April 2024 Weather in the PNW

[Meatyorologist]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

As expected... the 18Z GFS is back to mega troughing. 

Yep. And it will probably verify. Even when models inevitably take it away from us a few times again before locking in the troughing around five days in advance. These Spring troughing patterns are potent and highly reliable. It's really too bad you can't enjoy it as much as I do!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looks like a tornado warning just NE of where my Oklahoma kids live. It's moving away from their area. 

[Meatyorologist]

18 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I was just going to mention that its looks quite nice in Seattle.   

Up to 62F here from 59F an hour ago and markedly brighter. Guess I only busted in timing. Clouds held on a few hours longer than I expected; I thought we'd be this clear and warm by lunchtime. Still busting too warm for the models though... They had all areas struggling to reach 60F by 4pm!

[TT-SEA]

6 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Yep. And it will probably verify. Even when models inevitably take it away from us a few times again before locking in the troughing around five days in advance. These Spring troughing patterns are potent and highly reliable. It's really too bad you can't enjoy it as much as I do!

I enjoy some spring troughing... just looking for an alternating pattern and not all mega troughing.   

[T-Town]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I enjoy some spring troughing... just looking for an alternating pattern and not all mega troughing.   

Like a soaking rain followed by sun and 60ish?

[Phishy Wx]

same 'Nader

 

 

 

[Phishy Wx]

 

 

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Like a soaking rain followed by sun and 60ish?

Yes... today looks decent but the next 4 days will be quite different per the ECMWF.   It was great to get the soaking rain yesterday.   

[TT-SEA]

6 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

same 'Nader

 

 

 

This is an insane video... the guy was praying.   

[TT-SEA]

[ShawniganLake]

21 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

same 'Nader

 

 

 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

6 hours ago, bainbridgekid said:

Just a slight warming trend for opening day of boating season next Saturday on the GFS.

00z last night had us in the mid 40's and 12z this morning has us in the mid 80's.

 

5 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z ECMWF is much more realistic that day... but of course its still over a week away and it will probably be pouring rain in reality.   

 

3 hours ago, Tyler Mode said:

Quite the flip in models now...looking much sunnier later next week.

The 12z GFS has the warmest anomalies for Saturday while the EURO and it’s AI model are a little cooler.

[Cascadia_Wx]

32 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Like a soaking rain followed by sun and 60ish?

We usually get a lot of sunbreaks in troughy periods this time of year. Pretty rare to get stronger than forecasted rainbreaks when we have a big ridge overhead though.

[TT-SEA]

ECMWF showed decent sun breaks for the Seattle area for today for many runs.   The high temps over the weekend and into early next week indicate sun breaks won't be nearly as prevalent.  Pretty hard for SEA to only get to 51 with sun breaks like today.

[Front Ranger]

2 hours ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

As usual, what is your point? It was still a hot and dry May, and now we’re looking at the possibility of another one.

The point was you say "we" saw a record hot May in 2023, but it was far from the whole metro - just PDX. Some months have been legit record hot across the whole area, but that wasn't one of them.

Obviously it was very dry and warm, but the whole record month thing doesn't hold as much weight when it's a station seeing 50% more of them than other places.

[BLI snowman]

4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

ECMWF showed decent sun breaks for the Seattle area for today for many runs.   The high temps over the weekend and into early next week indicate sun breaks won't be nearly as prevalent.  Pretty hard for SEA to only get to 51 with sun breaks like today.

Colder upper level airmass this weekend moves in. Doesn't look like a ton of stratiform precip though. There's likely going to be a fair amount of sun breakage most days. 

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Colder upper level airmass this weekend moves in. Doesn't look like a ton of stratiform precip though. There's likely going to be a fair amount of sun breakage most days. 

Solid mid level clouds both days over the weekend.    Lower left box in each square. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

10 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

The point was you say "we" saw a record hot May in 2023, but it was far from the whole metro - just PDX. Some months have been legit record hot across the whole area, but that wasn't one of them.

Obviously it was very dry and warm, but the whole record month thing doesn't hold as much weight when it's a station seeing 50% more of them than other places.

Sounds like nitpicking to me.

[Front Ranger]

52 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Like a soaking rain followed by sun and 60ish?

 

4 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Colder upper level airmass this weekend moves in. Doesn't look like a ton of stratiform precip though. There's likely going to be a fair amount of sun breakage most days. 

