Tom Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 00z GGEM...deduct 1-2" in N IL bc it looks like it would be a mix situation... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildWisconsinWeather Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 00z GGEM...deduct 1-2" in N IL bc it looks like it would be a mix situation... Seems to be pretty good agreement at this point for much of the SE half of Wisconsin on 3-5", probably more like 2-4 or 3-4" around Milwaukee on south. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
educatorjen Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 I hate Omaha. We moved here (From Georgia...we were there for 8 years and I am originally from Florida) 4 years ago. I remember asking the one person I knew who lived here when we found out that we would be moving here if Omaha got a lot of snow and she told me yes and sent me pictures of copious amounts of snow and told me stories about a lot of snow. Well, apparently.....my mere presence in Omaha has made it stop snowing... I THINK I like snow...but...I don't think I have seen enough to KNOW if I like snow. **Rant over. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
educatorjen Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 Will the ratios be 10:1? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
centralweather44 Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 Main band of snow took a big shift to the SE after NW shifts for the majority of the day. Crazy how many times models can flip flop within a day. It was fun while it lasted at least Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
educatorjen Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 It would be fun if it actually snowed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 Another weak sauce snow system. I bet the next one turns out even weaker. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 Yeah there's nothing left in our favor. The Canadian was one of the best looking models for our snow amount chances. Bring on the 1/2-1" amounts again Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 Will the ratios be 10:1? More than likely higher for your area.If you get snow it will be fluffy. Could be 20:1 out that way. --- Yeah Para-GFS has definitely swung south a bit. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 On to the next! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 Lol look at the euro. Another nothing to see here storm . still waiting Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 00z Euro...lol, what a difference 12 hours of model runs today...from a major winter storm in IA/WI to absolutely nada...insanity. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 Talk about Thundersnow from DSM, to now no snow at all??? This is just crazy the way models are behaving this season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 F this...big storm going nw to no storm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 Low near Ohio border And 850 above zero in Chicago. Another crap storm. Crap pattern Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 LOL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 Was the northern stream being sampled in the 0z runs tonight? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 00z Euro showing some backside snows only for Chicago...maybe a couple inches tops... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 Was the northern stream being sampled in the 0z runs tonight?Partial. Better at 12z Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 Was the northern stream being sampled in the 0z runs tonight?It's just beginning to come onshore tonight. I'd wait till tomorrow 12z to be fully sampled. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 Looks like Chicago area will have to deal with some freezing precip. What a crappy winter. Watch January turn out like December snow wise. Wait until that big clipper hits us with a inch next week. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 unreal. never seen such a big switch one way or the other this close. makes one wonder why we even look at 48+ hours out on snowfall data. Feel like the Cubs-- always next year as even this year looks very bleak even this early. 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 6z runs suck real bad too. Cant get a real storm here. It must be impossible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dubuque473 Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 Down to 1-3 inches here with 40mph gusts... Quote Dubuque 2007-2008 Winter 78.1" Total snowfall February Snowfall 32.5" City salt usage : 12,211 tons Days of measurable snow : 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 To bad for the iowa folks looked real good until the Nebraska peeps put the dome on. Maybe will set a record for least amount of snow this winter. Cheers for an early spring with some moisture! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trinomial Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 I would not doubt this changes again with the 00z runs later tonight. This year, you can't believe a model until about 12 hours before the storm actually hits - At least it seems that way lately. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 I would not doubt this changes again with the 00z runs later tonight. This year, you can't believe a model until about 12 hours before the storm actually hits - At least it seems that way lately.Once they go back to strung out leas phasing they have stayed there though Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 HI-res NAM back to a stronger solution. lol - trust nothing. http://i.imgur.com/u4FzDz9.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 Hi-res NAM including actual ratios: http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam4km/2015010212/nam4km_asnow_us_17.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 Very sloppy storm on the way. I'm suppose to get 1 to 2 inches of snowfall, followed by freezing rain and sleet for a couple of hours and finally plain rain. Im glad it will rain, so that it can wash away the ice accumulation. Ugh....what a messy storm! Should be excited to track though. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 Thinking the models were over doing the strength of the system yesterday and pushing it to the NW. Now we've got a south trending waves. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 Man, this is just crazy how wild the swings have been on the model runs for this storm as well as the last one. If this southeast trend continues then a lot of areas that were supposed to see snow a couple days ago might be shutout. Heck, Chicago was expecting mostly rain and now it could be possible we could get a few inches out of this. I know the Mets are probably pulling their hair out again trying to figure out what the heck is going to happen. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lcp Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 Thinking the models were over doing the strength of the system yesterday and pushing it to the NW. Now we've got a south trending waves. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfsp/2015010212/gfsp_asnow_eus_11.png First time poster, long time lurker. Seems common, models move 2-3 days out only to come back to their original spot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dubuque473 Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 http://tswails.com/uploads/2015/01/1-storm-night.jpg ediT: I think he posted this before the shift to the east overnight.... Quote Dubuque 2007-2008 Winter 78.1" Total snowfall February Snowfall 32.5" City salt usage : 12,211 tons Days of measurable snow : 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 12z Gem show a good front end thump and a nice band with the 2nd wave. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seahawkfan Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 Depending on the Modal run/Time of day i expect to get some where between 2-8 inches. This will be a fun storm to track see what we end up with by Sunday am. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 12z Euro took a slight shift SE and now takes the SLP up towards E IN...the first map on the Euro I'm posting is probably freezing rain/mix, then a secondary wave develops on the Euro bringing accumulating snows for E IA/N IL/S WI/MI...best guess is maybe 2-4" for N IL/S WI. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 12z Euro... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 It the SE trend continues, I might be looking at more snow than mix that goes to rain. That goes true for the Chicago area too. I believe this storm might have major surprises ahead. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott26 Posted January 2, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 12z Euro took a slight shift SE and now takes the SLP up towards E IN...the first map on the Euro I'm posting is probably freezing rain/mix, then a secondary wave develops on the Euro bringing accumulating snows for E IA/N IL/S WI/MI...best guess is maybe 2-4" for N IL/S WI.Yup, 850's don't get below zero until hour 42 so anything before that is likely a rain/mix. 2-4 inches would probably be right based on that run. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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