snowstorm83 Posted October 24, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 24, 2020 Euro busting out the Omadome lmao 2 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" Average: 25.9" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 24, 2020 Report Share Posted October 24, 2020 00z Euro/EPS...@CentralNeb, after what has been a grueling summer for you (and prob the rest of our NE members), I'm pretty sure you were dreaming of this outcome back in July/Aug! I remember the days you mentioned on here how stifling the humidity and heat were this past summer. Mother Nature is sure to deliver some Winter wx for your back yard. Our KC members have a real good chance to make history with this storm system and make it 3 Octobers in a row with measurable snow. Let's do it! #SolarMin Love seeing all that snow in the CO Rockies which can't come soon enough and put out those historic wild fires. It's so sad what has transpired out west and the devastation it has caused. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FAR_Weather Posted October 24, 2020 Report Share Posted October 24, 2020 Hoping a dent can be put in the drought in Nebraska! 4 Quote Severe Weather Stats for Fargo 2020-21 Slight risks: 3 (Last: 7/26) Enhanced Risks: 0 Moderate Risks: 0 Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 2 (Last: 7/26) Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 1 (Last: 6/7) Tornado Watches: 0 Tornado Warnings: 0 Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6" Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FAR_Weather Posted October 24, 2020 Report Share Posted October 24, 2020 3 hours ago, snowstorm83 said: Euro busting out the Omadome lmao THERE'S NO DOME IN OMAHA!!!!!!11! 1 Quote Severe Weather Stats for Fargo 2020-21 Slight risks: 3 (Last: 7/26) Enhanced Risks: 0 Moderate Risks: 0 Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 2 (Last: 7/26) Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 1 (Last: 6/7) Tornado Watches: 0 Tornado Warnings: 0 Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6" Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted October 24, 2020 Report Share Posted October 24, 2020 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted October 24, 2020 Report Share Posted October 24, 2020 2 hours ago, Tom said: 00z Euro/EPS...@CentralNeb, after what has been a grueling summer for you (and prob the rest of our NE members), I'm pretty sure you were dreaming of this outcome back in July/Aug! I remember the days you mentioned on here how stifling the humidity and heat were this past summer. Mother Nature is sure to deliver some Winter wx for your back yard. Our KC members have a real good chance to make history with this storm system and make it 3 Octobers in a row with measurable snow. Let's do it! #SolarMin Love seeing all that snow in the CO Rockies which can't come soon enough and put out those historic wild fires. It's so sad what has transpired out west and the devastation it has caused. Thanks Tom. Been a long summer and fall with little to no moisture. This should be a good start to our deficit. Record breaking cold also. Coldest maximum and minimum temps look certain early next week. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted October 24, 2020 Report Share Posted October 24, 2020 So really would be shocking if UKIE played out and OKC got 8 inches of snow. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 24, 2020 Report Share Posted October 24, 2020 Lots of people in the KC area are going to be caught of guard, our NWS office has been asleep at the wheel all week on this storm. Here is there forecast as of this morning. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 24, 2020 Report Share Posted October 24, 2020 Hope this helps the fires in the Estes Park area. So sad to see such a beautiful place burn like that. Chiefs game in Denver tomorrow should be fun with the snoe falling during the game. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted October 24, 2020 Report Share Posted October 24, 2020 Des Moines is holding off on headlines til afternoon shift. I have a shot at a couple inches. I'll take that for Oct 25th! 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 24, 2020 Report Share Posted October 24, 2020 ICON has been trending a little warmer thus putting me right on the rain snow line. Uggg RGEM has something similar Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted October 24, 2020 Report Share Posted October 24, 2020 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted October 24, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 24, 2020 No Kuchera for GFS on WxBell but it would honestly look outrageous anyways lol 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" Average: 25.9" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted October 24, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 24, 2020 On the cold snap side of things, OAX is already forecasting 11 for Lincoln on Monday night/Tuesday morning. Monday record (26th) is only 19, but 27th is 8 in 1997. This is following that record snowstorm, radiational cooling later on likely tanked temps. If KLNK can get that clear sky-calm wind combo with a few inches of snow cover, temps will drop like a rock even if it's 10 degrees warmer downtown. Monthly record is 3 from Oct 30 1925. Clouds may be stubborn to move out though, so we'll see. 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" Average: 25.9" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted October 24, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 24, 2020 Euro has rolled out, OMA/LNK kind of ends up in between the bands, but not a bad look overall at this time frame. Lincoln fares slightly better with the secondary banding though. Kuchera is prettier of course, but it has widespread 10-20" from the the Sand Hills to the panhandle, so yeah not realistic lol. About the same for Clinton, so I'm guessing more marginal temps. Side note: Sorry Liz Whalley, but **** Ohio State. 