stuffradio Posted July 31, 2014 Report Share Posted July 31, 2014 The CFSv2 has a hot and drier than normal month of August for us. The models still have us being dry for at least the first week of August. Brett Anderson on Accuweather showed wetter weather in the Euro weeklies for August 11-17. We'll see about that. Hopefully the ridge strengthens and remains into September and October like Jesse said! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 31, 2014 Report Share Posted July 31, 2014 The CFSv2 has a hot and drier than normal month of August for us. The models still have us being dry for at least the first week of August. Brett Anderson on Accuweather showed wetter weather in the Euro weeklies for August 11-17. We'll see about that. Hopefully the ridge strengthens and remains into September and October like Jesse said! Agreed.No reason to rush into our 9-month crap season. That is what November is for around here. As soon as it turns nice... Jesse is begging for it to turn crappy again. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 1, 2014 Report Share Posted August 1, 2014 I TOO AM EXCITED ABOUT LOWER SIXTIES AND PARTLY SUNNY SKIES IN NOVEMBER. That would be spectacular. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted August 1, 2014 Author Report Share Posted August 1, 2014 That would be spectacular.I would especially be excited for temperatures to be in the mid to upper 70's in October for Canadian Thanksgiving! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted August 1, 2014 Report Share Posted August 1, 2014 Continues to look like a decent thunderstorm setup the next 2 or 3 days. Some fireworks tonight down in the OR Coast Range around Corvallis, more action tomorrow then the threat moves more into WA on Saturday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted August 1, 2014 Report Share Posted August 1, 2014 About 8 hours overnight of constant thunder. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted August 1, 2014 Report Share Posted August 1, 2014 Here is a link to photos from this morning. All were taken near Battle Ground, looking west. It was easily one of the best displays of lightning I've ever seen in western Washington! http://weathercrazy.smugmug.com/Weather/Lightning-Display-8114 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 1, 2014 Report Share Posted August 1, 2014 After the big cool down the second week of August, looks like we might finally warm up... Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 2, 2014 Report Share Posted August 2, 2014 After the big cool down the second week of August, looks like we might finally warm up... After most OR/WA locations just saw a top warm July, if not the warmest on record. Also most 90+ day in July records at SLE and EUG. But I'm sure you're actually right. I'm sure more heat is coming. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 2, 2014 Report Share Posted August 2, 2014 Had a nice lightning display near Mt. Adams last night btw. Looks like Vancouver saw a lot more, though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 2, 2014 Report Share Posted August 2, 2014 After most OR/WA locations just saw a top warm July, if not the warmest on record. Also most 90+ day in July records at SLE and EUG. But I'm sure you're actually right. I'm sure more heat is coming.Upsettedness notwithstanding, we haven't seen much of any full steam height builds this summer. One is likely to happen at some point. Better in mid August than during that precious ninth month of the year. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 2, 2014 Report Share Posted August 2, 2014 Upsettedness notwithstanding, we haven't seen much of any full steam height builds this summer. One is likely to happen at some point. Better in mid August than during that precious ninth month of the year. Nobody's upset. Just talking weather. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted August 2, 2014 Report Share Posted August 2, 2014 It was a great one!Had a nice lightning display near Mt. Adams last night btw. Looks like Vancouver saw a lot more, though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 2, 2014 Report Share Posted August 2, 2014 Nobody's upset. Just talking weather.Weather's been nice. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 2, 2014 Report Share Posted August 2, 2014 Looks like we hit a high of 89 out here today after a mild low of 65. Latest Euro weeklies show wetter conditions for us August 11-18, then hot the 18-25, then average. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted August 2, 2014 Report Share Posted August 2, 2014 Today is my 5th 90 degree day in a row...PDX has been around 89. Usually it's the other way around. 28th: 9229th: 9030th: 9031st: 931st: 90 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan the Weatherman Posted August 2, 2014 Report Share Posted August 2, 2014 Here is a link to photos from this morning. All were taken near Battle Ground, looking west. It was easily one of the best displays of lightning I've ever seen in western Washington! http://weathercrazy.smugmug.com/Weather/Lightning-Display-8114 Those are great lightning photos that you took and are really clear in detail! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted August 2, 2014 Report Share Posted August 2, 2014 Thanks! It was the perfect storm for photographing! About 6 miles away, out of the rain, and moving from left to right! Not only that, but it was spitting out bolts so regularly.Those are great lightning photos that you took and are really clear in detail! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 2, 2014 Report Share Posted August 2, 2014 Interesting morning in King County. Lots of lightning and small cells with heavy rain. And yet lots of sunshine as well. Too bad I am not home. Watching via web cams and radar and the lightning map. