Gradient Keeper Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 Just now, snow_wizard said: Teleconnection forecasts on the latest GEFS are excellent. EPO and PNA both tanking nicely. Encouraging. 12z ECMWF in 10 hours 59 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 1 hour ago, Fircrest said: Speaking of movies, we just finished The Aeronauts on Prime Video. Pretty entertaining and actually has quite a bit of meteorology in it. I'll have to check it out, just got done with Ozark.....that was one twisted show.....and I am trying to find something a little lighter. Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 When you think about it retrogressions are totally counterintuitive with the prevailing westerly flow at the mid latitudes of the northern hemisphere, and yet they happen pretty frequently in the winter. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 LOL!! While looking for Aeronauts and came across "the Hungover Games." Considering spoof movies like Blazing Saddles and Spaceballs are among my favorites, I might have to give that one a watch. Has anyone here watched it? Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 Take the Fast-n-Furious movies. You know what you're going to get with all of them, predictable, but The Rock is even awful in movies he is suitable for. LOL Anyhow 00z GFS in 20 hours 44 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 Just now, Chewbacca Defense said: LOL!! While looking for Aeronauts and came across "the Hungover Games." Considering spoof movies like Blazing Saddles and Spaceballs are among my favorites, I might have to give that one a watch. Has anyone here watched it? Blazing Saddles is a classic as is Spaceballs. Lately I've been watching movies like Tombstone, Magnificent 7 12z NAM in 6 hours 42 minutes 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said: LOL!! While looking for Aeronauts and came across "the Hungover Games." Considering spoof movies like Blazing Saddles and Spaceballs are among my favorites, I might have to give that one a watch. Has anyone here watched it? It's bad enough to be funny, I enjoyed it drinking beer!! 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 If you think about how active December was it's kind of crazy how the tap shut off quickly around January 6th with a few shots of rain after. It happens though. I've still managed 6.56" of rain so far for the month. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 Supertroopers? 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 11 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Take the Fast-n-Furious movies. You know what you're going to get with all of them, predictable, but The Rock is even awful in movies he is suitable for. LOL Anyhow 00z GFS in 20 hours 44 minutes Being a car guy I can't stomach those movies, so fake it's not fun for me to watch. Nicholas cage is also a horrible actor but I like his movies still. 3 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 Euro is stuck, but I'm guessing there is nothing exciting. Here in the Washington lowlands, we are 6 years due for once in a decade windstorm. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 3:10 to Yuma and Cinderella man. 2 great movies. 2 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 EURO just finished and it's trying to go places folks! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 We’re getting some light rain but probably won’t be enough to be measurable before midnight. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 3 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: EURO just finished and it's trying to go places folks! Sort of. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 Euro still likes the idea of some people north of Everett getting some snow. Also a decent mountain snow pattern. 4 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Loniu7 Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 52 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Really odd that people are calling Roadhouse a horrible movie. It's actually quite popular and highly rated. It's the best terrible b movie for Swayze, along with Point Break lol 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 54 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I'm telling you guys what just happened on the East Coast bodes well for us. When that happens with a Nina it's our turn next. The extreme amplification over the GOA being shown on the GFS is probably onto something. Hopefully the GFS isn’t way off again. I’ll wait for some confirmation from the higher scoring models like the EPS and GEPS. A couple weeks back The GFS was pretty bullish on things getting cold right about now. R 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 00z ECMWF full run (Day 1-10) wait for it.... wait for it.... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 00z ECMWF 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals.... Welcome back, La Nina Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 3 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 00z ECMWF full run (Day 1-10) wait for it.... wait for it.... I guess I'll be more interested in the EPS tonight. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 The Other Guys 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 1 minute ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: I guess I'll be more interested in the EPS tonight. Same here. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 9 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Same here. Last part of EPS 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 1 minute ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Last part of EPS Not the worst I've seen. It's trying. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 Models look to be in good agreement on a very deep trough over the NW Pacific by Feb 10 or so. From there things should fall into place for a nice trough over the NW. 2 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 With a solid cold trough in early Feb and a possible cold wave by mid month we COULD be looking at a chilly month. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 Amazing. I was just looking at the temperature ranks for the Puget Sound Lowlands for Nov - Jan and 1939-40 still stands as the warmest on record at least since 1895 for that three month period. As has been pointed out before that late 1937 through 1942 period was at least as bad as anything seen recently. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 1 hour ago, DJ Droppin said: Supertroopers? Hell yes!! Sequel is good too!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 32F and clear. Freeze #18 for Springfield. Very pleasant night. 3 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 11 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: 32F and clear. Freeze #18 for Springfield. Very pleasant night. Wow...an actually normal amount for this point in the season. 1 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Wow...an actually normal amount for this point in the season. Was nice to catch back up. We should be good for more cooler than average months this year. Hopefully fewer fires. 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 The cooler than average Summer ahead is going to be nice, refreshing. 1 1 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 37 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Was nice to catch back up. We should be good for more cooler than average months this year. Hopefully fewer fires. After March it will be tenuous to stay cool. Hopefully it actually rains this spring...looking at you, April... 3 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 I've heard musings before that a wet spring followed by a dry summer is the worst outcome because of excess burn material...but ultimately bad fire seasons are contingent on summer weather. A cooler summer will always keep relative fire risk lower, no matter the antecedent plant conditions. Of course all it takes is one bad fire weather pattern (a la Sept 2020) to burn a city to the ground, but on the whole the risk is limited if it stays cool. I can't tell if we are legitimately due for a "cool summer" or if the trendline is rising so fast it's noticeably changing on 2-5 year increments.... Given how starkly the last decade of hot summers sticks out from even the AGW trendline, I'd imagine it's a healthy mix of both truths. Summers like 2015 and 2021 will become increasingly common, and summers will continue to warm as we've seen them do already, but other parts of the country have seen distinctly cool summer months in the 2012-2021 timeframe; albeit at a much lowered frequency, but they've happened nonetheless. In my opinion the PNW really is due for a notably chilly summer, but it will likely be an isolated event, perhaps only covering a large portion of the season, and will promptly be followed by more torching the following year. And to note... I have no idea when or if this would occur. It could be this upcoming season, or in 2033. I don't know. 2 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clancy MT DW9972 Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 9 hours ago, MossMan said: "I thought you would be bigger." 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted January 30, 2022 Author Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 Beautiful sunrise 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 CFS was lordly for the end of the month. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 9 hours ago, snow_wizard said: I'm telling you guys what just happened on the East Coast bodes well for us. When that happens with a Nina it's our turn next. The extreme amplification over the GOA being shown on the GFS is probably onto something. I agree and I’m ready for my second portion of winter! February will not fail us 🌨 41* Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 30, 2022 Report Share Posted January 30, 2022 Did Phil post any cool pics from yesterday? Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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