June 2020 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[BLI snowman]

I’ll have to look deeper into the climate there, I guess.

 

SnowSquall’s reference to a summer with 34 days at/above 90° the other day spooked me a little.

 

 

34 is actually the fewest 90+ days that Portland has ever seen in a summer. 

 

Most years have 55+.

[Omegaraptor]

Just looked through the list of +QBO winters since 1951 that were also solidly Niña. Bold is first year Niña, italic is solar minimum.

 

I get:

2016-17

2010-11

2008-09

1999-00

1995-96

1975-76

1971-72

1964-65

1955-56

 

The only real bad ones here were 1999-00 (PV fuckup near solar max) and 1975-76 (which was a rare third year Niña).

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Just looked through the list of +QBO winters since 1951 that were also solidly Niña. Bold is first year Niña, italic is solar minimum.

 

I get:

2016-17

2010-11

2008-09

1999-00

1995-96

1975-76

1971-72

1964-65

1955-56

 

The only real bad ones here were 1999-00 (PV fuckup near solar max) and 1975-76 (which was a rare third year Niña).

 

10-11 was boring here but the others were all solid.

[Phil]

I think I’m just just in a truth spitting mood today. Nothing personal.

Whatever gets you through the drought.

[Phil]

Just looked through the list of +QBO winters since 1951 that were also solidly Niña. Bold is first year Niña, italic is solar minimum.

 

I get:

2016-17

2010-11

2008-09

1999-00

1995-96

1975-76

1971-72

1964-65

1955-56

 

The only real bad ones here were 1999-00 (PV fuckup near solar max) and 1975-76 (which was a rare third year Niña).

Also 1949/50.

 

Niña/+QBO is almost always excellent in the PNW. Much better than Niña/-QBO. First year Niña/+QBO is particularly favorable.

 

If that’s where we’re heading then I’m bullish.

[Jesse]

Holy sh*t!!!

[GHweatherChris]

For those of us with full time jobs from Monday-Friday... it is nice when the timing works out right. I guess if your whole life is just golfing every day then it does not matter.

 

Its just bad luck... hopefully the 4th of July weekend breaks the streak.

Not sure who golfs everyday on here but your Timplaining is definitely prevalent lately whether you agree or not.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Also 1949/50.

 

Niña/+QBO is almost always excellent in the PNW. Much better than Niña/-QBO. First year Niña/+QBO is particularly favorable.

 

If that’s where we’re heading then I’m bullish.

Pushing all the chips in, Holzhauer?

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Just looked at 64-65 and EUG had like 10” for that winter. Very nice.

[TT-SEA]

Not sure who golfs everyday on here but your Timplaining is definitely prevalent lately whether you agree or not.

Oh well.

 

And pretty sure you don't work from M-F.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2010-11 was low key decent. Was very snowy up here February through April.

[GHweatherChris]

Oh well.

 

And pretty sure you don't work from M-F.

Noone knows what I do!

[MossMan]

Ate dinner on the deck this evening.

[TT-SEA]

Ate dinner on the deck this evening.

Going to be raining at your house tomorrow evening. Wednesday looks chilly as well. Then rain starts Friday afternoon per 00Z GFS and a chilly weekend ahead.

 

Enjoy tomorrow morning and Thursday!

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Gorgeous day. PDX made it up to 86 today.

 

[MossMan]

Going to be raining at your house tomorrow evening. Wednesday looks chilly as well. Then rain starts Friday afternoon per 00Z GFS and a chilly weekend ahead.

 

Enjoy tomorrow morning and Thursday!

Yay!

I have a dentist appointment tomorrow morning so there will be no enjoying.

[Front Ranger]

2010-11 was low key decent. Was very snowy up here February through April.

Two top tier Arctic outbreaks, at the very beginning and end, with not much in between but a massive bust.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Bret Anderson new interpretation agree or disagree Phil and others?

 

https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/anderson/clues-to-the-weather-pattern-into-mid-july/760611

The first week of July he's thinking warm/hot everywhere except the SE and parts of the PNW. Only real cool spot is up in Alaska. Bookmarking this post to see how well he does.

 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Other parts of the Metro area were warmer today than PDX. Hillsboro led the way at 88 while McMinnville, Aurora and Troutdale all got to 87.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

[TT-SEA]

Perfect 4th of July weekend per the 00Z GFS.

[GHweatherChris]

Great looking week of weather out this way shown on the models, maybe some light rain once or twice but who cares!!

[TT-SEA]

Great looking week of weather out this way shown on the models, maybe some light rain once or twice but who cares!!

 

Totally!!! 

[GHweatherChris]

Totally!!!

So... you are on board with some rain now or...

[Blizzard777]

80/49

Can’t complain 

[TT-SEA]

So... you are on board with some rain now or...

 

 

Maybe snow?   Noone knows.  Everything is unknowable... but awesome. 

[TT-SEA]

00Z GEFS is nice as well... cold trough moves through quickly on Saturday and its already warming up on Sunday and next week through the holiday weekend looks perfect.   

[Phil]

Unless you enjoy heart failure, I’d avoid getting invested in the GFS/GEFS right now.

[TT-SEA]

Unless you enjoy heart failure, I’d avoid getting invested in the GFS/GEFS right now.

 

[Omegaraptor]

Unless you enjoy heart failure, I’d avoid getting invested in the GFS/GEFS right now.

 

Some sort of error occurring in mid-long range? Rainy Fourth?

[GHweatherChris]

Maybe snow? Noone knows. Everything is unknowable... but awesome.

Snow would be fun!

[TT-SEA]

Snow would be fun!

 

 

Totally!   

 

Everything is fun!  

[ShawniganLake]

Great looking week of weather out this way shown on the models, maybe some light rain once or twice but who cares!!

Is there any weather you don’t consider great?

[TacomaWaWx]

00Z GEFS is nice as well... cold trough moves through quickly on Saturday and its already warming up on Sunday and next week through the holiday weekend looks perfect.

Maybe the weekend of the 4th will break the weekend curse...we will see eventually it’ll have to end.

[Front Ranger]

Maybe snow?   Noone knows.  Everything is unknowable... but awesome. 

 

That's not even close to what he said. He said who cares if it rains a couple times in the next week.

[TT-SEA]

That's not even close to what he said. He said who cares if it rains a couple times in the next week.

 

No kidding.   

 

I agree.   

[TT-SEA]

Is there any weather you don’t consider great?

 

 

In the spirit of trying to prove that nothing ever bothers him... everything is awesome!  

[GHweatherChris]

Is there any weather you don’t consider great?

Yes

[GHweatherChris]

In the spirit of trying to prove that nothing ever bothers him... everything is awesome!

Your new persona on here is showing big cracks lately.

[TT-SEA]

Your new persona on here is showing big cracks lately.

 

Well darn.   That is not good.