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December 6-16 LES and Clipper Train now boarding at the GL's platform!

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#351
Money

Posted 13 December 2017 - 05:36 AM

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....so fading....lol


Yeah took a jog north the last second

Appleton/GB look good

#352
Niko

Posted 13 December 2017 - 06:01 AM

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The snow fall has now picked up in intensity it is close to moderate in intensity  and with a temperature of 19° the snow will not have a problem acclaiming on both the ground and untreated roads (even treated roads will become snow covered) I know some areas near the lake received a good amount of snow yesterday but here in Grand Rapids the official amount was reported at just a trace. In Muskegon they reported just over a half inch at .6” and in the center of the state Lansing had just under a half inch coming in a .4”  Today there will be much more snow that that. 

Get that snowblower ready! ;)

6-12 inches looking likely.



#353
Niko

Posted 13 December 2017 - 06:03 AM

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HRRR gets this down to a 989mb Clipper just south of Jaster's place!  That is pretty darn strong and I could see some pretty intense banding already in place across MN/WI which should pivot just right for MI peeps.  

 

As for MBY, the window of opportunity comes from LES starting around 10:00pm and lasting till about 3:00am for NE IL.  Latest HRRR showing some bands of LES developing later tonight.

 

hrrr_ref_frzn_ncus_17.png

This will be a great storm. Accumulations in the order of 6-12 looking very likely and locked in. :D :ph34r:

 

Hope you can win out at least some LES. Good luck on that!


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#354
Tom

Posted 13 December 2017 - 06:12 AM

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This will be a great storm. Accumulations in the order of 6-12 looking very likely and locked in. :D :ph34r:

 

Hope you can win out at least some LES. Good luck on that!

I'm not holding my breath but it would be nice to cover the grass tips...LOL....of which, will probably all melt by the weekend anyway.  MI is in the prime spot right now for the next 5 days until around the Solstice period things getting more interesting the farther west you go.



#355
Madtown

Posted 13 December 2017 - 06:15 AM

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....still buying Tom, but first it was the 5th then the 16th, now the 21st ish. Hope it works, but the snow deficit grows up to about 10" below normal now.

#356
Snowshoe

Posted 13 December 2017 - 06:16 AM

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Yeah took a jog north the last second

Appleton/GB look good

 

Disappointing but not unexpected. Holding out hope for 2".


Wisconsin_Rapids.gif


#357
Niko

Posted 13 December 2017 - 06:21 AM

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I'm not holding my breath but it would be nice to cover the grass tips...LOL....of which, will probably all melt by the weekend anyway.  MI is in the prime spot right now for the next 5 days until around the Solstice period things getting more interesting the farther west you go.

Probably even beyond that as my extended shows snowy weather even b4 Solstice period and on into Christmas day. There will have to be a storm to watch on that timeframe.



#358
Niko

Posted 13 December 2017 - 06:25 AM

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Winter Storm Warning
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
344 AM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

...Heavy Snow To Impact The Evening Commute...

MIZ047-053-060>062-068>070-075-076-131645-
/O.UPG.KDTX.WS.A.0002.171213T1500Z-171214T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.WS.W.0001.171213T1500Z-171214T0500Z/
Midland-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer-Livingston-Oakland-
Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-
Including the cities of Midland, Saginaw, Owosso, Flint, Lapeer,
Howell, Pontiac, Warren, Ann Arbor, and Detroit
344 AM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Plan on difficult travel conditions,
  including during the evening commute. Total snow accumulations
  of 5 to 8 inches are expected with locally higher amounts
  possible. Snowfall rates this afternoon reaching an inch per
  hour or greater.

* WHERE...Midland, Saginaw, Shiawassee, Genesee, Lapeer,
  Livingston, Oakland, Macomb, Washtenaw and Wayne Counties.

* WHEN...From 10 AM this morning to midnight EST tonight. Peak
  snowfall rates in the late afternoon hours.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for visiblities approaching a
  quarter mile at times. Roads will be snow covered and very
  difficult to travel on. If you must travel this afternoon and
  evening, expect a much longer and stressful commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected. If you must travel, keep an extra
flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an
emergency.


