February 2024 Weather in the PNW

[snow_wizard]

Significant lowland snow event in the overrunning ahead of the low at the end of the run.

[Slushy Inch]

3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Significant lowland snow event in the overrunning ahead of the low at the end of the run.

Looks like low 30s with precipitation onset. 

[SnowHawks]

BC Slider baby! Everybody scores!

[snow_wizard]

40 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Yeah, it takes a fairly exceptional pattern to get widespread lowland snow after 2/20.

This is looking pretty solid.  I'm really intrigued by the Siberia tap being shown.  The ECMWF is really trying to shorten up the water trajectory as well.  I think we have only been saying lowland snow not widespread lowland snow BTW....at least as of now.

[Slushy Inch]

EPS seeing the same improvements. 

[snow_wizard]

3 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Looks like low 30s with precipitation onset. 

It's a legit cold airmass at the onset of precip.  No doubt the temps would crash behind the low too in the backwash.

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, Slushy Inch said:

EPS seeing the same improvements. 

Substantial.

[snow_wizard]

That is a helll of a strong signal for that far out.

[ShawniganLake]

10 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Significant lowland snow event in the overrunning ahead of the low at the end of the run.

Mid 30s around the sound.  Still need things to trend colder. 

[Slushy Inch]

Colder in western Canada this run.

[snow_wizard]

This thing is getting interesting very quickly.

[snow_wizard]

What a bunch of buzz kills on here.  Jeeze!
 

[SouthHillFrosty]

Just now, snow_wizard said:

What a bunch of buzz kills on here.  Jeeze!
 

Got the GFS ensembles?

[snow_wizard]

The ECMWF shows it might actually FINALLY freeze here Monday night.  OMG it's a freeking miracle!!!

I get so irritated with this wind ruining my low temps.

[snow_wizard]

15 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Got the GFS ensembles?

[Front Ranger]

32 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

This is looking pretty solid.  I'm really intrigued by the Siberia tap being shown.  The ECMWF is really trying to shorten up the water trajectory as well.  I think we have only been saying lowland snow not widespread lowland snow BTW....at least as of now.

Sure, but the maps being posted show widespread lowland snow. Definitely possible, but a rare feat this late in the season.

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

34 minutes ago, SnowHawks said:

BC Slider baby! Everybody scores!

BC sliders are amazing, they give the lowlands some goodies, and they give us some pretty big snow totals sometimes.

[Slushy Inch]

17 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I’ll take that 31

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

It's gonna snow. Going to be a historic late February and early March, mountains get buried, lowlands get a lot too. The biggest snowstorm will be leap day, because it will be our extra chance this year to keep the February streak alive. Seattle will end up with 7" of wet snow in that stretch, Portland with 8", Salem with 13" Eugene with 12". I'll get 30". We'll get the mountain snowpack to 150-200% by the end of March, and then we'll get great weather till fall. And from then on, everyone will think El Nino is what we need to get a good mountain snowpack.

 

22 degrees now, snow depth is up to 9.5", I said a couple days ago I'd be disappointed in this week unless my depth passes 10", looks like we've got a good chance. Good night!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Checking in from college basketball world. Looks like it's 40F and foggy out there.

[Ken in Wood Village]

Well, the EPS looks very interesting for the end of the month for my area

[Cold Snap]

3 hours ago, Slushy Inch said:

Convergence zone area could win big. It’s happened in April. Balance out the king county snow drought of this winter. Though places with elevation did get an inch with last event.

I got snow in April from a convergence zone last year!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Big GFS run underway after a semi-disappointing EURO and EURO suite. 

[Groundhog]

6 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

Significant lowland snow event in the overrunning ahead of the low at the end of the run.

If some want to treat a 240hr map a lock, fine. Just expect the legitimate retort that that’s 240 freakin’ hours. Even ensemble support that far ahead for below normal temps needs trepidation. 

[Timmy Supercell]

19 minutes ago, Groundhog said:

If some want to treat a 240hr map a lock, fine. Just expect the legitimate retort that that’s 240 freakin’ hours. Even ensemble support that far ahead for below normal temps needs trepidation. 

Better than riding 384! 

[TT-SEA]

My phone says the high today will be 42 but its currently 47.  

[MossMan]

[MossMan]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

My phone says the high today will be 42 but its currently 47.  

My current temp is 42! Expected high of 47! 

[MossMan]

I don’t get why people get so irritated and pissy when other people post over 200hr maps and comment what is shown on them. Everyone knows things will not play out exactly what an individual map shows, it’s the general theme of potential. 

Or I guess we could just go all Rich Marriott…That would be one hell of an exciting forum! 
 

Have a little fun people and relax!! 

Edited February 18 by MossMan

[TacomaWx]

5 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I don’t get why people get so irritated and pissy when other people post over 200hr maps and comment what is shown on them. Everyone knows things will not play out exactly what an individual map shows, it’s the general theme of potential. 

Or I guess we could just go all Rich Marriott…That would be one hell of an exiting forum! 
 

Have a little fun people and relax!! 

Yeah I agree, it’s not like Jim is saying it’s going to happen exactly like those +200 hour maps he knows that. It’s just fun to see some potential atleast way down the line with some of these good model runs at the very least. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

06z was a disaster!

[SnowWillarrive]

35 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I don’t get why people get so irritated and pissy when other people post over 200hr maps and comment what is shown on them. Everyone knows things will not play out exactly what an individual map shows, it’s the general theme of potential. 

Or I guess we could just go all Rich Marriott…That would be one hell of an exiting forum! 
 

Have a little fun people and relax!! 

I don’t think people are necessarily irritated. The snow possibility is fun to think about. Probably just burned out over the missed opportunities the past few weeks. 

[Groundhog]

40 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I don’t get why people get so irritated and pissy when other people post over 200hr maps and comment what is shown on them. Everyone knows things will not play out exactly what an individual map shows, it’s the general theme of potential. 

Or I guess we could just go all Rich Marriott…That would be one hell of an exiting forum! 
 

Have a little fun people and relax!! 

It’s because it’s bantered about as though it’s a definite conclusion. And then there’s the subsequent letdown/meltdown when an anomaly long range inevitably moderates. No problem in discussion such outliers. But discussed with healthy restraint, and a healthy moderation of expectations. 

[umadbro]

2 hours ago, Groundhog said:

If some want to treat a 240hr map a lock, fine. Just expect the legitimate retort that that’s 240 freakin’ hours. Even ensemble support that far ahead for below normal temps needs trepidation. 

*Rich Marriott and Cliff Mass loved this*

[SilverFallsAndrew]

GFS is definitely a one and done type of pattern. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Surprised there wasn't more talk about the 00z EURO. Pretty incredible pattern on there. 

[ShawniganLake]

15 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said:

I don’t think people are necessarily irritated. The snow possibility is fun to think about. Probably just burned out over the missed opportunities the past few weeks. 

I don’t think people are irritated. They are fun to look at.  It would seem like a reasonable idea to at least look at the temperatures being modelled during the snow storm 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

The cmc has more of a euro look with overrunning possibilities after the trough,  not cold enough yet though. Gfs is just lost. Nothing new there. 

[ShawniganLake]

7 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Big GFS run underway after a semi-disappointing EURO and EURO suite. 

 

14 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Surprised there wasn't more talk about the 00z EURO. Pretty incredible pattern on there. 

 

[Doinko]

Down in Philomath today. On the way there was a great sunrise with rain/mist/fog to the west and then the sun peaking through from the east with the foothills visible.