Front Ranger Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 12 hours ago, Anti Marine Layer said: A lot of whites on this forum. 1 1 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 3 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Record highs in Central Oregon yesterday. Culver Josh probably had a beer on the deck. A beer or 10. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 11 hours ago, BLI snowman said: Looks like our Nino February is getting off to an early start. We might as well embrace it. It's going to be an epic winter for Phil, terrible for most of the PNW, and I'll probably have one big early season event and a March blizzard, but the rest of the winter will suck. 1 2 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ken in Wood Village Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 Looks like we will definitely see a pattern change by next week. Still not cold enough for lowland snow but it will be much colder than we have been used to https://youtu.be/_wl-m2ENtg8?si=NypB3OOwZVrwQeMp 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iFred Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 59 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: We might as well embrace it. It's going to be an epic winter for Phil, terrible for most of the PNW, and I'll probably have one big early season event and a March blizzard, but the rest of the winter will suck. "We" "Location: Denver, CO" That's some Phil-class shit right there. 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iFred Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 1 hour ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: No, needs another acronym or two. No, to do this right would be posting an image, then adding no real context to it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Port Angeles Foothiller Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 New Euro is sexy.... two cold lobes hit the region 3 Quote PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220 2023-2024 Snow Total: 18" (6 events) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 12Z ECMWF is quite wet for Oregon... 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 29 minutes ago, iFred said: "We" "Location: Denver, CO" That's some Phil-class right there. I specifically laid out different locations and how they related to the comment, sir. Low expectations aren't the end of the world or this forum. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 1 hour ago, Front Ranger said: We might as well embrace it. It's going to be an epic winter for Phil, terrible for most of the PNW, and I'll probably have one big early season event and a March blizzard, but the rest of the winter will suck. I could see it being decent in CO. There's also a non-zero chance that I'll be moving there before the end of winter, so that's maybe just wishful thinking and we'll have to settle for sharing our March blizzard misery together. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 19 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: I specifically laid out different locations and how they related to the comment, sir. Low expectations aren't the end of the world or this forum. Snow hype is mandatory here. Repent, sinner! 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 2 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Still dense fog here in Salem, we could still pop a 70 if it clears off in the next few hours. Soooo close to pea soup lunch season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 Corvallis has cleared out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 Light rain and 57.7°F. Another overcast day in paradise. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 19 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: I could see it being decent in CO. There's also a non-zero chance that I'll be moving there before the end of winter, so that's maybe just wishful thinking and we'll have to settle for sharing our March blizzard misery together. Yeah, honestly I'd say 50% chance it ends up decent here as far as snow totals. 2018-19 was ok, 2015-16 outstanding, and 2014-15 and 2009-10 had their moments. But there also is a tendency for moderate/strong El Ninos to be quite front and/or backloaded here, with not a lot in the middle. 2002-03, 1997-98, 1991-92, and 1957-58 all fit that mold to varying degrees. There is also a higher than average chance of sustained winter torching with healthy El Ninos, as seen in 2015-16, 2002-03, 1997-98, 1991-92, and 1957-58. Overall, I really think Phil's area has the best odds of a big winter this year. Nice, where are you looking at moving to? 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 6 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Yeah, honestly I'd say 50% chance it ends up decent here as far as snow totals. 2018-19 was ok, 2015-16 outstanding, and 2014-15 and 2009-10 had their moments. But there also is a tendency for moderate/strong El Ninos to be quite front and/or backloaded here, with not a lot in the middle. 2002-03, 1997-98, 1991-92, and 1957-58 all fit that mold to varying degrees. There is also a higher than average chance of sustained winter torching with healthy El Ninos, as seen in 2015-16, 2002-03, 1997-98, 1991-92, and 1957-58. Overall, I really think Phil's area has the best odds of a big winter this year. Nice, where are you looking at moving to? Looking at the northern part of Colorado Springs right now, which is still a good bit cheaper than the Denver metro. Possibly the Monument area as well, which just so happens to be one of the snowier parts of the Front Range. Moving date would be more towards February but the housing search has begun. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Christensen87 Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 19 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: Corvallis has cleared out. I'll be visiting Corvallis next weekend with some friends who went to OSU. Should be fun, hope the weather turns out OK. Go Beavs! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 Up to 74 in North Bend now... probably last 70s of the year. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 25 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Looking at the northern part of Colorado Springs right now, which is still a good bit cheaper than the Denver metro. Possibly the Monument area as well, which just so happens to be one of the snowier parts of the Front Range. Moving date would be more towards February but the housing search has begun. Ah, yeah Monument is nice. Almost 2000' higher than Denver metro, and that extra elevation also helps with cold front upslope or anytime there is northerly flow. 100"+ a winter is common. Crappy commute to Denver, but not bad to Colorado Springs. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 1 hour ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said: New Euro is sexy.... two cold lobes hit the region I love cold LOBES. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 Make that 75. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 1 hour ago, BLI snowman said: Soooo close to pea soup lunch season. Totally clear now. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 Some 70s in the Oregon Cascades, even low 80s. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 This is interesting... An airmass cold enough to produce snow here, though not enough moisture on this run (At this point.). 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Port Angeles Foothiller Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: This is interesting... An airmass cold enough to produce snow here, though not enough moisture on this run (At this point.). Euro 12Z was coldest we have seen for the area. Hopefully it is a trend. 2 Quote PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220 2023-2024 Snow Total: 18" (6 events) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 Just now, Port Angeles Foothiller said: Euro 12Z was coldest we have seen for the area. Hopefully it is a trend. I've never had snow in October, would love to see it. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Port Angeles Foothiller Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: I've never had snow in October, would love to see it. The lobe direction is favorable for marginal flakes to fall IMBY. End of next week looks like it could happen. Quote PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220 2023-2024 Snow Total: 18" (6 events) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 2 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said: The lobe direction is favorable for marginal flakes to fall IMBY. End of next week looks like it could happen. Would be an incredible early season BLESSING. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Port Angeles Foothiller Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Would be an incredible early season BLESSING. Many days left for a rug pull. Quote PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220 2023-2024 Snow Total: 18" (6 events) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 Just now, Port Angeles Foothiller said: Many days left for a rug pull. Absolutely. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Port Angeles Foothiller Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 18z GFS on board with first lobe Quote PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220 2023-2024 Snow Total: 18" (6 events) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 Another drippy day up here, been drizzling off and on most of the day, with .06" in the rain gauge. 49/61 so far for the temp. I'll be curious to see what next week brings. 1 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 Looked like a mid-day marine push here today. The clouds seem to be burning back now. Unusual. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Port Angeles Foothiller Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 9 Quote PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220 2023-2024 Snow Total: 18" (6 events) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 That first LOBE brings some snow to Central Oregon. Would be quite a switch to have snow after highs in the mid-80s this week. Late October snow in Central Oregon is not super unusual. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Port Angeles Foothiller Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: That first LOBE brings some snow to Central Oregon. Would be quite a switch to have snow after highs in the mid-80s this week. Late October snow in Central Oregon is not super unusual. Also looks to be onboard with lobe #2. Time to model watch. Quote PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220 2023-2024 Snow Total: 18" (6 events) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 3 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said: Also looks to be onboard with lobe #2. Time to model watch. A month later this would be exciting. 6 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 Just saw the 12z Euro, looks great 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 19, 2023 Report Share Posted October 19, 2023 1 hour ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said: The lobe direction is favorable for marginal flakes to fall IMBY. End of next week looks like it could happen. Timing looks very similar to 1991. We had 3” of snow and a 34/29 day on October 28th that year. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 20, 2023 Author Report Share Posted October 20, 2023 Hope this isn't a classic nino cold load early then shitt after that. 1 1 2 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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