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted August 2, 2014 Report Share Posted August 2, 2014 Picked up 0.22" of rain yesterday with the thunderstorm activity. Ready for this unabated heat to end. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted August 2, 2014 Report Share Posted August 2, 2014 Interesting morning in King County. Lots of lightning and small cells with heavy rain. And yet lots of sunshine as well. Too bad I am not home. Watching via web cams and radar and the lightning map. On vacation? Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 2, 2014 Report Share Posted August 2, 2014 That is sexy. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 2, 2014 Report Share Posted August 2, 2014 On vacation?Yes... Minnesota. Perfect weather here as well. Highs around 80... dewpoint comfortable... sunny. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 2, 2014 Report Share Posted August 2, 2014 That is sexy.Guessing a massive ridge on 12Z run... have to check now. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 2, 2014 Report Share Posted August 2, 2014 Picked up 0.22" of rain yesterday with the thunderstorm activity. Ready for this unabated heat to end. Could not agree more. I think this summer's signature heat pattern is still ahead of us, though. Although probably not as extreme as the 12Z operational. You'd think after such a hot July we would be due for a cooler August. Especially considering it's been 14 years since we've seen one that is appreciably below average. C'est la vie. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 2, 2014 Report Share Posted August 2, 2014 Guessing a massive ridge on 12Z run... have to check now.Just a lil' guy. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 2, 2014 Report Share Posted August 2, 2014 Just a lil' guy. This could be the Pacific Ridge/Four Corners High merging you warned of. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 2, 2014 Report Share Posted August 2, 2014 This could be the Pacific Ridge/Four Corners High merging you warned of.Maybe... Might be a pattern breaker too if you're lucky. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 2, 2014 Report Share Posted August 2, 2014 Maybe... Might be a pattern breaker too if you're lucky.Right... I am hoping we end up with persistence. ECMWF is leaning that way. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted August 2, 2014 Report Share Posted August 2, 2014 Just had a thunderstorm form right over my house. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 2, 2014 Report Share Posted August 2, 2014 Just had a thunderstorm form right over my house.Seafair activities might be in question today if this keeps going. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 2, 2014 Report Share Posted August 2, 2014 Looks like the 12z operational was a bit of an outlier, but the ensemble mean does hit +20 now, after a short lived cool down next week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted August 2, 2014 Report Share Posted August 2, 2014 Seafair activities might be in question today if this keeps going.A couple cells are forming way south of Seattle. You might be right. But I'd rather hear thunder than airplane booms anyway. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 2, 2014 Report Share Posted August 2, 2014 Looks like the 12z operational was a bit of an outlier, but the ensemble mean does hit +20 now, after a short lived cool down next week.30c+ an outlier??? No way... Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted August 3, 2014 Report Share Posted August 3, 2014 Beautiful weather as of late. Just a little cloudy in the morning an then perfect the rest of the day and evening, highs have been between 75-80 here. Slight onshore flow equals great weather here, but I know a period of offshore flow is coming at some point, which is fine, some actual heat would be nice for a spell. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard mann Posted August 3, 2014 Report Share Posted August 3, 2014 This could be the Pacific Ridge/Four Corners High merging you warned of. http://theweatherforums.com/index.php?/topic/602-pacific-nw-august-2014-discussion/?p=30716 http://www.atmos.washington.edu/weather/sat.shtml The main colder air component of the current patterning is set to continue to slow its movement east, nearly fully stalled at this point. .. Lending to the idea of what Dewey had suggested being possible. http://theweatherforums.com/index.php?/topic/596-general-observations-noteworthy-generally/&do=findComment&comment=30730 @ Quote --- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 3, 2014 Report Share Posted August 3, 2014 EURO and GFS still seem to be at odds regarding pattern progression beyond day 7. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 3, 2014 Report Share Posted August 3, 2014 Made it to Kalispell from Seattle in 8 hours. Missed some thunderstorms in Sandpoint, but humid as all hell. What's in Kalispell? Absolutely love that area. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 3, 2014 Report Share Posted August 3, 2014 The entire Western US is basically on fire: http://inciweb.nwcg.gov/40/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 4, 2014 Report Share Posted August 4, 2014 Here's some useless knowledge as you head out for evening services... Since July 1, 2014, an impressively warm period for the region, PDX has had only 19 hourly observations of 90 degrees or better (8 of which came on 7-1). I would venture a guess this is significantly below average. For comparison, 2009 had 82 hours of 90+ hourly readings and even the nipple-hardening summer of 2010 featured 21 during said period. Interesting... What does it all mean???? 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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