#359
Tom

Posted 13 December 2017 - 06:36 AM

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....still buying Tom, but first it was the 5th then the 16th, now the 21st ish. Hope it works, but the snow deficit grows up to about 10" below normal now.


What do you mean?? Are you referring to potential systems to track for YBY? If so, I was always a believer the 4th/5th Blitz to be a hard cutter, the 16th-18th to track NW of Chi (but may actually be right over head) and the Winter Solstice storm to be more of a player farther south. We’ll see how it goes from here.

#360
Madtown

Posted 13 December 2017 - 06:45 AM

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Not just for Mby. Not referring to specific storms either. Northern WI got off to a quick start in Nov, but not enough snow to even open trails yet. Mich is scoring big, but outside of there pretty blah as we head into mid to late December. For what was supposed to be an above avg snow year for 90% of Wisco, there is no way we make up a 10" difference (mby) and pull ahead to above avg. numbers

#361
jaster220

Posted 13 December 2017 - 06:45 AM

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GRR missed the mark today and in the areas that had the WSW there were school closings based on the warning and guess what? much of the area had sunny skies today. 

 

Well, Marshall schools were closed along with about (20) others that got hit with the WWA snows Monday eve/night as the county roads turned to ice after they got plowed and the remaining bit of snow melted then re-froze with the plunge of temps. GRR under-plays synoptic snow events for their inland counties, and over-play the LES events for their backyard on west to the lake. LES can come down very intensely, like I drove thru last evening, but it is almost always a very dry fluffy snow that's much easier to navigate. While synoptic snow is usually more wet/dense and take much less of it to cause travel issues/slide-offs/impassable back roads, etc. Also, like today's storm, when the snow is covering a large area, you can't just drive out of it after a county or two, so the real danger for travelers is far worse by miles driven. I know first hand how this goes. 

 

GRR is honestly up there with some of the worst WFOs in the country. Seen a significant line of mistakes from them over the past 3 years, far more than any other office. I get that its LES, but MQT and DTX do not have these terrible verification issues.

 

Horrible as noted above..that office needs some new blood or management or something to shake it up. For mby in Marshall, I almost always have to lean on IWX's disco and forecast for the two counties south of me in order to get "the rest of the story" on an impending storm. Was discussed in the SMI forum that GRR hates issuing a watch unless it's cut and dried foot of snow on every model run after run. Another thing they fail to  understand for their non-LES belt region is that even a quick-hitting 4-6" like is forecasted today is a major deal for those peeps who don't drive in the LES all the time. 


Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#362
jaster220

Posted 13 December 2017 - 06:47 AM

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Winter Storm Warning

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
344 AM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

...Heavy Snow To Impact The Evening Commute...

MIZ047-053-060>062-068>070-075-076-131645-
/O.UPG.KDTX.WS.A.0002.171213T1500Z-171214T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.WS.W.0001.171213T1500Z-171214T0500Z/
Midland-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer-Livingston-Oakland-
Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-
Including the cities of Midland, Saginaw, Owosso, Flint, Lapeer,
Howell, Pontiac, Warren, Ann Arbor, and Detroit
344 AM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Plan on difficult travel conditions,
  including during the evening commute. Total snow accumulations
  of 5 to 8 inches are expected with locally higher amounts
  possible. Snowfall rates this afternoon reaching an inch per
  hour or greater.

* WHERE...Midland, Saginaw, Shiawassee, Genesee, Lapeer,
  Livingston, Oakland, Macomb, Washtenaw and Wayne Counties.

* WHEN...From 10 AM this morning to midnight EST tonight. Peak
  snowfall rates in the late afternoon hours.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for visiblities approaching a
  quarter mile at times. Roads will be snow covered and very
  difficult to travel on. If you must travel this afternoon and
  evening, expect a much longer and stressful commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected. If you must travel, keep an extra
flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an
emergency.

 

:D  :D  :D  Sweet!  Have fun man, you're locked-n-loaded to have #winterfuntime  :lol:


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Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#363
jaster220

Posted 13 December 2017 - 06:51 AM

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HRRR gets this down to a 989mb Clipper just south of Jaster's place!  That is pretty darn strong and I could see some pretty intense banding already in place across MN/WI which should pivot just right for MI peeps.  

