June 2020 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[Jesse]

temps underperforming today.

Always nice to see. Although still 3-4 hours of warming to go.

 

85-87 is definitely within reach. Tomorrow will probably crack 90 without trying too hard.

[TacomaWaWx]

Only 73 here currently...not as hot as I was thinking for today.

[Jesse]

12z EPS is fairly inline with the operational with regard to holding low heights over us for longer in the 5-8 day range.

[MossMan]

[Phil]

Washington or Oregon?

Hopefully Denver or Minneapolis. But Seattle or Boston are both possible too. Portland probably too warm and lacking in employment opportunities.

 

Has to be somewhere with a lower risk of heat stroke.

[Jesse]

Hopefully Denver or Minneapolis. But Seattle or Boston are both possible too. Portland probably too warm and lacking in employment opportunities.

Has to be somewhere with a lower risk of heat stroke.

Nice Portland slam. Our summers would probably feel like heaven to you. And our winters are really no milder than Seattle’s.

[luminen]

Nice Portland slam. Our summers would probably feel like heaven to you. And our winters are really no milder than Seattle’s.

 

Nah fam, Seattle has it where it counts, unlike Portland.

 

Meanwhile, it is 69 degrees and cloudy here. 

[Jesse]

Nah fam, Seattle has it where it counts, unlike Portland.

 

Meanwhile, it is 69 degrees and cloudy here. 

You forgot strangely out of place cursing along with an entirely inappropriate emoji.

 

4/10 on the luminen post grading scale.

[luminen]

You forgot strangely out of place cursing along with an entirely inappropriate emoji.

 

4/10 on the luminen post grading scale.

 

Out of place cursing? Don't recall ever doing that here. 

[Jesse]

Out of place cursing? Don't recall ever doing that here. 

Oi.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

00Z EPS looks nice for the 4th... its been quite consistent.

 

I'm hoping it verifies. This weekend looks like it might rain again so hopefully Independence Day weekend is dry. Lighting up fireworks in the rain doesn't sound like fun.

[Jesse]

[BLI snowman]

Hopefully Denver or Minneapolis. But Seattle or Boston are both possible too. Portland probably too warm and lacking in employment opportunities.

 

Has to be somewhere with a lower risk of heat stroke.

 

Portland is generally cooler than Denver, Minneapolis, and Boston in the summer. 

 

Winters are obviously a different story.

[MossMan]

Jesse is extra Jesse today!

[Frontal Snowsquall]

It doesn't matter unless it is nice during weekends though...

It seems like we in this weekly cycle now of cooler weather during weekends. This weekend doesn't look all that great either but it will eventually end.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Hopefully Denver or Minneapolis. But Seattle or Boston are both possible too. Portland probably too warm and lacking in employment opportunities.

 

Has to be somewhere with a lower risk of heat stroke.

The West side of PDX Metro has a lot of high tech jobs and is growing. They call it the Silicon Forest and Intel is the biggest company out there. It has a huge factory out in Hillsboro and is always expanding. Plus if you live out near Hillsboro, you're closer to the Coast and only about a little more than an hours drive from nature's air conditioning which is the Oregon Coast. So if you ever wanted to escape the heat you are not that far away.

[GHweatherChris]

It seems like we in this weekly cycle now of cooler weather during weekends. This weekend doesn't look all that great either but it will eventually end.

Doesn't matter to me either way, but someone on here desperately needs the weekends to be nice.

[GHweatherChris]

The West side of PDX Metro has a lot of high tech jobs and is growing. They call it the Silicon Forest and Intel is the biggest company out there. It has a huge factory out in Hillsboro and is always expanding. Plus if you live out near Hillsboro, you're closer to the Coast and only about a little more than an hours drive from nature's air conditioning which is the Oregon Coast. So if you ever wanted to escape the heat you are not that far away.

Phil will have a degree in everything so finding a job shouldn't be difficult anywhere.

[Jesse]

[Jesse]

84/50 spread so far today with deep blue skies and a NW wind. Nice day.

[TT-SEA]

Doesn't matter to me either way, but someone on here desperately needs the weekends to be nice.

