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10/25-10/27 Winter Storm & Cold Snap


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I think this is my first event topic, so we'll see how this goes 😬 The main potential looks to be for members west of the MS river. Even OK and TX may get in on some action later on. Can Lincoln get 3 Octobers in a row with accumulating snow?

18z GFS:gfs_asnow_ncus_18.thumb.png.6f4872125c4844727f29745327b5eaaf.png

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

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Morning view 

The footage coming out of OKC is mind boggling...what a nasty ice storm... The sound of the electricity is creepy!    

It’s ripping down good currently in Omaha as we are getting into some moderate to heavy banding right now. It looks like a snow globe outside and it’s amazing. Glad I woke up at 2am to check on how th

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30 minutes ago, snowstorm83 said:

I think this is my first event topic, so we'll see how this goes 😬 The main potential looks to be for members west of the MS river. Even OK and TX may get in on some action later on. Can Lincoln get 3 Octobers in a row with accumulating snow?

18z GFS:gfs_asnow_ncus_18.thumb.png.6f4872125c4844727f29745327b5eaaf.png

Good luck, I have a 100% success rate with storm threads.

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4")

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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The icon makes no sense... unless the Platte River is that much of a player in cutting off precip. I would say the euro has the better handle of the storm; the gfs would be too good to be true. Honestly hoping for the euro.....I have two rows of potatoes to dig and a garden to clean up! Must say though, if this week is a precursor of this years LRC we are all sitting pretty!

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It appears this system will be a nothingburger for east-central/southeast Iowa.  Frankly, that is fine with me.  I'd rather save the rest of our snow for winter.  Let others, farther west, get in on the action.

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season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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30 minutes ago, james1976 said:

I always forget the Euro has a 6z and 18z now. Are they very reliable?

My .02 is not as well as 0 and 12z. 

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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2 hours ago, Clinton said:

6z GFS with it's best run for my neck of the woods, seems to push the cold air further south and east.

sn10_acc.us_c.png

Clinton, looks like you are in the game. Couple of inches possibly, no?!

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Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

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40 minutes ago, Hawkeye said:

It appears this system will be a nothingburger for east-central/southeast Iowa.  Frankly, that is fine with me.  I'd rather save the rest of our snow for winter.  Let others, farther west, get in on the action.

I agree 100%

Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

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This snow can stay away from here. We just had snow on Monday. It would be perfectly fine with me if we don't get anymore snow until late November or early December. 

The snowiest October in Cedar Rapids was October 1997 so it looks like that record will stand. 

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38 minutes ago, Stormhunter87 said:

Quite funny GFS turning the storm into pretty much nothing, and now the Euro says hey wait a minute.

Can’t remember when exactly, but the GFS-Euro switcharoo 2-3 days out has happened a few times in the past couple years.

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

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1 minute ago, Stormhunter87 said:

OAX is going 1-3 for the Omaha metro. Higher to the Northeast. Which is odd because the model trends start NW to SW but switch to West/SW to East

They issued a WWA (4-6") for Northeast NE. I'm kind of surprised they didn't issue a watch for that area, especially since moderate winds are expected. I'm guessing they're waiting until tomorrow morning's package to pull the trigger on any headlines down to I-80. I would think 2-4" would be a reasonable forecast for I-80 from them at this point but idk. 

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

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3 hours ago, snowstorm83 said:

They issued a WWA (4-6") for Northeast NE. I'm kind of surprised they didn't issue a watch for that area, especially since moderate winds are expected. I'm guessing they're waiting until tomorrow morning's package to pull the trigger on any headlines down to I-80. I would think 2-4" would be a reasonable forecast for I-80 from them at this point but idk. 

Was really feeling 3-6 but reality is probably 2-4. Oh well can't complain about October snow :)

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