Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 Snow keeps going in Oregon into Monday night... well placed between cold air to the north and moisture riding along the boundary. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 500mb pattern on the euro continues to look good. Improved from previous runs as it follows the GFS. Good to see some improvements on surface details too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 Good EURO run and I know I don't have to say it, but if that low Day 4-5 was weaker this run would blast us at just Day 6-7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 The 12z Euro looks very similar to the GFS now. A weak system moving into central Oregon Monday/Tuesday and then the coldest air finally moves in after that. Exciting stuff. Feels like it can only continue to improve at this point. Would like to see it pick up on the CZ for Seattle this weekend. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 Central valley special for Monmouth and Salem! Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 Substantially colder at 850mb by Monday morning. Yeah, wow. Lets continue this trend into tonight! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 We’ve lost the euro... to the gfs 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 Day Oh shaping up nicely as that system drops south Day 10+ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 One of the weather apps I use (weather mate) has 26.7" of snow falling here in Bellingham, starting Wednesday night. I am starting to get curious about things starting Wednesday up here in Whatcom County, someone posted a model trend showing the Wednesday system trending colder through the model runs. I think it was posted yesterday? Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 Oh My goodness 3 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 Day 10 kind of drops the ball, keeps the coldest air bottled up in BC. But obviously things can and will change. Lots of snow before then on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 Big cave. USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 ECMWF is showing the stronger system the GFS has been advertising. Regional snow event at the end of the run. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 MINOR differences around the Aleutians at day 10. 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 The big snow maker low that the GFS has been showing now on the euro? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 18z GFS in 2 hours 32 minutes! Root for a weaker low Day 4 to 4.5! IF so arctic air is coming much sooner by Day 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 Snow keeps going in Oregon into Monday night... well placed between cold air to the north and moisture riding along the boundary. Nice. Going to be fun runs ahead to see where the snow falls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 Oh My goodness Not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 A long ways to go, but promising. Cautiously optimistic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 Well we are still tied, but we have the ball inside the red zone. First and 10 at the 17 yard line. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 Day 10 is the best set up I have seen on any ECMWF run for the Seattle area. Unfortunately the run ends on the morning of day 10... but a classic overrunning situation evolving at that time. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 Nice. Going to be fun runs ahead to see where the snow falls. Good couple of days to trend North. I'm just sayin' (go North!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 Good couple of days to trend North. I'm just sayin' (go North!)Yup! Hoping it landfalls around Ketchikan. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 Also... previous ECMWF runs had been delaying the cold air and the wind shift to north. This run speeds up the timing significantly and now shows that happening on Sunday. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 Couldn't ask for much more from the euro. Big time step towards the gfs. 1 Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 I don't want anyone mad at me but this looks like an Oregon special again. Maybe some light snow up in Washington. Of course at my house it looks like a rain snow mix and maybe some freezing rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 Last 3 GFS runs for snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 Lots of time for details to change but I'd be happy to see OR get some snow after the major shaft last year. Still could be a WA event in the end but we will see. Honestly think everyone or the vast majority will score this time at some point. Maybe not all at the same time but we will see. Promising signs! 1 Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 ECMWF is showing the stronger system the GFS has been advertising. Regional snow event at the end of the run.The big snow maker low that the GFS has been showing now on the euro? Snow for everyone! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 Well we are still tied, but we have the ball inside the red zone. First and 10 at the 17 yard line. But can you sign the unrestricted free agents to long-term deals? Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 Last 3 GFS runs for snow https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2020010500/gfs_asnow_nwus_65.png[/img https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2020010506/gfs_asnow_nwus_64.png[/img https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2020010512/gfs_asnow_nwus_63.png/img]Wow, If I miss out on 2 feet of snow, I’m never going to Hawaii again 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 Total snow on the 12z euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 I don't want anyone mad at me but this looks like an Oregon special again. Maybe some light snow up in Washington. Of course at my house it looks like a rain snow mix and maybe some freezing rain.Yeah, you’re officially f*cked. 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 **** Oregon. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 Good couple of days to trend North. I'm just sayin' (go North!)You never want to be in the bullseye this far out. It will change next run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulstorm Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 Seconded. The constant bickering, page after page, year after year, is extremely annoying. I can only speak for myself; this activity keeps me off the board. So you have the same 10 people going round and round in circles for eternity.I've been lurking here for years and rarely post, but let me just say this about the ridiculous Tim criticism.1) You've all added about 100x more attention and energy to these "negative" posts than they would've had if people just read them and moved on. So now 80% of the posts are about how you don't want to hear certain posts. Seems like the whining is doing exactly the opposite of what the whiners claim they want, MAYBE they just like having something to complain about because they love being a victim. 2) We all say we love to see long range forecasts that show major events; wind, snow, etc. Most of us will add "yeah, we know this is probably a fantasy, but it's fun to look at." Why is that okay, but posting long range forecasts showing moderate trends suddenly unrealistic and inappropriate? 3) Tim can't make you feel a certain way, you choose to feel how you feel. So giving this guy as much power as you do is your own problem and it's your personal choice. 4) From what I can gather, Tim doesn't control the weather, so, he can downplay whatever he wants and it's not going to change what is actually going to happen. You might say "Well he's dumping cold water on all of the excitement!!" to that I would say, go read number 3 ... he only dumps cold water on it if you let him. 5) I don't know Tim, never met Tim, never talked to Tim, don't even know if Tim is his real name. You guys all seem to have a major crush on this dude and you really NEED his approval. Why not ignore the posts you don't like if you are on here for the hype, if you're on here for the updates know that some updates may not be what you want to see. But, by all means, get over your obsession with what Tim posts and stop droning on and on about his posts that you don't like, all it does is promote said posts. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 12z WRF Saturday 4 PM Cold air filtering south 1 AM Next Sunday cold air dropping south quickly 4 PM Next Sunday - BIG LEAGUE arctic blast 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 5, 2020 Report Share Posted January 5, 2020 **** Oregon.Way too much terrain down there. 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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