bud2380 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Snow totals in eastern Iowa cut down dramatically, wow. Down to 6" in Iowa City. The lowest total the Euro has shown in days. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 A touch weaker in Nebraska as well but still great 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Finished with 7" this run. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Yuck, the euro has halved totals for us in 24 hours. Even with the wave last night considered. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Kuchera lol 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 43 minutes ago, jaster220 said: Congrats amigo! I bet it feels great to be in the game. Looks like I'll be waiting longer to get blue boxed. Had such hopes after early Euro runs like this one. Been trolled by that model way too much the past 3 seasons. Scared me there for a sec! 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Ok that's weird I never realized WxBell kuchera and Pivotal were different. Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Snowman Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Perhaps the most loaded set of ensembles I've ever seen for this far out (12z GEFS for Omaha) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 We can only hope models are too quickly weakening the storm as it moves east. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 3 minutes ago, snowstorm83 said: Ok that's weird I never realized WxBell kuchera and Pivotal were different. Just gonna comment on that! Wth! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 6" for mby now hmmmm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Looks like a tad more snowfall for mby. Jaster, you are in the 5-6inch range. Not too shabby. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 3 minutes ago, bud2380 said: We can only hope models are too quickly weakening the storm as it moves east. There is historical precedent for that, but I’m not about to rely on it. 1 Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 7 minutes ago, snowstorm83 said: Kuchera lol WOW 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 12z Euro 10:1 84 hours 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 The Euro actually moved nw with the snow shield, but the D**n thing weakens so quickly, yuck. The heavy band snakes around east-central IA. Cedar Rapids may be lucky to get 6" out of this. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 2 hours ago, Niko said: So far, my area is in store for a 3-6 inch event, which I will gladly approve. What?? The guy from NYC that complains about having seen only one "real winter" since moving to SEMI is happy for 3"? You can't continually hype big EC storms and then say you're happy with a few inches, lol. Personally I think a few inches from this is lame BS considering what this looked like a couple days ago. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 1 minute ago, jaster220 said: What?? The guy from NYC that complains about having seen only one "real winter" since moving to SEMI is happy for 3"? You can't continually hype big EC storms and then say you're happy with a few inches, lol. Personally I think a few inches from this is lame BS considering what this looked like a couple days ago. It sounds crazy amigo for accepting a 3-6" snowfall, but at this point the way this Winter has been going, my signature will sign for any accumulation heading our way. Think about this, we will at least use our snowblower and enjoy a nice, white snowcover w cold air following this storm. We have to accept what Ma Nature gives us at this point. Tbh, I think the real storms are waiting for Feb or March. Gotta have a little optimism somewhere in there.... Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 19 minutes ago, Niko said: Looks like a tad more snowfall for mby. Jaster, you are in the 5-6inch range. Not too shabby. If only. Unfortunately, the trend this winter for mby has been to under-perform what the models (at least the Operationals) have shown. The way some models are going, this will be a 2" deal when said and done, and barely come in as my biggest "storm" of the winter. What began looking like another version of GHD-2 is becoming the inverse of that historic storm where the Max is on the west end of the Sub and then declines heading eastward to our region. The only problem I have is the LR models blowing chunks and showing SMI buried 5 days out, only to verify at 2-4" amounts. I've said it before, this is ruining my enjoyment of this hobby and I may just give it up until there is a legit shift in the multi-year pattern back to favoring the lower Lakes. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, Niko said: It sounds crazy amigo for accepting a 3-6" snowfall, but at this point the way this Winter has been going, my signature will sign for any accumulation heading our way. Think about this, we will at least use our snowblower and enjoy a nice, white snowcover w cold air following this storm. We have to accept what Ma Nature gives us at this point. Tbh, I think the real storms are waiting for Feb or March. Gotta have a little optimism somewhere in there.... I get it, but you've actually had several decent snows. I've had nothing. Haven't even seen streets plowed. There has been zero "winter" here. I've never experienced this in Michigan, and I'm no youngster. But, carry on with your enthusiasm my friend. We will see if this can improve my mood or not. SR models are heading in the wrong direction in that dept, lol. I AM trying to make the best of a lousy situation believe it or not. