Phil Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 Got the solar correlations done, but ESRL doesn’t let you cross-correlate two variables with a control in simultaneous fashion. Going to have to create a custom file. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 I personally care more about geomagnetic activity than sunspots/TSI. It can have a much more profound photochemical impact, and at crucial times (activity tends to peak at equinoxes). Any good dataset you like to look at? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 Got the solar correlations done, but ESRL doesn’t let you cross-correlate two variables with a control in simultaneous fashion. Going to have to create a custom file. Should be done around the same time you grade that forecast contest, right? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 35 here. Victoria highlands are already sub freezing. Not bad. Will probably see a freeze here tonight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 I'm going to call for a massive ridge to build in for the month of November. When the pattern flips, and it will, that's what we will get. Death ridge with fog and fake cold. For all of November and maybe December. Winter is blowing it's load two months too early.11/20. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 35 here. Victoria highlands are already sub freezing. Not bad. Will probably see a freeze here tonight. Down 37˚F at KBLI. Expect to see a freeze here. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 11/20.10/9. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 Looks like someone is trying to convince others they are the only person right on a subject absolutely noone understands completely, or even close to understanding. Shocker Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 42 at my house, no wind tonight and the low last night was 40. Guessing 33-35 here tonight maybe it freezes but it’s really hard to do that this close to the water. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 10/9.Honestly this could be the best event until late March. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 OLM hit 26 this morning. Running 6 degrees colder than last night right now... Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 GFS wants to bring heavy snow to pass elevations and above late next week! 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 OLM hit 26 this morning. Running 6 degrees colder than last night right now...***TEENS*** Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 ***TEENS***If that's what you're into... 24 would be a new benchmark low. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 Honestly this could be the best event until late March.Very possible. However I am prepping like crazy just on the off chance that we have a wild and Woolley winter. Chainsaw sharpened and tuned, generator ready to rock and roll, gas cans full, new tires on my truck, drainage project to be completed by the end of the weekend, blower ordered for fireplace, surplus of batteries/flashlights, emergency kits good to go, and hopefully ordering the plow and chains for my JD mower... I’m going to be ready! So yeah almost a certainty we have a little drizzle and 50’s all winter with a peak wind of 25mph. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 Very possible. However I am prepping like crazy just on the off chance that we have a wild and Woolley winter. Chainsaw sharpened and tuned, generator ready to rock and roll, gas cans full, new tires on my truck, drainage project to be completed by the end of the weekend, blower ordered for fireplace, surplus of batteries/flashlights, emergency kits good to go, and hopefully ordering the plow and chains for my JD mower... I’m going to be ready! So yeah almost a certainty we have a little drizzle and 50’s all winter with a peak wind of 25mph.All your fault... smh lol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 All your fault... smh lolsmlolz Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 Campbell River is BCs version of Olympia. Great radiational cooling spot but pretty unrepresentative of what the greater region experiences. They dropped to 25F this morning and are running 10F cooler than yesterday at this time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 smlolzWhy would you shake your lolz? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 Probably going to bottom out earlier tonight. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 PDO Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 Why would you shake your lolz?No one understands completely, or is even close to understanding. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 Campbell River is BCs version of Olympia. Great radiational cooling spot but pretty unrepresentative of what the greater region experiences. They dropped to 25F this morning and are running 10F cooler than yesterday at this time.OLM is the extremely rare long term airport station that has not only stayed in the same spot but not been affected by UHI or spotty records. It is a unicorn, and that is why I love it. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 No one understands completely, or is even close to understanding.Wise words. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 OLM is the extremely rare long term airport station that has not only stayed in the same spot but not been affected by UHI or spotty records. It is a unicorn, and that is why I love it. EUG is Oregon's version. But it only started there around 1940 or so. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 Probably a pretty dull pattern coming up. Splitty storms followed by flat ridging. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 Probably a pretty dull pattern coming up. Splitty storms followed by flat ridging. W r so screwed Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 OLM is the extremely rare long term airport station that has not only stayed in the same spot but not been affected by UHI or spotty records. It is a unicorn, and that is why I love it.How far back does olm go with records Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 EUG is Oregon's version. But it only started there around 1940 or so.Yeah, EUG is my second favorite PNW station. But it's a bit far south...the beauty of OLM is that its location between Seattle and Portland tends to best capture regional events. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 I always sort of wondered how this forum would react to a promising, 1985ish pre-season with a couple historic cold snaps by mid-October. I got my answer. A whole lotta anxiety! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 Probably a pretty dull pattern coming up. Splitty storms followed by flat ridging.Saving up the next load!! Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 Saving up the next load!! Hopefully it waits until after 11/15. Early November cold spells suck. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 Torchy November’s lead to great things. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 SFH. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 Torchy November’s lead to great things.You forgot to forget punctuation Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 I always sort of wondered how this forum would react to a promising, 1985ish pre-season with a couple historic cold snaps by mid-October. I got my answer. A whole lotta anxiety!Pre-winter anxiety on a weather forum? What’s next, children wearing shirts???????? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 2007-08 had a pretty chilly SON, too. I think that was one of the coldest falls this century so far for the region.To be fair, 2000 and 2007 are pretty much the only two cold falls of this century. 2019 could become #3 if this cold pattern continues... but as you said, it’s still too early to tell. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 You forgot to forget punctuationSorry. It was an accident. I fully admit to lacking punctuation skills. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 10, 2019 Report Share Posted October 10, 2019 Down to 34. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.