March 2024 Weather in the PNW

[SilverFallsAndrew]

In other news... Our turkey population is exploding up here. Long timers say they had never seen turkey up here until a couple years ago. The Willamette Valley has insane numbers of turkey, I've even seen them in downtown and north Salem recently. What's the turkey situation like up in W. Washington? 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Complete pipe dream wishing for 60 plus all week in March, LOL. Not going to happen.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Complete pipe dream wishing for 60 plus all week in March, LOL. Not going to happen.

Maybe March 2015 or 16? 

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Complete pipe dream wishing for 60 plus all week in March, LOL. Not going to happen.

Well average is around 56 next week in Seattle... so 60 is not unusually warm now.   You also said there was no way the dry spell would last 5-7 days and we are on day 4 now easily heading for 7.

[DeepFriedEgg]

Up to 62F after a low of 48F.

+8F from yesterday. Hit 72F yesterday.

[ShawniganLake]

12 minutes ago, DeepFriedEgg said:

Up to 62F after a low of 48F.

+8F from yesterday. Hit 72F yesterday.

Common 80.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Yesterday was only a +6 departure at SLE. Not bad folx. 

[ShawniganLake]

22 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

In other news... Our turkey population is exploding up here. Long timers say they had never seen turkey up here until a couple years ago. The Willamette Valley has insane numbers of turkey, I've even seen them in downtown and north Salem recently. What's the turkey situation like up in W. Washington? 

Not many turkeys up here on Vancouver island.  But Shawnigan Lake does actually have a decent sized flock. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Reed Timmer posted this… 

[TT-SEA]

East wind picking up here... already up to 64 here but still only 58 in the valley.  

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF keeps it warm through Tuesday but connects the troughs over Canada and offshore better later in the week than the GFS.     Waiting for all the maps to update but will definitely be cooler and wetter than the GFS late in the week.   It did back off from its 00Z run it appears.

[TT-SEA]

Wednesday is showery and in the mid 50s on the ECMWF... GFS is probably being too optimistic keeping that ULL farther to the north and west.  

[TT-SEA]

Showery and low 50s on Thursday.   

[TT-SEA]

Pretty big difference between the GFS and ECMWF by Thursday.  

[TT-SEA]

Huge differences between the 00Z ECMWF (top) and 12Z ECMWF (bottom) by day 9.     New ECMWF buries the needle on desert SW troughing.  

[TT-SEA]

Total snow over next 10 days per 12Z ECMWF.

[TT-SEA]

Final note... highs struggle to reach 50 in Seattle from Sat-Mon on this run.    Chilly.

[jcmcgaffey]

Highs today in the 20s in northern Minnesota while upper 80s to 90s in Texas. 

[snow_wizard]

Wow!  This ENSO crash is about to get real.  There has already been a notable drop in all of the regions over the past week or two.  I'm thinking it at least goes moderate based on this.

[snow_wizard]

Then there's this.

[snow_wizard]

Managed to drop to 36 here this morning.  Could be working on a really good average min for the month the way it looks right now.

The models are still really struggling with the details on upcoming cool period, but it looks solid no matter what.

 

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Wow!  This ENSO crash is about to get real.  There has already been a notable drop in all of the regions over the past week or two.  I'm thinking it at least goes moderate based on this.

We don't need a massive crash.   I am holding out hope for cold neutral or weak Nina. 

[Doinko]

Warm morning, only dropped to 50 and now all the way up to 68.

[T-Town]

3 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Warm morning, only dropped to 50 and now all the way up to 68.

Wow, only 55 here after a low of 42. Climbing steadily since sunrise. 

[MossMan]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Reed Timmer posted this… 

Looks like the perfect time to move to Arkansas! 

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Wow, only 55 here after a low of 42. Climbing steadily since sunrise. 

68 out here already as well.

[ShawniganLake]

4 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

68 out here already as well.

Wierd, that mountain looks snow free.  

[SunAndSnow]

Low of 39° at 7am, already up to 72° at noon (forecasted high).

[TT-SEA]

First 70 of the year... also 70 at station at 1,000 feet to my east.   It's warm out here but east wind tempers it a bit.

[snow_wizard]

2 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

In other news... Our turkey population is exploding up here. Long timers say they had never seen turkey up here until a couple years ago. The Willamette Valley has insane numbers of turkey, I've even seen them in downtown and north Salem recently. What's the turkey situation like up in W. Washington? 

None in this area.  There are a lot east of the Cascades.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Beautiful day incoming. Up to 68F.

[snow_wizard]

22 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Wield that mountain looks snow free.  

Wield?

A lot of that is because the mountain is steep and isolated.  The backside has a lot of snow, and even that face has it under the trees.  Also....this just hasn't been a good year for snow in this general area.

[snow_wizard]

50 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

We don't need a massive crash.   I am holding out hope for cold neutral or weak Nina. 

I agree to some extent.  I think strong might be better for cool summer prospects though.

[Timmy Supercell]

40 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Looks like the perfect time to move to Arkansas! 

Find a really cheap home, 'cause it will end up with smashed windows this year.. 

[snow_wizard]

45 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Wow, only 55 here after a low of 42. Climbing steadily since sunrise. 

61/36 here so far.  From what I've seen Tacoma isn't good for the big diurnal spreads.  McChord is a lot better though.

[Timmy Supercell]

8 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Wield?

A lot of that is because the mountain is steep and isolated.  The backside has a lot of snow, and even that face has it under the trees.  Also....this just hasn't been a good year for snow in this general area.

Washington Cascades did decently during the first two Ninas that skunked Oregon with dry winters. Must've been due for them to see that.

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, Timmy Supercell said:

Find a really cheap home, 'cause it will end up with smashed windows this year.. 

Arkansas is probably cheap in general.

[snow_wizard]

Just now, Timmy Supercell said:

Washington Cascades did decently during the the first two Ninas that skunked Oregon with dry winters. Must've been due for them to see that.

No doubt.  We were due for a tougher water year up here.  It's been years since we haven't had an excess.

[snow_wizard]

BTW....on the ENSO front it should be noted the CFS picked up on the coming Nina way sooner than the ECMWF.  CFS is very decent on ENSO.

[Cascadia_Wx]

7 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

No doubt.  We were due for a tougher water year up here.  It's been years since we haven't had an excess.

Is this some sort of joke?