MossMan Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: 2006 was MUCH much shorter duration. But it was one hell of an epic week here!!! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: That's dope! How great was the winter of 68-69? Ik Seattle got slammed that winter I remember two things from that winter. One was my dad thawing frozen pipes with a torch in December, and the other opening the front door and having snow up to my eyeballs in January. Incredible one two punch that winter, and also a lesser known mini cold snap and snow in mid December. 2 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 10 minutes ago, luminen said: Statistically, November 1985 was even more significant than January 1950. There was some article on that somewhere but I don't know where it is anymore. Anyway, November 1985 is and was, the gold standard. It may not have been as snowy as January 1950 was but solely on temperature anomaly, it was incredible. One of my favorite months. I was in Bellingham at college. iIRC, it didn't start with a major blast with high winds like other arctic blasts do in Whatcom County, more of a gradual cool down, but it got plenty cold. I remember single digits. Frustrating for awhile because it seemed like it snowed hard everywhere but Bellingham, which seemed to only get a little bit. Then came the Tuesday before Thanksgiving. My favorite snowstorm ever. Forecast was for a chance if a flurry. I had 3 straight classes; 9, 10, & 11. Clear before the first class, a few clouds between the 1st and 2nd, cloudy between the 2nd and 3rd, and then threatening snow after the 3rd. Went to Pizza Hut with a buddy for lunch. They had a deal where they serve your personal pan pizza in 15 minutes or less, or your pizza was free. We got the free pizzas, but it had started to snow. Then my friend locked his keys in the car as the snow increased. Got a coat hanger to open the door, he dropped me off near my dorm so he could get home before it got too bad I watched it snow, and snow, and snow. Next morning the city was so quiet, so peaceful. Classes were cancelled, but many students couldn't make it home for Thanksgiving, so they had to keep the dorms open for the weekend. And then had to find food for them. We made it back to my home in Anaxortesnjidt fine. I think the warm-up started that Sunday. Funny how I can remember so many details of that day, 35 years ago. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
markjb Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 68-69 I was living on So Hill ... what I remember from that winter is a snow storm that lasted for almost 24 hours and deep.Then it got very,very cold down to near zero if I remember!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 00z ECMWF Day 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 28, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 What will the king show us? 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 00z GFS Analog Composite Day 8-14. Not bad at all. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 1 hour ago, BLI snowman said: Dodgers and Lakers winning the same year really elevates the 1988 analog. Was an election year too. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 00z GFS Ensembles Portland Seattle Bellingham Spokane Yakima Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 00z ECMWF Day 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 Day 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 16 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 00z GFS Analog Composite Day 8-14. Not bad at all. Some of those analogs are a bit of alright! 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 I have to say the ECMWF cloud forecasts have been utter sheit the past few days. This morning's 6z run showed the cloud line would be on the WA / OR border tonight and it's clear as a bell here right now. Sunday night was supposed to be mostly clear all the way through and we know what happened with that, and last night was supposed to be reasonably clear here and it was cloudy all night. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 Day 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 3 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 7 Block looks a little weaker than the gfs and gem? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Block looks a little weaker than the gfs and gem? That cutoff low and the Aleutian high are the things to watch. Both look pretty decent at day 7. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 OMG! Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 8 Looks like a winner to me. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 I can't believe how similar the three models look around days 7 and 8. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 Day 9'er Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 Still 53F here, it warmed up to about this temperature by 3pm then just got stuck there until now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 I always like these situations where an Aleutian High and a flat ridge off the West Coast explosively merge. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 9'er Holy Mother of God! Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 The day 9 Euro shows it blocked up to and around the Pole. We might be getting ourselves into something pretty good here. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 ****ALERT**** 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 Day 10 .. That'll work 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 Day 10 = Historic blast incoming for so early. Hard to not be intrigued after what just happened. 1 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 41 and clear. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 Probably snow if that setup verifies. Truly stunning all three models picked up on this at the same time. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: Probably snow if that setup verifies. Truly stunning all three models picked up on this at the same time. Insane agreement for sure along the lines of 2008 dare I say? C'MON!!!! 6z GFS in 2 hours 25 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 5 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Day 10 = Historic blast incoming for so early. Hard to not be intrigued after what just happened. -4c? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 1 minute ago, Deweydog said: -4c? Was gonna say, the arctic air is still up at Williams Lake on Day 10. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: -4c? -4.1c* 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 Nice pattern, but let’s remember we are still talking about early November... 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 17 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Day 10 = Historic blast incoming for so early. Hard to not be intrigued after what just happened. Extrapolating beyond Day 10 would it definitely turn cold. 12z ECMWF in 10 hour 28 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 Just now, DJ Droppin said: Extrapolating beyond Day 10 would it definitely turn cold. 12z ECMWF in 10 hour 28 minutes I’ve had my easel and Bob Ross books out for 23 minutes now. 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Nice pattern, but let’s remember we are still talking about early November... It would be unreal to have two record cold patterns happen in such a short span this early in the season. I'm pretty sure the ECMWF solution would yield snow at day 11 somewhere in the lowlands. Going to be fun to see how this evolves in future runs. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 5 minutes ago, Deweydog said: I’ve had my easel and Bob Ross books out for 23 minutes now. The official Bob Ross easel? or just a knock-off? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 Just now, DJ Droppin said: The official Bob Ross easel? or just a knock-off? Off brand. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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