Grizzcoat Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Even the outside chance of the Golden Ruler--- 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Love this tune from Black Sabbath-- al lot like looking at models - "Heaven or Hell"-- ( damned if your wrong , damned if your right) and top ten Heavy Mental riffs of all time imo--- the closer you get to the meaning - the sooner you know your dreaming"--- so true in weather forecasting and climate. 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Lincoln smoked by the GFS for the first run. Also upped to 8-12” from OAX. Looks like everything is falling into place, just a few more model runs to go before radar time. 3 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 2 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FV-Mike Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Excited for N IL first bigger storm of the year. Neb and S IA looks golden. Interesting note from LOT on ratios in this morning afd Forecast soundings indicate a bit better spatiotemporal overlap of the deeper ascent within the DGZ on Monday afternoon/evening than previous iterations. The result was a jump in Cobb ratio output towards 13-15:1. At the same time, though, thermal profiles will still be rather warm, with a deep saturated layer hugging -1 to -8 C which tends to support a larger degree of riming which would cut down on ratios. Did nudge our ratios up a smidge for Monday afternoon/evening closer to 11-12:1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Would be nice to score some nice ratios. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 06z euro back N. 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 LNK bullseyed...oof. Kuchera pushing 2 feet of course but here's 10:1 4 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Wow DVNs AFD was pathetic. You would barely know there is a major winter storm coming through. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dubuque473 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 1 Quote Dubuque 2007-2008 Winter 78.1" Total snowfall February Snowfall 32.5" City salt usage : 12,211 tons Days of measurable snow : 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
centralweather44 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 19 minutes ago, snowstorm83 said: LNK bullseyed...oof. Kuchera pushing 2 feet of course but here's 10:1 What time do most models have the snow starting around Lincoln. Channel 8 last night showed it starting around 1am, while 10/11 showed it starting at 7am. Quite a wide range. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 12z HRRR really cut down on totals in eastern Iowa. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 3 minutes ago, centralweather44 said: What time do most models have the snow starting around Lincoln. Channel 8 last night showed it starting around 1am, while 10/11 showed it starting at 7am. Quite a wide range. Models have maybe light snow or freezing drizzle after midnight but no accumulating snow until around 6/7 am. Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 12z nam is south initially Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Finished wave 1 with 5” of fresh powder. Not bad at all. Good luck to all in play with wave 2! 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 While we wait on the NAM, here’s 2 gif maps from the 12z HRRR: 4 Quote ...The Artist Formerly Known as RJSnowLover... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 7 minutes ago, jcwxguy said: 12z nam is south Yeah if that verfied much of that warning in the central Nebraska region would be a huge bust. Omaha/Lincoln still get 10-11". I guess a good way to tell we're golden is even big cutbacks like that still bury us lol. 2 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 1.9” of snow here overnight. 7” - 15” in my NWS point forecast from the Monday system. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Geez that's a solid 2 rows of counties south on the 3k compared to 6z.... Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 LNK 9z SREF mean 11.1" through 6 am Tuesday. 13.4" by Wednesday. For Monday it's mostly clusted in the 8-13" range. 3 outliers each less than 5" and greater than 15". OMA mean is 10.2". I wouldn't sweat the NAM too much. Holdrege: 7" DSM: 10.5" CID: 7.6" Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 4 minutes ago, snowstorm83 said: LNK 9z SREF mean 11.1" through 6 am Tuesday. 13.4" by Wednesday. For Monday it's mostly clusted in the 8-13" range. 3 outliers each less than 5" and greater than 15". OMA mean is 10.2". I wouldn't sweat the NAM too much. Holdrege: 7" DSM: 10.5" CID: 7.6" NAM seems off. Throws snow way out to the panhandle. I’ll look for trends later this morning Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Ouch I hope the nam is smoking something.... that would hurt my area. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 24, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 26 minutes ago, Sciascia said: While we wait on the NAM, here’s 2 gif maps from the 12z HRRR: The lake may be our friend...finally...been waiting a longgg time for this! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 NAM really dries up in eastern Iowa. Still a solid 8” but totals still dropped significantly 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Nam starts sucking amounts down in eastern Iowa 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Rgem coming in hot 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Jim flowers has been detailing this storm like crazy and the model shift play into what he was been discussing. Going to be a fun one to watch and experience. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dubuque473 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Maybe 2” overnight... 2 Quote Dubuque 2007-2008 Winter 78.1" Total snowfall February Snowfall 32.5" City salt usage : 12,211 tons Days of measurable snow : 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dubuque473 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 19 hours ago, Grizzcoat said: Don't mean to hijack the thread, but Airens are very good. More solid frame in 2 stage. Stay away from tank tracks. Airens is good stuff. I have a Toro, 10 years old and counting! 1 Quote Dubuque 2007-2008 Winter 78.1" Total snowfall February Snowfall 32.5" City salt usage : 12,211 tons Days of measurable snow : 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 RGEM still awesome for my area. Full run. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 RDPS continues the drying trend in eastern Iowa. Significantly lower totals than 6z and 00z runs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
indianajohn Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 50 minutes ago, Tom said: The lake may be our friend...finally...been waiting a longgg time for this! @Tom Finally is right!! Last few years everything has been either north or south of me. What are the chances this overproduces? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Gfs looking good Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 OMA/LNK 14-15" bullseye, and that's on 10:1. Not sure how I feel about having the GFS on my side lmao 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Gfs 3 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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