Gorgeous sunset from Mt Tabor park. Lots of big, downed trees on the north and east side of the park from our ARCTIC WINDS three weeks ago. But honestly the damage wasn’t quite as bad as I feared. I guess the historic shelter took a pretty good hit but that part of the park was cordoned off.
I was intrigued so I looked up the average high and low temperatures across WA for August of 1899. Olga's average low of 45F is pretty impressive as it's about 4 degrees colder than anything we've seen in the last 50 years. The fact it's so much colder than every other location on the west side does make me wonder if there was an error with the thermometer at that time or maybe it was just incredible cold winds blowing off the straight.
The Seattle average high for the month was almost 10 d
Nope, we're just taking a ride from the Anchorage Airport to talkeetna this evening, even if GPS is out by then, the driver definitely knows how to get there without it.
Lol. When convection is enhanced over the West-Pacific warm pool, it will ultimately force a western ridge in approximately 75% of cases (and near 100% of cases in the summer/fall).
And this is a clean, healthy MJO (wave-1 VP200 signature) with no background/ENSO signal to interfere at the moment. So climatologically, you would expect a warm/dry outcome with a high degree of confidence.
But no need to fret. This MJO will propagate into the E-Hem late in the month and into June, when it will coincide with the seasonal onset of the asian monsoon, which is likely to even further enhance the forcing from the Indian Ocean/E-Hem sector, and bring about a period of substantial western troughing (and likely the onset of the low frequency niña signal in the global tropics).
I think you’ll enjoy the eventual outcome (at least subseasonally) since the longest days of the year are likely to coincide with troughing in your region.
True that. I have been disappointed on previous campouts for the same purpose. That it is the first G4 level storm warning prompting a campout makes me cautiously optimistic.
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