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10/25-10/27 Winter Storm & Cold Snap


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Morning view 

The footage coming out of OKC is mind boggling...what a nasty ice storm... The sound of the electricity is creepy!    

It’s ripping down good currently in Omaha as we are getting into some moderate to heavy banding right now. It looks like a snow globe outside and it’s amazing. Glad I woke up at 2am to check on how th

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00z Euro/EPS...@CentralNeb, after what has been a grueling summer for you (and prob the rest of our NE members), I'm pretty sure you were dreaming of this outcome back in July/Aug!  I remember the days you mentioned on here how stifling the humidity and heat were this past summer.  Mother Nature is sure to deliver some Winter wx for your back yard.

Our KC members have a real good chance to make history with this storm system and make it 3 Octobers in a row with measurable snow.  Let's do it!  #SolarMin

Love seeing all that snow in the CO Rockies which can't come soon enough and put out those historic wild fires.  It's so sad what has transpired out west and the devastation it has caused.

 

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Hoping a dent can be put in the drought in Nebraska!

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4")

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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3 hours ago, snowstorm83 said:

Euro busting out the Omadome lmao

THERE'S NO DOME IN OMAHA!!!!!!11!

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4")

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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2 hours ago, Tom said:

00z Euro/EPS...@CentralNeb, after what has been a grueling summer for you (and prob the rest of our NE members), I'm pretty sure you were dreaming of this outcome back in July/Aug!  I remember the days you mentioned on here how stifling the humidity and heat were this past summer.  Mother Nature is sure to deliver some Winter wx for your back yard.

Our KC members have a real good chance to make history with this storm system and make it 3 Octobers in a row with measurable snow.  Let's do it!  #SolarMin

Love seeing all that snow in the CO Rockies which can't come soon enough and put out those historic wild fires.  It's so sad what has transpired out west and the devastation it has caused.

 

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Thanks Tom. Been a long summer and fall with little to no moisture. This should be a good start to our deficit. Record breaking cold also. Coldest maximum and minimum temps look certain early next week. 

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On the cold snap side of things, OAX is already forecasting 11 for Lincoln on Monday night/Tuesday morning. Monday record (26th) is only 19, but 27th is 8 in 1997. This is following that record snowstorm, radiational cooling later on likely tanked temps. If KLNK can get that clear sky-calm wind combo with a few inches of snow cover, temps will drop like a rock even if it's 10 degrees warmer downtown.  Monthly record is 3 from Oct 30 1925. Clouds may be stubborn to move out though, so we'll see. 

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

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Euro has rolled out, OMA/LNK kind of ends up in between the bands, but not a bad look overall at this time frame. Lincoln fares slightly better with the secondary banding though. Kuchera is prettier of course, but it has widespread 10-20" from the the Sand Hills to the panhandle, so yeah not realistic lol. About the same for Clinton, so I'm guessing more marginal temps. Side note: Sorry Liz Whalley, but **** Ohio State. 

ecmwf-deterministic-central-total_snow_10to1-3800000.png

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

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Also important note that NAM is still much less generous south of I-80 unlike Euro/GFS. Can't ignore that so we have see if it changes it's tune later on today. Sorry for quadruple posting, but it's crickets here lmao. I guess it's game day in B1G land, but its a depressing away game for me and I work in 2 hours, so no tailgating for me. 

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

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52 minutes ago, snowstorm83 said:

Euro has rolled out, OMA/LNK kind of ends up in between the bands, but not a bad look overall at this time frame. Lincoln fares slightly better with the secondary banding though. Kuchera is prettier of course, but it has widespread 10-20" from the the Sand Hills to the panhandle, so yeah not realistic lol. About the same for Clinton, so I'm guessing more marginal temps. Side note: Sorry Liz Whalley, but **** Ohio State. 

ecmwf-deterministic-central-total_snow_10to1-3800000.png

I am about 20 miles north of that rain snow line really hope the GFS can verify.  Trying to remind myself it's only Oct and not get disappointed if I end up on the wrong side.

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2 hours ago, snowstorm83 said:

Also important note that NAM is still much less generous south of I-80 unlike Euro/GFS. Can't ignore that so we have see if it changes it's tune later on today. Sorry for quadruple posting, but it's crickets here lmao. I guess it's game day in B1G land, but its a depressing away game for me and I work in 2 hours, so no tailgating for me. 

The game sucked anyway.

>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4")

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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9 hours ago, Clinton said:

Lots of people in the KC area are going to be caught of guard, our NWS office has been asleep at the wheel all week on this storm. Here is there forecast as of this morning.

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Hey, but now they upped it to 1-2 inches!  Yeahhh, this is my first year down here and I'm not impressed with the KC NWS. They seemed to have really good write ups during the summer and now this discussion today was as vanilla as it gets. Probably not real winter weather enthusiasts I take it. Totals will likely be double what they've put out today

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Congrats to all Peeps in tracking mode for the first time this cold season. Cheers! to many more..

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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13 hours ago, Tom said:

00z Euro/EPS...@CentralNeb, after what has been a grueling summer for you (and prob the rest of our NE members), I'm pretty sure you were dreaming of this outcome back in July/Aug!  I remember the days you mentioned on here how stifling the humidity and heat were this past summer.  Mother Nature is sure to deliver some Winter wx for your back yard.

Our KC members have a real good chance to make history with this storm system and make it 3 Octobers in a row with measurable snow.  Let's do it!  #SolarMin

Love seeing all that snow in the CO Rockies which can't come soon enough and put out those historic wild fires.  It's so sad what has transpired out west and the devastation it has caused.

 

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Reverse of 2011.....

Heat before snow.

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Calm before the storm down here tonight. This thread is for the 3 days or so around the storm but to close out an October with a 7 day stretch like this is going to be pretty memorable to me. This October will probably rank in the top 10 for cold here after its all done. Got my rainfall all in. What an October. Been around 19 to 20 years or so....

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1 hour ago, Clinton said:

18z Euro and the EC has slightly less amounts.

an

 

That secondary heavy snow band down from Kansas through Missouri has been shown consistently for days and the NWS clearly isn't weighing it into their forecast. Not sure why that would be. Not even mentioning it in the discussion is pretty lazy

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5 hours ago, CentralNebWeather said:

Potential high of only 18 degrees Monday and the low Monday night, if skies clear, is forecast to hit 5 degrees. Record breaking cold for so early in the season. 

Need that "BRRR" icon! (prolly need it a lot this cold season the way it's looking)

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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00z Euro...for a late October storm, this is impressive in many ways when you consider the cold and the amount of snow that could potentially fall.  I'm really curious to see if these kuchera snowfall totals pan out given the cold temps and higher snow ratios.  Good thing is, for maximizing snow accumulations, those of you out in NE/IA have had about 24-36 hours of cold air to cool the ground surfaces.  Good luck to all!  Let it snow....

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I'm getting light snow that has produced a dusting!

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4")

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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I feel like the RGEM may have the best handle on accumulations for my area, given the bulk of the snow will fall during the daylight hours and ground here isn't froze.  I will pull for the Euro and GFS but a 1-3 inch event in Oct is a major win here.

sn10_acc.us_c.png

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