Just let Tim believe he's missing the most MISERABLE, DREARY week ever whiles he's gone.

[Cascadia_Wx]

18z sure looked nice. Let’s hope the models flip back some. Worth noting the EPS hasn’t really been on board for some of the crazy ridging the GFS has been showing at times the last 24 hours.

The 12z Euro was ridgier in the 6-10 day range than past runs, though.

[TT-SEA]

Just now, Front Ranger said:

 

Just let Tim believe he's missing the most MISERABLE, DREARY week ever whiles he's gone.

I have access to the internet Jared.   On the plane when my son asked about the weekend I told him Friday afternoon would be the best period.   Playing out as expected.  

[BLI snowman]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Solid mid level clouds both days over the weekend.    Lower left box in each square. 

Cool. With nearly 15 hours of daylight, likely gonna be some sun poking through as there almost always is at this point in the season. 

[Front Ranger]

3 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Sounds like nitpicking to me.

I mean, we can go with PDX records are all that matter if you want. But you yourself have many times pointed out how unrepresentative the airport is of your area and much of the metro. Thought that was something we agreed on.

[TT-SEA]

Just now, BLI snowman said:

Cool. With nearly 15 hours of daylight, likely gonna be some sun poking through as there almost always is at this point in the season. 

OK.   15 hours of daylight and SEA will struggle to get out of the 40s.   That is some notable troughing.

[TT-SEA]

12Z GEFS was decent.

[TT-SEA]

La Nina is rapidly emerging on the SSTA map.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

7 hours ago, Blizzard777 said:

Oklahoma action last night and more to come!! 
 

You captured the lightning strike at the right moment! Now that’s why they call their team the OKC Thunder️ 

[Cold Snap]

Well this is an L.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

2 hours ago, Phil said:

Holy @ the tornado on the ground in AI right now.

 

2 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Looks like a tornado warning just NE of where my Oklahoma kids live. It's moving away from their area. 

 

2 hours ago, Phishy Wx said:

 

 

 

2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

 

1 hour ago, ShawniganLake said:

Wild stuff! Nebraska has had only one documented EF-5 tornado and that was 60 years ago back in May 1964. And that’s why they call it Tornado Alley  

[MossMan]

10 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

You captured the lightning strike at the right moment! Now that’s why they call their team the OKC Thunder️ 

[T-Town]

Nice day for a beer on the deck at Narrows Brewing. 

[T-Town]

8 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I can hear Kevin Calabro now…

[T-Town]

1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

We usually get a lot of sunbreaks in troughy periods this time of year. Pretty rare to get stronger than forecasted rainbreaks when we have a big ridge overhead though.

I like warmth and ridging in the summertime. It’s just a little early to flip that switch to on. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

1 hour ago, Front Ranger said:

I mean, we can go with PDX records are all that matter if you want. But you yourself have many times pointed out how unrepresentative the airport is of your area and much of the metro. Thought that was something we agreed on.

I do agree overall, but I’m still going to refer to the major recordkeeping station in my area. Don’t need someone chasing me around with and asterisk every time I mention a stat there without typing up a disclaimer

And it’s not like last May was cold everywhere else. It was hot and dry regionally.

[Cascadia_Wx]

7 minutes ago, T-Town said:

I like warmth and ridging in the summertime. It’s just a little early to flip that switch to on. 

So do I. Although I like said warmth and ridging broken up with marine layer days and maybe even some rain every 2-3 weeks. But even heatwaves can be fun as long as they aren’t June 2021, July 2022 or August 2023 repeats.

[TT-SEA]

11 minutes ago, T-Town said:

I like warmth and ridging in the summertime. It’s just a little early to flip that switch to on. 

Way too early for hot summer weather consistently.  

Something in between the last two years would be nice for May.   Both of those were too extreme.

[TT-SEA]

29 minutes ago, Cold Snap said:

Well this is an L.

Mentioned that earlier.   Really sucks.   

[MossMan]

19 minutes ago, T-Town said:

I can hear Kevin Calabro now…

“GOOD GOLLY MS MOLLY!!”

[T-Town]

3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

“GOOD GOLLY MS MOLLY!!”

Flyin chickens in the barnyard!!!

[Deweydog]

HEAVY RAIN