3 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" Average: 25.9" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted October 24, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 24, 2020 Also important note that NAM is still much less generous south of I-80 unlike Euro/GFS. Can't ignore that so we have see if it changes it's tune later on today. Sorry for quadruple posting, but it's crickets here lmao. I guess it's game day in B1G land, but its a depressing away game for me and I work in 2 hours, so no tailgating for me. 3 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" Average: 25.9" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 24, 2020 Report Share Posted October 24, 2020 52 minutes ago, snowstorm83 said: Euro has rolled out, OMA/LNK kind of ends up in between the bands, but not a bad look overall at this time frame. Lincoln fares slightly better with the secondary banding though. Kuchera is prettier of course, but it has widespread 10-20" from the the Sand Hills to the panhandle, so yeah not realistic lol. About the same for Clinton, so I'm guessing more marginal temps. Side note: Sorry Liz Whalley, but **** Ohio State. I am about 20 miles north of that rain snow line really hope the GFS can verify. Trying to remind myself it's only Oct and not get disappointed if I end up on the wrong side. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 24, 2020 Report Share Posted October 24, 2020 KC folks are looking good. GEFS and EPS mean 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted October 24, 2020 Report Share Posted October 24, 2020 Every model is consistent over here for an inch or 2. Nothing big but still nice for Oct 25th. 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FAR_Weather Posted October 24, 2020 Report Share Posted October 24, 2020 2 hours ago, snowstorm83 said: Also important note that NAM is still much less generous south of I-80 unlike Euro/GFS. Can't ignore that so we have see if it changes it's tune later on today. Sorry for quadruple posting, but it's crickets here lmao. I guess it's game day in B1G land, but its a depressing away game for me and I work in 2 hours, so no tailgating for me. The game sucked anyway. Quote Severe Weather Stats for Fargo 2020-21 Slight risks: 3 (Last: 7/26) Enhanced Risks: 0 Moderate Risks: 0 Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 2 (Last: 7/26) Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 1 (Last: 6/7) Tornado Watches: 0 Tornado Warnings: 0 Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6" Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted October 24, 2020 Report Share Posted October 24, 2020 9 hours ago, Clinton said: Lots of people in the KC area are going to be caught of guard, our NWS office has been asleep at the wheel all week on this storm. Here is there forecast as of this morning. Hey, but now they upped it to 1-2 inches! Yeahhh, this is my first year down here and I'm not impressed with the KC NWS. They seemed to have really good write ups during the summer and now this discussion today was as vanilla as it gets. Probably not real winter weather enthusiasts I take it. Totals will likely be double what they've put out today 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 24, 2020 Report Share Posted October 24, 2020 Trend on the models has been warmer today. Things might not work out down my way. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 24, 2020 Report Share Posted October 24, 2020 Congrats to all Peeps in tracking mode for the first time this cold season. Cheers! to many more.. 4 1 Quote Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1" Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16) Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 Annual avg for mby = 49.7" Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal) 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted October 24, 2020 Report Share Posted October 24, 2020 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted October 24, 2020 Report Share Posted October 24, 2020 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted October 24, 2020 Report Share Posted October 24, 2020 13 hours ago, Tom said: 00z Euro/EPS...@CentralNeb, after what has been a grueling summer for you (and prob the rest of our NE members), I'm pretty sure you were dreaming of this outcome back in July/Aug! I remember the days you mentioned on here how stifling the humidity and heat were this past summer. Mother Nature is sure to deliver some Winter wx for your back yard. Our KC members have a real good chance to make history with this storm system and make it 3 Octobers in a row with measurable snow. Let's do it! #SolarMin Love seeing all that snow in the CO Rockies which can't come soon enough and put out those historic wild fires. It's so sad what has transpired out west and the devastation it has caused. Reverse of 2011..... Heat before snow. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted October 24, 2020 Report Share Posted October 24, 2020 9 minutes ago, OKwx2k4 said: Reverse of 2011..... Heat before snow. Yes, you’re correct. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted October 24, 2020 Report Share Posted October 24, 2020 Potential high of only 18 degrees Monday and the low Monday night, if skies clear, is forecast to hit 5 degrees. Record breaking cold for so early in the season. