TT-SEA Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 12Z ECMWF continues to advertise a more stable warm pattern next week. That is a much different pattern than we have seen this summer and not dependent on the precise placement of ULLs offshore. I am hoping we are starting a seasonal shift in wavelengths and its just been struggling with the transition. I am sure that is just wishful thinking though. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 12Z ECMWF rainfall... looks like Portland might get more than my area. 00Z run showed at least twice as much though. That looks wet. Hard to believe the last run was spitting out 1.20" for Corvallis. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 Still drab and dreary up here. Been cleaning inside. Mowing will come later. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 12Z ECMWF rainfall... looks like Portland might get more than my area. 00Z run showed at least twice as much though. Wow. Pretty decent. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 That looks wet. Hard to believe the last run was spitting out 1.20" for Corvallis.In general. I am sure it was not exactly half for every single location. I just glanced at both maps. The 00Z run was much wetter overall. The front starts splitting earlier on this run. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 Just checked again... 00Z was much wetter for WA and NW OR. But this run actually has more rain rather south than the 00Z run. Energy splits more. I usually only focus on WA. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 Looks sticky. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted August 18, 2019 Author Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 How often does a system like this happen in late August? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 How often does a system like this happen in late August?Never I guess. Justin spent June mocking me for even suggesting that it could rain in July and August... let alone be wetter than normal which is what I was thinking. Phil nailed this summer... saying there would be significantly more moisture available. I was just following his idea. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 How often does a system like this happen in late August?It’s pretty rare. The last time we saw a legit front like that this time of year was probably August 2004. So you were still in diapers and Tim was still in chaparral. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcmcgaffey Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 It’s pretty rare. The last time we saw a legit front like that this time of year was probably August 2004. So you were still in diapers and Tim was still in chaparral. . What about the largest August windstorm the region saw in 2015. Was on the Oregon coast and it was epic. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 It’s pretty rare. The last time we saw a legit front like that this time of year was probably August 2004. So you were still in diapers and Tim was still in chaparral. I was actually here for the August 2004 rain. It had been really dry and it was nice to see. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 . What about the largest August windstorm the region saw in 2015. Was on the Oregon coast and it was epic.Yeah but we were talking more about organized fronts/rainstorms. Windstorms are kind of a different animal but that was certainly impressive. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 Almost totally sunny here now. Need to get out and do yardwork. I keep getting distracted and then decided to eat lunch after Shawnigan dragged me away from my task. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 Tim, can you please post some maps and local stats supporting the contention it was a cloudy early summer at your house? Thanks in advance. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 #bitingthehandthatfeeds#ballzy #stillgotalikethough Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted August 18, 2019 Author Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 Beautiful day. Also, I wonder if the Wednesday front could be a good sign for fall, or just a one-off event. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 Tim, can please post some maps and local stats supporting the contention it was a cloudy early summer at your house? Thanks in advance.Laughed out loud at this one... loud enough that my daughter asked what was so funny. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 Marine layer beginning to burn off here, up to 68. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 Surprisingly good EPS support for the Euro’s hot pattern around day 10. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 Never I guess. Justin spent June mocking me for even suggesting that it could rain in July and August... let alone be wetter than normal which is what I was thinking. Phil nailed this summer... saying there would be significantly more moisture available. I was just following his idea.The rains will slam us in August like always. You're so totally right, I forgot about that post you made. Was that really June? Time flies. And hyperbolic comments pile up! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 Almost totally sunny here now. Need to get out and do yardwork. I keep getting distracted and then decided to eat lunch after Shawnigan dragged me away from my task.You could have done it later. It wasn’t an emergency but thank you. I’m up in parksville today at Kidsfest. Pretty cloudy but it was a sunny drive up. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 The rains will slam us in August like always. You're so totally right, I forgot about that post you made. Was that really June? Time flies. And hyperbolic comments pile up!I said wetter than normal... riding Phil's coattails. That was the way to go. You can admit it was a good call and you did not believe it would happen. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 Latest GFS looks like 85-ish. But there has been a trend for these close call days ahead of systems to overachieve lately, like last Tuesday or 8/1.GFS would have to be extremely wrong for Tuesday to top 90 here. Those late August sun angles are fading into oblivion, too. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 79F and beautiful out there in the south valley. Another picture perfect summer here like usual. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 I said wetter than normal... riding Phil's coattails. That was the way to go. You can admit it was a good call and you did not believe it would happen.You seem to put a lot more emphasis on this prediction battle that supposedly went down than I ever did, but if you want a tiara and some IHOP gift cards for your virtuous righteousness then by all means! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 Haha. IHOP gift cards.... IHOP sucks. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 Haha. IHOP gift cards.... IHOP sucks.They need to build one in Battle Ground ASAP. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 Barely a cloud in the sky here... I am sweating mowing the lawn. Terrible. Better if it was gloomy and drizzling. All the time. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 They need to build one in Battle Ground ASAP.Haha! That’s close to where I live! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 Lawn still hasn't turned totally brown and has managed to keep growing in places, so I had to mow here also. I didn't sweat tho cause I'm an avid runner and it didn't challenge my stamina enough. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 Lawn still hasn't turned totally brown and has managed to keep growing in places, so I had to mow here also. I didn't sweat tho cause I'm an avid runner and it didn't challenge my stamina enough.Touche! Did you mow in the scorching hot sun like me? Phoenix-like out there. Hello darkness my old friend. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 Haha! That’s close to where I live! Haha! Walgreens. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 79F and beautiful out there in the south valley. Another picture perfect summer here like usual.Haven’t you described the last several as smoke filled nightmares? Mordor and the like. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 You seem to put a lot more emphasis on this prediction battle that supposedly went down than I ever did, but if you want a tiara and some IHOP gift cards for your virtuous righteousness then by all means!I believe those items are actually part of the settlement in the ongoing pain and suffering lawsuit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 Haha! Walgreens.Hmmm... I think they already have one. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 Haven’t you described the last several as smoke filled nightmares? Mordor and the like. I think he is still trolling me from early July. Except it has been almost as lovely here since the middle of July... and was just as lovely here in May and the first half of June. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted August 18, 2019 Author Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 Remember when everyone thought there would be a terrible fire season this year? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted August 18, 2019 Report Share Posted August 18, 2019 I believe those items are actually part of the settlement in the ongoing pain and suffering lawsuit. Ah yes, Tobias v. The Pacific Ocean 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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