 

As for MBY, the window of opportunity comes from LES starting around 10:00pm and lasting till about 3:00am for NE IL.  Latest HRRR showing some bands of LES developing later tonight.

 

hrrr_ref_frzn_ncus_17.png

 

HRRR has backed off a few mb's and it may be just as well, don't want this tracking on top of me, that's never a good scenario. Looking like it will be more of an evening "thumper" style system, which is horrible for my commute time, but actually my fave kind of storm. Puts the most snow on the roads to be plowed into banks. The slow grinder events just get salted and traffic trampled away, especially along the over-crowded 94. 


Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#364
Niko

Posted 13 December 2017 - 06:59 AM

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:D  :D  :D  Sweet!  Have fun man, you're locked-n-loaded to have #winterfuntime  :lol:

Thanks buddy! :D :ph34r:



#365
Niko

Posted 13 December 2017 - 07:06 AM

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Future radar looks beautiful. Long duration of snow.

 

Current conditions: cloudy and frigid. Temp @ 18F. Snow should start soon. Will work from my homeoffice today and enjoy this snowstorm. :)

 

Btw: I will post some pics tomorrow on here!



#366
Tom

Posted 13 December 2017 - 07:06 AM

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Not just for Mby. Not referring to specific storms either. Northern WI got off to a quick start in Nov, but not enough snow to even open trails yet. Mich is scoring big, but outside of there pretty blah as we head into mid to late December. For what was supposed to be an above avg snow year for 90% of Wisco, there is no way we make up a 10" difference (mby) and pull ahead to above avg. numbers


Understood. It only takes 1 storm to get to average and it’s on the table to close out the month. Numerous chances of wintry systems as we approach Christmas and prob so the last week of the month.
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#367
LNK_Weather

Posted 13 December 2017 - 07:10 AM

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Oof. The NAmily has the rain/snow line on my county for tomorrow.


>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 10/14 (3.5"), 11/17 (2.6"), 11/25 (3.6"), 12/1-2 (3.0")

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK: 13.7"             Coldest Low: 6*F

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/14/2018 @ 7:01 AM CDT       

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 6 (Last: 9/20/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 5 (Last: 9/20/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 9 (Last: 9/20/2018)


#368
james1976

Posted 13 December 2017 - 07:12 AM

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Gettin windy! Im in a wind advisory today. 50mph gusts on the table!

#369
jaster220

Posted 13 December 2017 - 07:35 AM

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Per ASOS unit, been snowing in Marshall for the past two hours. Radar looks like a heavier band about to set-up over my place on the SE side of town..

 

Attached File  20171213 1030am SMI radar.PNG   66.13KB   2 downloads


Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#370
Niko

Posted 13 December 2017 - 07:40 AM

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Per ASOS unit, been snowing in Marshall for the past two hours. Radar looks like a heavier band about to set-up over my place on the SE side of town..

 

attachicon.gif20171213 1030am SMI radar.PNG

Man, look at all that moisture. Dang! Loaded!



#371
jaster220

Posted 13 December 2017 - 07:44 AM

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You can really see where Monday's narrow defo-band left it's mark across SMI. Jackson west to Kzoo is a solid 4" depth, then it prolly doubles in the peak area 15 miles west of Kzoo and is 6+ all the way to St. Joe thanks to Saturday's LES storm

 

Attached File  20171213am_Great_Lakes_SN_depth.jpg   88.1KB   0 downloads


Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#372
Niko

Posted 13 December 2017 - 07:44 AM

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Snow has begun in my neck of the woods. Let the party begin! :)



#373
Niko

Posted 13 December 2017 - 07:55 AM

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Jaster

 

Are you in a WWA or WSW?



#374
Niko

Posted 13 December 2017 - 07:56 AM

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You can really see where Monday's narrow defo-band left it's mark across SMI. Jackson west to Kzoo is a solid 4" depth, then it prolly doubles in the peak area 15 miles west of Kzoo and is 6+ all the way to St. Joe thanks to Saturday's LES storm

 

attachicon.gif20171213am_Great_Lakes_SN_depth.jpg

Clearly defines where that axis was. No question about it.



#375
jaster220

Posted 13 December 2017 - 08:07 AM

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Jaster

 

Are you in a WWA or WSW?