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 24, 2020 Report Share Posted October 24, 2020 Latest from my office 1-2 in mby 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 24, 2020 Report Share Posted October 24, 2020 21 minutes ago, Clinton said: Latest from my office 1-2 in mby Enjoy it bud! 1 Quote Snowfall as of today: Feb, 2021: 41.2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted October 25, 2020 Report Share Posted October 25, 2020 Quite the share the wealth map for Nebraska. I’ve rarely seen a map like this. 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted October 25, 2020 Report Share Posted October 25, 2020 Looks like snow for my area really gets going Sunday afternoon and Sunday night, and lasts into Monday. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 25, 2020 Report Share Posted October 25, 2020 18z Euro and the EC has slightly less amounts. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted October 25, 2020 Report Share Posted October 25, 2020 Road conditions deteriorating in Northern Nebraska. All pushing south. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted October 25, 2020 Report Share Posted October 25, 2020 Calm before the storm down here tonight. This thread is for the 3 days or so around the storm but to close out an October with a 7 day stretch like this is going to be pretty memorable to me. This October will probably rank in the top 10 for cold here after its all done. Got my rainfall all in. What an October. Been around 19 to 20 years or so.... 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted October 25, 2020 Report Share Posted October 25, 2020 Radar trends are already way different then the models... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted October 25, 2020 Report Share Posted October 25, 2020 1 hour ago, Clinton said: 18z Euro and the EC has slightly less amounts. an That secondary heavy snow band down from Kansas through Missouri has been shown consistently for days and the NWS clearly isn't weighing it into their forecast. Not sure why that would be. Not even mentioning it in the discussion is pretty lazy 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 25, 2020 Report Share Posted October 25, 2020 Agree, they seem to be hung up on it being Oct and ignoring whats in front of their face. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted October 25, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 25, 2020 GFS a step in the wrong direction for southeast Neb Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" Average: 25.9" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 25, 2020 Report Share Posted October 25, 2020 3 minutes ago, snowstorm83 said: GFS a step in the wrong direction for southeast Neb It's wierd for sure and now has frz rain move my way on tuesday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 25, 2020 Report Share Posted October 25, 2020 0z GFS keeps me in the game 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted October 25, 2020 Report Share Posted October 25, 2020 9 minutes ago, snowstorm83 said: GFS a step in the wrong direction for southeast Neb Time to start using high res models. Too close to event for good accuracy on the regular ones 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 25, 2020 Report Share Posted October 25, 2020 5 hours ago, CentralNebWeather said: Potential high of only 18 degrees Monday and the low Monday night, if skies clear, is forecast to hit 5 degrees. Record breaking cold for so early in the season. Need that "BRRR" icon! (prolly need it a lot this cold season the way it's looking) 2 Quote Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1" Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16) Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 Annual avg for mby = 49.7" Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal) 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted October 25, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 25, 2020 Yikes, euro the same story. Good news is it's only October and any snow is a gift from god lol. 2 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" Average: 25.9" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 25, 2020 Report Share Posted October 25, 2020 00z Euro...for a late October storm, this is impressive in many ways when you consider the cold and the amount of snow that could potentially fall. I'm really curious to see if these kuchera snowfall totals pan out given the cold temps and higher snow ratios. Good thing is, for maximizing snow accumulations, those of you out in NE/IA have had about 24-36 hours of cold air to cool the ground surfaces. Good luck to all! Let it snow.... 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted October 25, 2020 Report Share Posted October 25, 2020 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FAR_Weather Posted October 25, 2020 Report Share Posted October 25, 2020 I'm getting light snow that has produced a dusting! 1 Quote Severe Weather Stats for Fargo 2020-21 Slight risks: 3 (Last: 7/26) Enhanced Risks: 0 Moderate Risks: 0 Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 2 (Last: 7/26) Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 1 (Last: 6/7) Tornado Watches: 0 Tornado Warnings: 0 Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6" Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 25, 2020 Report Share Posted October 25, 2020 I feel like the RGEM may have the best handle on accumulations for my area, given the bulk of the snow will fall during the daylight hours and ground here isn't froze. I will pull for the Euro and GFS but a 1-3 inch event in Oct is a major win here. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 25, 2020 Report Share Posted October 25, 2020 Better late than never from my office. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted October 25, 2020 Report Share Posted October 25, 2020 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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