For those of us with full time jobs from Monday-Friday... it is nice when the timing works out right. I guess if your whole life is just golfing every day then it does not matter.

 

Its just bad luck... hopefully the 4th of July weekend breaks the streak.

[TT-SEA]

80 and sunny here... quit work at 4 to get outside.

[Omegaraptor]

 

 

Excellent news for next winter. Flip to easterly QBO has failed and it looks to remain positive/westerly for the foreseeable future going into winter.

 

1949-50 was Niña/+QBO. 2008-09 was Niña/+QBO. 2016-17 was also a Niña/+QBO that should have been -QBO but the same thing happened. YES!

[ShawniganLake]

Cloudy and low 70s here today. Pretty nice day

[Phil]

Nice Portland slam. Our summers would probably feel like heaven to you. And our winters are really no milder than Seattle’s.

I’ll have to look deeper into the climate there, I guess.

 

SnowSquall’s reference to a summer with 34 days at/above 90° the other day spooked me a little.

[Phil]

[ShawniganLake]

Weather was nice for our bbq yesterday. Sunny skies and around 71F. Had a black bear come though the backyard just before we had our dinner. Maybe he wanted a hamburger too.

[ShawniganLake]

[Phil]

B8C12E94-CCAB-4DD4-9C75-60377C05CD00.jpeg

 

E8F39FA3-E1E8-44FE-B98E-E1DC8E3A6062.jpeg

 

Excellent news for next winter. Flip to easterly QBO has failed and it looks to remain positive/westerly for the foreseeable future going into winter.

 

1949-50 was Niña/+QBO. 2008-09 was Niña/+QBO. 2016-17 was also a Niña/+QBO that should have been -QBO but the same thing happened. YES!

Craziness. There’s research tying this development back to the SH SSW event last Fall, FWIW. Would be fascinating if true.

[seattleweatherguy]

Bret Anderson new interpretation agree or disagree Phil and others?

 

https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/anderson/clues-to-the-weather-pattern-into-mid-july/760611

[Phil]

The end of the 18z GFS is lol..

 

[Phil]

Bret Anderson new interpretation agree or disagree Phil and others?

 

https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/anderson/clues-to-the-weather-pattern-into-mid-july/760611

Unfortunately (for me) that would indeed fit the low pass tropical forcing/IP-SM mode. The dateline/W-IPWP subsidence we’ve seen thus far is as “old school niña” as it gets..have to go back to the 1980s to find a good match.

 

Was doing some extrapolating today and it’s a complete disaster of a pattern from mid-July to mid-September east of the Rockies. The PNW is an island oasis of cooler than average. If there was to be a cool August in the PNW, this year would be the most likely to pull it off.

[Phil]

Chris Dashney knows what’s up

 

[Phil]

Link to abstract. https://www.essoar.org/doi/10.1002/essoar.10503358.1?cookieSet=1#.XvEZFtQSp8M.twitter

 

[Jesse]

I’ll have to look deeper into the climate there, I guess.

SnowSquall’s reference to a summer with 34 days at/above 90° the other day spooked me a little.

I’m honestly pretty amazed you haven’t, considering you’ve spent the last decade on here talking about it. And being exposed to our endless conversation about it. Almost like there are large parts of your persona here that are essentially fabricated for dramatic purposes.

[Jesse]

Chris Dashney knows what’s up

At least there are forums out there that are slightly less civil than ours.

[TacomaWaWx]

74/51 today.

[Phil]

I’m honestly pretty amazed you haven’t, considering you’ve spent the last decade on here talking about it. And being exposed to our endless conversation about it. Almost like there are large parts of your persona here that are essentially fabricated for dramatic purposes.

Aaaand he’s off the deep end. Again.

 

I’m much more familiar with WA than OR. It’s not even remotely close.

[TT-SEA]

SEA got up to 80 on the 6 p.m. observation.

 

81 in North Bend today. Not a cloud in the sky all day.

[Jesse]

Aaaand he’s off the deep end. Again.

I think I’m just just in a truth spitting mood today. Nothing personal.