, Johnson Lake, Holdrege, and Minden954 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches. Winds gusting as high as 55 to 65 mph. * WHERE...Portions of central and south central Nebraska. * WHEN...Until 1 PM CDT Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on hazardous road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Strong winds could cause extensive damage to trees and power lines. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions areexpected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong windsand poor visibilities are likely. This will lead to whiteoutconditions, making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. Ifyou must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you getstranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from canbe obtained by calling 5 1 1. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted March 14, 2019 Report Share Posted March 14, 2019 Good to see the NWS took me out of the Winter Storm Warning almost as soon as they put me in it. What's the point of that? The snow isn't even falling yet so they might as well wait until the banding sets up and adjust if needed. I guess they think the band won't be this far East. They left it 1 county to the west and northwest though. Idk, seems pretty pointless.Ha, Man did they miss that forecast! You’re right, Just keep it the way it was. Instead you go from a winter storm warning, advisory, then back to a blizzard warning. I am hoping it can make its way a little further east so I can get into the action that you guys will see! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted March 14, 2019 Report Share Posted March 14, 2019 The last major flooding event that I can remember for Columbus was in the spring of 1993. I can't remember the month but I'm gonna guess it had to be March. Anyway; I might get to see the greatest flood ever for this area as this video shows more is coming. So sad for those down stream but places are being evacuated along the loup and further north along the niobrara tonight. Locations along and east of highway 281 and west of 81 will see blizzard conditions over night. I was kept up last night by continuous booms of thunder and vivid lightning that gave me an inch of rain. Hoping to get lucky with that narrow band of snow tonight we shall see. Here are some pics from my area after the flooding. Luckily no water in by basement; swing set and garden are having some water issues on the other hand....... 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted March 14, 2019 Report Share Posted March 14, 2019 Looks to be pretty much done here for the entire event. Rain tonight is going north and west of here and for tomorrow might have some lt rain mixed with some lt snow showers in the afternoon. Will be windy. At this point I’m watching to see how low the pressure goes on my weather station. Down to 29.09” so far. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted March 14, 2019 Report Share Posted March 14, 2019 The center of low pressure will either pass right over me or just to the east. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted March 14, 2019 Report Share Posted March 14, 2019 What a beauty this thing is. Wish it had been a winter storm but oh well. Still could get some blizzard conditions for a bit at least. The extensive flooding will definitely make this storm remembered for years to come. Nebraska has sure been a storm magnet lately, nice to see that for once instead of the usual near misses. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted March 14, 2019 Report Share Posted March 14, 2019 Welp, Grand Island is back to screw jobs. Heavy band of snow is literally parked 20 miles to my west and is sitting there. Haven't seen a flake here, but over in the next town they're getting 2-3 inch per hour snowfall rates. Great, this is so much fun 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted March 14, 2019 Report Share Posted March 14, 2019 Alright, the narrow band shifted just enough east to get me in on the action. It is absolutely ripping. The winds are as strong as I've ever experienced in a winter storm. I can't even walk north for more than a minute without having troubles. I would be shocked if there aren't accidents on the interstate from this as it's going right across I 80 between Grand Island and Kearney. Someone in that area has to have 6 inches by now. This band is probably 30 miles wide. Crazy 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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