 

A solid WWA, but a bit concerned with the short-term models bumping north. GRR giving me 4-6 while IWX's map looks more like 3-5", so you could call it 4. If things trend a bit south, could do better. Clippers are 50% nowcast.. ;)


Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#376
Niko

Posted 13 December 2017 - 08:27 AM

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A solid WWA, but a bit concerned with the short-term models bumping north. GRR giving me 4-6 while IWX's map looks more like 3-5", so you could call it 4. If things trend a bit south, could do better. Clippers are 50% nowcast.. ;)

Yup......Looks like you will be south of the really heavy snow. Still, you will get some appreciable snows. ;)



#377
Niko

Posted 13 December 2017 - 08:32 AM

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Looks like snow totals are increasing........

 

Per TWC:

 

WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... * WHAT... HEAVY SNOW. PLAN ON DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS, INCLUDING DURING THE EVENING COMMUTE. WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION OF 5 TO 7 INCHES WITH A BAND OF 6 TO 9 INCHES POSSIBLE. SNOWFALL RATES WILL EXCEED 1 INCH PER HOUR BETWEEN 3PM AND 7PM AND WILL OCCASIONALLY REACH 2 INCHES PER HOUR. * WHERE... MIDLAND, SAGINAW, SHIAWASSEE, GENESEE, LAPEER, LIVINGSTON, OAKLAND, MACOMB, WASHTENAW AND WAYNE COUNTIES.


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#378
james1976

Posted 13 December 2017 - 08:56 AM

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Wind just knocked out the power for a minute at my work. Came back on though. Its windy and cloudy!
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#379
Niko

Posted 13 December 2017 - 09:09 AM

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ABC_weather3_171213KA_16x9_608.jpg

 

6-10" for SEMI now looking very likely. Numbers just keep increasing. Wow!


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#380
westMJim

Posted 13 December 2017 - 09:21 AM

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The snow has stopped here. The wind has picked up (east wind) so far only 1.5" of new snow and now have a total of 4.7" on the ground. 



#381
Niko

Posted 13 December 2017 - 09:28 AM

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The snow has stopped here. The wind has picked up (east wind) so far only 1.5" of new snow and now have a total of 4.7" on the ground. 

You are in a temporary dry slot. It will fill in soon.


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#382
Niko

Posted 13 December 2017 - 10:05 AM

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Snow is really coming down now in a good clip. :)



#383
jaster220

Posted 13 December 2017 - 10:10 AM

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Recent update from GRR

 

 

 

Hazardous weather will develop today, especially this afternoon and evening as heavy snow sweeps through the area. Some locations near and north of Interstate 96 will receive 5 to 8 inches. Lesser amounts are expected towards I-94. The snow is associated with a fast moving clipper system. Snowfall will reach rates of an inch per hour this afternoon and evening. Most areas will see a hazardous evening commute home from work and school. If travelling this afternoon and evening expect slower travel speeds, slick roads and poor visibility.

 

Indeed max total "lolly pops" have increased, but SW area has been trimmed back a bit. 

 

Latest..

 

Attached File  20171213 GRR pm snowfall graphic.jpg   255.72KB   1 downloads

 

This morning..

 

Attached File  20171213 GRR am snowfall graphic.jpg   238.42KB   0 downloads


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Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#384
Niko

Posted 13 December 2017 - 10:19 AM

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Recent update from GRR

 

 

Indeed max total "lolly pops" have increased, but SW area has been trimmed back a bit. 

 

Latest..

 

attachicon.gif20171213 GRR pm snowfall graphic.jpg

 

This morning..

 

attachicon.gif20171213 GRR am snowfall graphic.jpg

Sweet! Jackpot location! :D ;)



#385
VMB443

Posted 13 December 2017 - 10:41 AM

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Snow came back here about an hour or so ago - nice fat flakes and coming down at a medium clip. Otherwise this morning was a bust around here.

#386
jaster220

Posted 13 December 2017 - 11:32 AM

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17z HRRR gives Marshall snow from ~ 4 pm til 10 pm. Radar trends seem to be filling-in over there even sooner. Could end sooner tho as well I suppose. Either way, should be good ole thump time for my drive home..4:30 til ???


Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#387
Niko

Posted 13 December 2017 - 11:35 AM

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Future radar looks solid w snow beyond 11pm tanite.



#388
Niko

Posted 13 December 2017 - 11:39 AM

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snku_acc.us_ne.png


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#389
WBadgersW

Posted 13 December 2017 - 11:42 AM

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Well, the grass is now completely covered. Hoped we would have gotten more, buy I'll take it.

#390
Niko

Posted 13 December 2017 - 11:48 AM

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Currently, very heavy snow w visibility less than a quarter of a mile. Really piling up. Just awesome! :ph34r:


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#391
jaster220

Posted 13 December 2017 - 11:57 AM

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Currently, very heavy snow w visibility less than a quarter of a mile. Really piling up. Just awesome! :ph34r:

 

A little bit jelly tbh, those purple shade amounts over your way are choice! Prolly just as well, my 3 hr commute would be even worse  :lol:


Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#392
Niko

Posted 13 December 2017 - 12:03 PM

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A little bit jelly tbh, those purple shade amounts over your way are choice! Prolly just as well, my 3 hr commute would be even worse  :lol:

Those are 10" amounts that want to pulverize my area. :D I would not be surprised if someone in SEMI scores a foot of snow.

 

Dude....3 hour commute?! :huh:  Holy crap...where do you drive to........in the U.P of MI?! Dang! Your car must have a ton of miles. :unsure:



#393
Stacsh

Posted 13 December 2017 - 12:13 PM

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I have to drive from GR home to Grand Haven after work today.  Yippee.  Good thing I'm used to that drive in the Lake effect.  



#394
jaster220

Posted 13 December 2017 - 12:15 PM

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Those are 10" amounts that want to pulverize my area. :D I would not be surprised if someone in SEMI scores a foot of snow.

 

Dude....3 hour commute?! :huh:  Holy crap...where do you drive to........in the U.P of MI?! Dang! Your car must have a ton of miles. :unsure:

 

See my other post on that sad reality..

 

Anyways, snowing again at the coast here in St. Joe, not enough forcing to be heavy like yby tho..


Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#395
jaster220

Posted 13 December 2017 - 12:19 PM

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I have to drive from GR home to Grand Haven after work today.  Yippee.  Good thing I'm used to that drive in the Lake effect.  

 

I actually take the state hwy so as to avoid the x-way (aka the death-way). I don't mind going at a slow but steady pace through the smaller burgs and towns, it just gets me home really late and I ofc have snow removal awaiting me when I get there  ;)


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Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#396
Niko

Posted 13 December 2017 - 12:27 PM

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Looking from my homeoffice window now, I can easily see at least 2 inches so far. I will go and measure later and post it on here.

 

Was on a 3-way phone meeting few minutes ago and couldn't concentrate from all that heavy snow falling out there. I was talking on the phone and I was in "LA LA LAND" :lol: 

 

Currently 20F and moderate to heavy snow. Its a frigid snowstorm! :ph34r:


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#397
jaster220

Posted 13 December 2017 - 12:33 PM

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Per radar, WMJim should be getting nailed as well..hvy returns over GR in general. He'll pop in with some ground reports I'm sure..


Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#398
Niko

Posted 13 December 2017 - 12:39 PM

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Snow is also blowing around as winds are starting to really kick in. Near whiteout conditions at times. Just beautiful man. :D :ph34r:


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#399
Niko

Posted 13 December 2017 - 02:02 PM

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Very heavy snow falling now w windy conditions. Accumulations are easily over 4inches and counting. Temp @ 19F.



#400
Niko

Posted 13 December 2017 - 02:07 PM

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Per TWC:

 

WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... * WHAT... HEAVY SNOW. PLAN ON DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS, INCLUDING DURING THE EVENING COMMUTE. SEVERAL ADDITIONAL INCHES OF ACCUMULATION ARE EXPECTED BRINGING STORM TOTALS TO 6 TO 9 INCHES. THE HIGHEST TOTALS WILL BE BETWEEN I-69 AND I-96. * WHERE... PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN INCLUDING METRO DETROIT. * WHEN... UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW-COVERED. VISIBILITY TO FALL TO 1/4 MILE OR LESS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL, KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT, FOOD AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.