August 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[TigerWoodsLibido]

I know parts of Yamhill and Washington County closer to the Coast Range got absolutely hammered. Perfect combination of moisture and cold enough Arctic air.

 

Yup, in the heavy d-band zone with a layer aloft switching to BSF for about 8 hrs then another 12"+ for the 24 hrs after that.

[Blizzard777]

What a wonderful day for a golf outing yesterday morning in the Cascade foothills. Had a 7:30am tee time and it was 51 degrees with the sweet smell of the dew on the dormant grasses, little patches of ground fog and the ripe blackberries adding to the fragrance as the sun climbed higher. Felt like Fall is just around the corner. I know, I know, it was August 18!

Now that’s enjoying golf!

[Frontal Snowsquall]

ECMWF, EPS, GFS, old GFS, GEFS, GEPS, ICON, GEM, JMA, NAVGEM, weekly CFS, Wunderground, and Accuweather 90 day all indicate a warm or hot spell starting in the 7-10 day range.

I was hoping for cooler weather to end summer but I'll be down on the Southern Oregon Coast for Labor Day Weekend and I've always wanted to experience the "Brookings Effect".

[Jesse]

Freshmex communist!

I get it, it’s a long commute down. And I imagine the pressure change can be a b*tch on the sinuses...

[Blizzard777]

Looks like a good soaking. The green theme looks to continue this summer. Would have been the perfect summer if we had a few less cloudy days.

Can’t complain down here in the South Sound ....this summer is far better then the last two. Morning clouds afternoon sun is perfect for me with a few warm days a few wet days. Not bad at all

The only thing that would give this summer a higher rating is a few more T-Storms

[Deweydog]

I get it, it’s a long commute down. And I imagine the pressure change can be a b*tch on the sinuses...

I already said a ridgy September felt like good call, but that provoked a Jim-insulting slam. Do you need something else?

 

Summer starts on Labor Day.

[Jesse]

I already said a ridgy September felt like good call, but that provoked a Jim-insulting slam. Do you need something else?

 

Summer starts on Labor Day.

Proud of you for putting your neck out there.

[Phil]

ECMWF, EPS, GFS, old GFS, GEFS, GEPS, ICON, GEM, JMA, NAVGEM, weekly CFS, Wunderground, and Accuweather 90 day all indicate a warm or hot spell starting in the 7-10 day range.

In that case it’s certain to bust.

[Deweydog]

Proud of you for putting your neck out there.

I said that almost a month ago. Don’t go all Phil with your selective amnesia.

[Phil]

I said that almost a month ago. Don’t go all Phil with your selective amnesia.

Speaking of amnesia...

[Jesse]

I said that almost a month ago. Don’t go all Phil with your selective amnesia.

I can never tell the difference between your serious calls and your sarcastic ones. A perfect storm of stratospheric ambiguity!

[Deweydog]

Speaking of amnesia...

Trump!!!

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Yup, in the heavy d-band zone with a layer aloft switching to BSF for about 8 hrs then another 12"+ for the 24 hrs after that.

What I would do to relive that snowstorm! With low solar and ENSO-neutral on the way, I'm liking our chances for a cold and snowy winter. ❄

[Deweydog]

I can never tell the difference between your serious posts and your sarcastic ones. A perfect storm of stratospheric ambiguity!

A serious forecast can be made in a sarcastic manner.

 

Give it a try sometime! Don’t fear failure, it’s how we lern!

[Jesse]

A serious forecast can be made in a sarcastic manner.

 

Give it a try sometime! Don’t fear failure, it’s how we lern!

Ah, now the re-framing. Well it was a nice talk!

[Jesse]

For the record, I could envision September running warmer than normal (like every month since March). But probably not an unbroken blowtorch. Some bouts of heat but also some cool periods with the mean ridge position a little offshore.

[Deweydog]

For the record, I could envision September running warmer than normal (like every month since March). But probably not an unbroken blowtorch. Some bouts of heat but also some cool periods with the mean ridge position a little offshore.

Well don’t steal mine...

[Jesse]

Well don’t steal mine...

Warm ups and cool downs?

[Deweydog]

Warm ups and cool downs?

Prepare now!!!

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Well don’t steal mine...

Well he is a communist.

[Front Ranger]

A month straight of unbroken blowtorch would be something to behold.

[Jesse]

A month straight of unbroken blowtorch would be something to behold.

We’ve beheld quite a few of them the last several years. Hence all the record warm months.

 

This is indeed pretty ripe ground for a good ol’ fashioned semantics battle though.

[Jesse]

Well he is a communist.

If I’m a communist then you’re an arsonist. So don’t complain about getting burned.

[Deweydog]

Nothing worse than a sociopathic communist blowing up a Baja Fresh bathroom...

[Front Ranger]

Nothing worse than a sociopathic communist blowing up a Baja Fresh bathroom...

Except getting beat up because you look like a sex predator.

[Deweydog]

Except getting beat up because you look like a sex predator.

That poor guy has some of the worst luck.

[Jesse]

18z beefs up precip totals a little for Wednesday. Also keeps some sort of hot spell around day 10 intact.

[Deweydog]

Trying to figure out how this monthly forecast discussion devolved into flinging insults...

Poor ol’ Baja Fresh might be a bigger victim than you this time around.

[GHweatherChris]

Poor ol’ Baja Fresh might be a bigger victim than you this time around.

Oohh, you got a reply in before he deleted it, fast like Jimmy Johns!

[Frontal Snowsquall]

If I’m a communist then you’re an arsonist. So don’t complain about getting burned.

Oh Jesse. Was actually trying to defend you but instead you attack like usual. Now I know why you've been called Jussie on here.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Beautiful and 83F out there.  Another perfect summer day.

[Jesse]

Oohh, you got a reply in before he deleted it, fast like Jimmy Johns!

Freaky fast!

 

But his reply proved that I figured right. Just not worth it. Too much troll bait.

[Jesse]

Oh Jesse. Was actually trying to defend you but instead you attack like usual. Now I know why you've been called Jussie on here.

That’s a new one to me.

 

But yeah, what you said was definitely meant as an attack. I was simply responding in turn.

[Jesse]

18z ensembles:

 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

That’s a new one to me.

 

But yeah, what you said was definitely meant as an attack. I was simply responding in turn.

Nope, it wasn't. I'm not the attacking type. I was going more for the angle of, well you did call him a communism so what did you expect to happen. Something like that. That's what I meant.

[MossMan]

A serious forecast can be made in a sarcastic manner.

 

Give it a try sometime! Don’t fear failure, it’s how we lern!

MLK 2018...Never Forget.

[Deweydog]

MLK 2018...Never Forget.

Speaking of FAILURES...

[Jesse]

Nope, it wasn't. I'm not the attacking type. I was going more for the angle of, well you did call him a communism so what did you expect to happen. Something like that. That's what I meant.

Ok. Seems like a little bit of a stretch, but if I did indeed misinterpret your comment then you have my apologies.

[Jesse]

MLK 2018...Never Forget.

I literally was never quite sure if that one was facetious or not.

 

#rightwherehewantsus

[Requiem]

Seems like I missed an intense discussion. And it had nothing to do with D-Buster? Whoa

 

Anyways, the mesoscale models seem a lot wetter with the Wednesday system than operationals. NWS AFD mentions that we have more than enough moisture out there, just not enough forcing to get some substantial totals.