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July 2023 PNW Observations and Discussions


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1 minute ago, ChrisAmunRA said:

202307161651.jpg

That high level moisture is really moving fast.    Adding decoration to the sky right now though. 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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There is or was a Cougar on Haystack Rock this morning so the whole beach was closed and they had a crew on waterskis on patrol.

https://www.facebook.com/CannonBeachPoliceDepartment/posts/pfbid02ws8ZkXBfy4dm9tUFieezMn38ZTfh2dbhsb3BZBSfTmhbpD2mwGySU4V9fX55xBcLl

Hot weather today, staying inside with my A/C.

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Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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7 minutes ago, ChrisAmunRA said:

Is those trees already changing colors down at the bottom?

The bushes in the foreground?   No... that is how they look in the summer when they are blooming and adding new growth.    Photo is deceptive as those bushes are only about 2 feet high.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

The bushes in the foreground?   No... that is how they look in the summer when they are blooming and adding new growth.    Photo is deceptive as those bushes are only about 2 feet high.

Pieris japonica?

 

78F with a cloudless sky. 

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12Z ECMWF a little closer with the glancing next Sunday.   Shows wall-to-wall sun that day but only in the mid 70s in Seattle.  Troughing to the NW is a sunny pattern in the summer.    Marine layer is almost non-existent. 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Watching the hapless Rockies take on the mighty Yankees at Coors Field. 85 degrees but sitting in the midday sun, feels like 115. Perhaps Phil can explain. 

20230716_133506.jpg20230716_131919.jpg

Hmmm. Rockies went 68-94 in 2015. On pace for just about the same or worse this year.🥵

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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And the 90F burger is hit at EUG

7A78FBAA-A34A-48A2-95CE-4F283155C594.jpeg

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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4 hours ago, Front Ranger said:

Do you think the increase in relative humidity since then also has something to do with it?

Yeah, stronger/broader Bermuda High = more humidity.

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Phil!  You always get lucky.  

Now you need it hold for the next 10 days! 

ec-fast_z500a_namer_11 (1).png

Please please 🙏 🙏 

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3 hours ago, RentonHill said:

Ya the lack of cool downs sucks and is one of the most noticeable for me. DC has lost a lot of those days. How do you account for UHI when looking at data for your location? What stations is your "olympia"?

chart.thumb.png.b9702499e8a0b9a68d9d3184277172d3.pngchart(7).thumb.jpeg.3f0a481906dca19a4859482727059c1a.jpeg

 

We don’t have an Olympia. :( Closest thing is Martinsburg (KMRB). IAD (Dulles) can still radiatively cool at night, but decoupling is harder with the urbanization across Reston and Sterling.

Ironically DCA appears to have maxed out its UHI potential with the full development of NE part of Arlington. So temperature trends since ~ 2010 are probably more reflective of regional climate trends than most other stations.

 

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1 hour ago, Phil said:

I’ll be here 8/12-8/27. Tim-tastic.

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=KSSI&hours=72

I prefer dewpoints below 60.    Is that what they have there?

And if you and your family willingly decides to spend August in a swamp in Georgia then you get what you get.  👍

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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53 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

126°F in Sanbao, Xinjiang, China is a new all time record for China and for any location north of 40°N latitude.

Didn't they just have a massive heatwave in May that was in greater magnitude relative to average than our June 2021 heatwave?

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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Got a pic of Mount Adams and Mount Rainier from the plane. The pic of the closer one is Mount Rainier.

A1BFB020-6437-4A4B-936C-4DCBE283D6BD.jpeg

6737EF3A-1FA4-4874-8A1D-6E7860DE9598.jpeg

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2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats

Total Snowfall - 0.75”

Max Snow Depth - 0.5”

Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13)

Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13)

Number of Freezes - 51

Sub-40 highs - 12

Highs 32 or lower - 3

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Flight has been delayed by 8 hours. Now doesn’t leave until 1AM.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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Wish I could be on this side of the low and in the d-banding more often.

FC254CA1-9EC7-4CE5-BB28-4DF4CDB591F5.png

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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4 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Headed home today. Was such wonderfully variable weather. Refreshing to feel some substantial rainfall like the old days.

Been a wonderful couple weeks. Looking forward to hopefully one day figuring out a way to work for someone that can help me build some semblance of a career so I could do this more often. I wish it wasn’t so difficult for me but all I can do for work is super repetitive stuff because of this condition.

In any event. Very grateful to have been able to experience the summer variability of the tropics, midlatitudes and extreme NW climates in such a short time. Makes me so much more appreciative of our atmosphere and how it affects us and our lives.

Love y’all and let’s keep loving being weather nerds forever!

21B351F8-E476-4E23-9DAF-FD87EC60BEE8.jpeg

I love this positivity. Much of a turnaround compared to a few months ago. Sometimes getting away can really help. Back in March I spontaneously flew to NYC to escape, you may remember my posts about that... That was surmount in keeping me sane during that time of year.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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This sun is starting to stress me out. Tomorrow is going to be really nice.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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Entirely possible that EUG could rack up 12 or more 90F-burgers in a row in the next couple weeks.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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10 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

This sun is starting to stress me out. Tomorrow is going to be really nice.

Probably going to be quite sunny tomorrow afternoon in Seattle.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just now, TT-SEA said:

Probably going to be quite sunny tomorrow afternoon in Seattle.

Not sure about that. According to all guidance, tomorrow should feature a saturated or near saturated LCL throughout the day, even as mixing grows deeper into the afternoon. The NAM has a stout afternoon marine push on the north end of the city associated with PSCZ activity as the ULL's main axis passes overhead, even with some appreciable (albeit shallow) convection.

At the very least it's going to be a broken sunshine, with a steady breeze and not-so-stifling temperatures. Increased humidity may make the sunbreaks a tad overwhelming for those who aren't wearing just T-shirts, though.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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13 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Not sure about that. According to all guidance, tomorrow should feature a saturated or near saturated LCL throughout the day, even as mixing grows deeper into the afternoon. The NAM has a stout afternoon marine push on the north end of the city associated with PSCZ activity as the ULL's main axis passes overhead, even with some appreciable (albeit shallow) convection.

At the very least it's going to be a broken sunshine, with a steady breeze and not-so-stifling temperatures. Increased humidity may make the sunbreaks a tad overwhelming for those who aren't wearing just T-shirts, though.

Broken clouds is a good description.   But decently warm and I can't imagine a sweatshirt would be comfortable.   

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-total_cloud-9638400.png

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-t2m_f_max6-9638400.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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