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 1 minute ago, jaster220 said: If only. Unfortunately, the trend this winter for mby has been to under-perform what the models (at least the Operationals) have shown. The way some models are going, this will be a 2" deal when said and done, and barely come in as my biggest "storm" of the winter. What began looking like another version of GHD-2 is becoming the inverse of that historic storm where the Max is on the west end of the Sub and then declines heading eastward to our region. The only problem I have is the LR models blowing chunks and showing SMI buried 5 days out, only to verify at 2-4" amounts. I've said it before, this is ruining my enjoyment of this hobby and I may just give it up until there is a legit shift in the multi-year pattern back to favoring the lower Lakes. Actually, this is the best part of this hobby. Getting all hyped up, followed by disappointment or excitement. Also, what I like best is not knowing which follows of the 2. Dont let this storm get to ya. There is still plenty of Winter left. Keep hope alive amigo! Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 3 minutes ago, jaster220 said: I get it, but you've actually had several decent snows. I've had nothing. Haven't even seen streets plowed. There has been zero "winter" here. I've never experienced this in Michigan, and I'm no youngster. But, carry on with your enthusiasm my friend. We will see if this can improve my mood or not. SR models are heading in the wrong direction in that dept, lol. I AM trying to make the best of a lousy situation believe it or not. Think big. I have a strong feeling you will get the "Big One" soon. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Been a very long time since we have seen probabilities this high holy smokes. Record breaking for some areas if it comes to fruition. 7 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 55 minutes ago, Bryan1117 said: Things are looking really good for Omaha and Lincoln... this looks to be the type of Winter storm system that we have all been waiting several years for. One thing that is going to be a big bonus with this storm is that the heaviest snow will be falling during the day time hours. Rooting for ya buddy...hope you exceed a foot. 1 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Today's wave fired-up just too late for here per usual this winter, leaving another "few tenths" snow fall. Looks like just east in Jackson could score another 2" amount. Has been a crap unlucky pattern here with grazings in every direction similar to the qpf donut hole treatment for Marshall two summers ago. We were an island of dried and shriveled corn stalks later that August. No way to sugar-coat, this sucks. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 4 minutes ago, Niko said: Think big. I have a strong feeling you will get the "Big One" soon. I don't "feel it" for this season unless it wants to do it later in March or something silly like that. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 How does the EPS look? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 4 minutes ago, gabel23 said: Been a very long time we have seen probabilities this high holy smokes. Record breaking for some areas if it comes to fruition. I'm Niobrara, lol 3 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 3 minutes ago, jaster220 said: Today's wave fired-up just too late for here per usual this winter, leaving another "few tenths" snow fall. Looks like just east in Jackson could score another 2" amount. Has been a crap unlucky pattern here with grazings in every direction similar to the qpf donut hole treatment for Marshall two summers ago. We were an island of dried and shriveled corn stalks later that August. No way to sugar-coat, this sucks. Its snowing here nicely attm. They are expecting 1-2" b4 all set and done. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 @TomYou are locked in for a 6-12" event. Enjoy it! Looks like its been awhile for Chicago, if I am not mistaken. Btw: have you noticed that heavier amts of precip have been trended more east........ 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 10 minutes ago, james1976 said: How does the EPS look? 1 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Every GEFS (30) and EPS (51) member has at least 6" in Lincoln. That's about as solid as it gets. 5 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post snowstorm83 Posted January 24, 2021 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Warning just updated saying 8-14" now. Buckle up Nebraska boys! 6 2 2 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Just now, snowstorm83 said: Warning just updated saying 8-14" now. Buckle up Nebraska boys! Good Luck - hope this thing delivers for you guys 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 15z RAP looks a little better in eastern Iowa. Brings the 12" line right up to the I380 corridor or thereabouts. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 The 18z HRRR is even worse for Cedar Rapids than the Euro. It's down to only 0.43" precip. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 18z HRRR 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Latest graphic from DMX 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 18z NAM is gonna be big 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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